accidents seemed to help and hurt h2h equally which is a first
FD cash lost $156.50
DK cash profit 3638.05
dk tournaments profit 8895.25 mostly from single entry. 150 line up got f'd with custer and blaney
won a seat to the 40 person 300k tournament worth $7500, not part of the 8895 above
not a bad nascar day.
h2h now only down $2085.29 for the year! we clawing back
but to win is dropping after the chase disaster last week and logano this week. down to +4075 profit on that
dfs is the only savior so far. +73826.50 for the year on 15.72% ROI
Sunday: Chase pits with 2 laps left, we lose tons
Monday: KB wins but we bet some long shots so broke even
Tues: Chase beats KB even tho KB hasn't lost in trucks in years
Thurs: We win with Chase but our long shot Byron should have won
Sun: Logano leads with 2 laps left but Chase Elliott wrecks him
I don't think Burton is going to hold onto the pole long. Jones is his teammate so I really think Cindric is going to pass both of them and lead early. Hemric should pass people quickly due to his spot. He's really fast here.
Got killed in the multi-entry tourneys from crashes but still +50% on DK from cash. NXS w/o Busch today!
A little lost here at first look. Guys like McLeod, Emerling, Snider, Leicht, Graf are looking like decent values to get up to Cindric, Hemric, Allagier, Briscoe, etc. but not really sure on roster construction with a short track and 300 laps. Is it too much to jam in 3 of the last group, hope they dominate the race somewhat evenly and surround with punt plays?
Yea it's hard. I almost always play Graf Jr. He's a good driver and just gets bad spots due to being on a crap ownership team. Myatt Snider is always nice value in Xfinity too.
Allgaier/Snider/Graf Jr/Cindric is where I'm at. Then add either Hemric or Burton. Then I guess McLeod or Emerling
Haley's slow wouldn't include him.
Emerling is in Moffit's car. Emerling's had good history at Bristol but he's never raced xfinity. So really good car and history, but who knows. Alfredo has had success with no experience in xfinity, he might be similar. 20th is kind of a high starting spot.
BJ is risky. This is a new car for him (think Starr used to drive it) and he's been good since taking over, but he's also BJ McLeod.
Leicht is horrible. There was some "pro" last race who went 75% Leicht when he always parks. I think he's like 95% to park today too.
Finchum horrible, Carson Ware starting too high, Bassett Jr too high, Vinnie Miller way too high. Green is parking.
I'm guessing most people are going BJ or Emerlin + Allgaier + Graf + Snider + Pick 2 of Cindric, Burton, Hemric, Briscoe
I'm thinking Burton is going to lead until the caution so probably going with him. Then Cindric or Allgaier takes over. Hemric is going to be up there too, but I re-ran my model and I think Cindric is the better value.
Clements is another good floor guy, but hard to fit in. Probably have him in GPP a bunch.
Hill is interesting because he raced 500 laps here yesterday.
Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 06-01-2020 at 03:55 PM.
Nice, I'll downgrade Leicht or just cross him off for GPP. Initially for cash I have Allagier/Graf/Snider/Hemric/Cindric/Mcleod so pretty much exactly what you outlined.
Think it's worth playing both Allagier and Briscoe in the same lineup? Makes construction really difficult so probably hard to get a good unique lineup.
Makes sense, not enough laps to lead for both to get in optimal probably. Now looking at Briscoe/Burton/Cindric/Graf/BJ/Snider for cash but don't feel great fading Allagier.