Here are my rankings independent of any salaries



FD pricing is insanely bad. Play any four guys you want and then put in Bell or Wallace.

I'm going with

Harvick +850
Logano +850 to win

One other frustrating thing from Wednesday was Byron led in green flag speed even after getting hit on pit road. What could have been.

harvick down to +500 but got Logano at +900

gotta get a real book +800 or so at many places

keselowski is so cheap tomorrow, almost have to play him

even tho he'll end up in like 27th

also got our tie breaker for live* seat tomorrow.

I went back and looked through some more Erik Jones data and the guy has been dominating so much recently. Also great at Bristol - his bad runs are influenced by having a loose wheel and other car mishaps.

I think he's worth a shot to win at +2500. +2000 or better.

Another long shot I like is DiBenedetto at +3500 (+2750 or better)

got my max limits down on bet $3.65 lets win $20. Why does pinny not deal nascar I get its a usa centric sport but then they have womens russian volleyball with $200 limits.

Pinnacle used to, but they stopped around 2015. There was a lot of action when they did post it. Lines would move like 100+ cents. They stopped offering things like Moto GP around that time too, so maybe they just don't care about racing outside of Formula 1

One annoying thing is some books cap the "to win" amount instead of the "to bet" amount. On BM I was able to bet $1k on Harvick and Logano if I call on the phone, but for Jones and DiBenedetto only $200. You can rebet but both moved tons after one bet. Makes bet sizing a pain.

Really stupid rules for this race

Competition caution on laps 20 AND 60. That first caution is going to be like 5 minutes into the race. This is bad for Keselowski.

Bad enough for Keselowski to take him out of cash lineups? Think he'll be high owned for tourneys too

Draftkings has pretty good limits until they cut you. Had $19.5k to win NASCAR limits on DraftKings until they cut me after about 4 weeks of being live here. Pretty good limits on NASCAR props and H2Hs, too. All over $2.5k to win, some over $5k. Knew it wouldn't last, but it was nice while it lasted. Also managed to get over $1m in action on Korean baseball during that time, too.

People are always posting crazy table tennis limits from DK too. Makes me want to temporarily move to a state with DK sportsbook.

I'm keeping Keselowski in cash. Even though there's a caution at lap 20, I doubt he is going to pit.

BTW ignore all the people who talk about clean air at Bristol. It doesn't exist. Bristol is a short track so Keselowski is going to start hitting lap traffic really early eliminating any of that. One positive of the caution might be Keselowski will hit the lap traffic later since everyone will line up again.

The short track is another reason why I don't think he will pit.

Also I saw a lot of people on twitter talking about if so and so takes 2 tires on the pit stop they'll do what happened at Charlotte. Also won't happen here. Due to the track design all four tires will get even amount of wear and replacing 2 won't do anything. The only time someone might take two tires is if they pit at the first caution on lap 20.

For cash I'm going (probably): Harvick, Keselowski, Wallace, Bell, Erik Jones, Newman

Working on 150 lineup, but probably going to be big on Hamlin, Jones, Blaney, Reddick, DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Custer and build around those guys. Maybe put them in a group and do pick 3, then do 2-3 dominators. If only 2 doms then i'd sample from people like Stenhouse, Bell, Wallace, Preece, Ty.

Do that for 130 and usually build my 20 max by hand.

Gonna be low on JJ, Bowman, Truex.

Chase is tough. He's been dominating this year but he always seems to have issues on steep tracks.

i wouldn't bet any of these because we are hitting like 30% but just to document how bad I am at this

Harvick > Kyle +125
Kyle > Chase -115
Harvick > Chase +125
Harvick > Hamlin +105
Harvick > Keselowski -140
Truex > Chase +145
Keselowski > Chase +135
Hamlin > Chjase +105
Logano > Chase +120
Logano > Hamlin -115
Logano > Kese -115
Logano > Blaney -130
Bowman > JJ -130
Bowman > Kurt +115
Jones > JJ -105
Jones > Byron -115
Bowyer > Kenseth -115
Newman > Kenseth +120
Austin Dillon > Buescher -115
DiBenedetto > Stenhouse -115
Almirola > Stenhouse +100
NEwman > Stenhouse +100
Austin > Custer -130

those are what It ook throughout the week

and the Harvick, Logano, Jones, DiBenedetto to win bets

Preece to the rear. Doesn't matter much. He started 33rd and will pass everyone quickly.

Here's my 150 distribution. Might make some tweaks to get more Hamlin or Reddick. Like Hamlin but so hard to fit in. Hoping he will crash before the race starts again. There's just so much value in that 6k-7k range and you need 2-3 of the top guys with 500 laps. Leaves Reddick as odd man out.

Looks good to me. For cash I'm waffling between:

Busch/Busch/DiBend/Jones/Preece/Kesel and
Harvick/Blaney/Dibend/Jones/Preece/Kesel

Kinda like #2. Maybe I should downgrade Preece a bit for cash with him in the back?

Missed your cash thoughts in one of the middle posts. Like Newman if & trading down in the $7k range if no Preece.

Either looks good. I wanted to lock in Wallace and Bell for the floor. Didn't work too well on Wednesday when both of my "safe" plays ended up behind the wall. Lost like 8k lol.

It allowed me to get Harvick easy too.

I’m surprised you didn’t get a little more Truex, BOL.

Truex is terrible at Bristol. Almost X'd him out.

Guy in the seat h2h has him, so I'm doubly hoping he crashes.

Erik Jones ownership is insane. 45%

nice newman spins out on like lap 5. no damage luckily.

he should be fine. will stay out at the comp caution and get back into the top 20.

btw this is one of the most exciting races of the year, so definitely watch if you can

logano is the fastest car on the track. looking good for us

harvick is 2nd. if he can get to the outside and start passing also good for us

Kyle Busch speeding penalty and almost hits Bowyers crew member lol

this dude is always so pissed off

welp blaney and ty dillon

there goes 50%

bright side: guy i'm going against in live seat has him

Was like -60% on DK but 3x on FD bc of Blaney. Now even on DK and losing all on FD after that. Fun sport.

post blaney life. lets hold

harvick taking 1st here and leading for a long time will be great

Nice! Harvick looking real good this segment