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Nascar 2020 Season Nascar 2020 Season

06-05-2020 , 01:31 AM
Yeah I will try giving DFS a shot this week. Got a few 50 50s and GPPs.
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06-05-2020 , 10:37 AM
Rankings based on qualifying:



to produce these losers

Harvick > Kyle -130
Logano > Kyle +105
Harvick > Elliott -115
Truex > Elliot +125
Logano > Truex -115
Keselowski > Elliot -105
Logano > Elliot +115
Logano > Keselowski +105
Keselowski > Bowman -115
Logano > Bowman -105
Blaney > JJ -115
Kurt Busch > JJ -115
Erik Jones > Byron -115
Harvick > Bowman -115
Kyle Busch > Bowman -115
Truex > Bowman +105
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06-05-2020 , 10:43 AM
Also looks like even number and Ford gonna be strong bets

Harvick +600
Logano +1000
to win
Harvick > Chase, Kyle, Bowman +260
Logano > kese, Truex, Hamlin +300
Alnmirola > Dibene, Dillon, Kenset +250
Buescher > Bell, Custer, Nemechek +250
Ty Dillon > Bubba, McDowell, Preece +275
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06-05-2020 , 01:22 PM
I took over 5.5 cautions at -200 as well, as these guys are truly terrible drivers.
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06-05-2020 , 02:11 PM


there haven't been a lot of cautions here since they lowered the number of cars from 43

5,5,6,3 last four races

but I think the no practice is leading to a lot of these cautions
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06-05-2020 , 02:28 PM
Yeah, that’s my line of thinking as well. Seems like there has been a huge uptick since the season resumed.
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06-05-2020 , 06:30 PM
One of the places you can look for value in betting or DFS is green flag speed. That's how we were on Chase Elliott before the world caught on.

Here's the GFS for Xfinity and trucks. I grouped them based on Driver and Car. Some interesting things for Xfinity is how fast Austin Cindric is. So much faster than everyone else. Also that 90 car is good no matter who is behind the wheel. It could be a place for value.



Trucks not much. It's hard because R1 was Daytona and R3 Bristol. Two unique tracks.

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06-05-2020 , 06:59 PM
Something to look out for too

I heard a lot of touts talking about Myatt Snider for tomorrow. We were on Myatt Monday, but he was in the 21 then. Tomorrow Myatt is in the 93 and Alfredo is in the 21. Look at Myatts results in the 21 vs. the 93 he's using on Saturday.

That 93 car is all over the place and occasionally parks. Usually when they park they put Jeff Green in the car, but its still risky.
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06-05-2020 , 09:38 PM
Nice... lots of things to keep up with with these models. I’m trying to develop an optimal DFS strat for GPPs. NASCAR is perfect for donkaments.
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06-05-2020 , 10:48 PM
Pinnacle must have heard our demands. After ten or so years they started posting Nascar lines again.

Crazy day when it started populating my pinnacle database again after so long.
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06-06-2020 , 12:11 AM
We are also crushing all of Pinny's lines. No idea if that's good or bad with 2020 Pinnacle.

Trucks:

Cash lock up Nemechek, Kyle Busch, and Ty Majeski.

Ty is so horribly mispriced.

Low priced value plays: Fogleman, Gray, Rohrbaugh, Boyd, Self, Poole, Rhodes, Jesse Little.

Mid placed good guys to jam in: Rhodes, Hill, Lessard, Crafton

Personally probably going the 3 locks, Rhodes, Hill, Fogleman or Crafton, Fogleman, Gray

Second has a higher floor, first higher upside. Crafton should have lower ownership due to his performance last race, but his car broke.

Third option is Fogleman, Rhodes, Poole. Will look at some stuff.

Xfinity:

Probably need 3 dominators here. Gragson, Cindric, Allgaier is a good core. Burton is a cheaper option than Allgaier who can get you Alfredo.

The pricing is so bad here you can actually jam in 4 top drivers but you don't want to do that. Not enough fastest laps / laps led to make it worth it. Need to leave a lot of $ on the table.

Value back guys: McLeod, Hill, Alfredo, Annett, Bassett

Bets:
Trucks:
Majeski > Burton -115
Rhodes > A Hill -115
Sauter > Chastain -115
Crafton > Creed -115
Enfinger > Eckes -115
Lessard > Poole -115

Xfinity:
Cindric > Burton -115
Allgaier > Chastain -130
Cindric > Chastain -115
Herbst > Haley -115
Sieg > Haley +110
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06-06-2020 , 09:27 AM
2 xfinity to wins:

Allgaier +500
Cindric +750

Trucks: KB -160 to win

on BM the yes/no has better odds (-155 vs. -160), but the pick winner has higher limits. I max both

Tough choice do you trucks experts (Poogs?) have an idea

Gonna go

Kyle Busch/Jeb Burton/Tanney Gray/Fogleman/Little and then Nemechek or Sauters.

Sauters might not have enough points due to the short race, but this is the history of that 8 car.

https://www.racing-reference.info/rq...C&cn=1&yr=2019

So many issues. It ran fine last race, but it only finished 8 races last year and had 12 did not finish due to mechanical issues. Only benefit is JHN should be super chalky so if he fails then it shouldn't hurt too much.
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06-06-2020 , 10:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
Also looks like even number and Ford gonna be strong bets

Harvick +600
Logano +1000
to win
Harvick > Chase, Kyle, Bowman +260
Logano > kese, Truex, Hamlin +300
Alnmirola > Dibene, Dillon, Kenset +250
Buescher > Bell, Custer, Nemechek +250
Ty Dillon > Bubba, McDowell, Preece +275
Don’t know if they have always had it but bet builder has NASCAR. Some different groups than most books. As well as odd or even, manufacturer to win, team to win, and some H2H. Limits on everything(at least for me) is to win 500 and no parlays. Oh and cautions o7.5 +100/-130 and winning car number under 14.5 -114
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06-06-2020 , 01:29 PM
need to get some BB

no PPH's have it anymore and betonline shut it off for me

Getting the first lol in trucks. Dauzat is a 60 year old guy. Spins on the first lap. Fine we don't have him. Lap 10 he spins again and damages Jeb Burton our main guy.

Classic.
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06-06-2020 , 01:46 PM
lol now crafton drives into Nemechek on pit road and destroys his back end

second time this has happened to us
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06-06-2020 , 02:26 PM
Any thoughts on Graf for NXS on DK? Had him as a decent place-diff option originally but starting 27th and 25.7 in GFS makes me think I overvalued him.
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06-06-2020 , 02:31 PM
i have graf in my cash lineup over mcleod. McLeod is super cheap and I don't think he's willing to invest all the money in the tires he needs for this track. He used to run all his practice laps on old tires

he's been really good the last two races and with that place should have a decent floor

getting killed in trucks tho so who knows.
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06-06-2020 , 02:35 PM
lol kyle busch dead with 30 laps to go due to speeding on pit road and then drives into a wall and then gets speeding penalty again

Every

****ing

time
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06-06-2020 , 02:41 PM
Kyle busch flat tire lolol

he's going to get kicked out of the race for raging
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06-06-2020 , 03:13 PM
Sounds good. My initial cash lineup was Allgaier/Cindric/Grags/Alfredo/Graf/Hill for NXS. At least they didn't post crazy large contests for trucks could've been worse
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06-06-2020 , 03:15 PM
that's my same exact lineup so we either going broke or winning everything
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06-06-2020 , 03:16 PM
Get rich or die tryin'
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06-06-2020 , 04:37 PM
Looks like everyone's trusting the touts on Snider today.

Seeing some Briscoe/Bassett vs. our Gragson/Graf which seems pretty close.
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06-06-2020 , 04:41 PM
TIMMY HILL ON PIT ROAD

HOOD UP

BEFORE THE RACE EVEN STARTS

WHY
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06-06-2020 , 04:49 PM
turns out he's ok

Sieg done tho, so we lose 1 bet 1 lap in

Cindric is insanely fast
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