I figured instead of clogging the Crowdsource thread I'd move it over here.
TomG and I spent a combined 200+ hours plowing through data and it's possible we could be profitable. Any news, notes, picks, etc. lets move them here.
There's four main bets.
Duels (usually on Thursday)
Trucks (Friday or Saturday)
X-Finity (Usually Saturday)
Main race (Sunday)
Limit vary, but in the past ~1k on Main race and $250-$500 on others.
Here's what we had for the clash.
And here's what we have for the duel so far.
Duel #1
Ryan Preece -115 over Christopher Bell
Chris Buescher -115 over Ryan Newman
Clint Bowyer -115 over Aric Almirola
Brad Keselowski -115 over Denny Hamlin
Martin Truex Jr +100 over Chase Elliott
Ryan Blaney -115 over Martin Truex Jr.
Ryan Blaney -115 over Chase Elliott
Joey Logano -115 over Denny Hamlin
Duel #2
Michael McDowell +100 over Cole Custer
Tyler Reddick -115 over Cole Custer
Erik Jones +100 over Jimmie Johnson
Kevin Harvick +100 over Kyle Busch
Kyle Larson -115 over Alex Bowman
Kurt Busch -115 over Byron
Kurt Busch -115 over DiBenedetto
Ty Dillon -115 over Corey LaJoie
I'm expecting the variance on the "To Win" is going to be huge. So we could be -20u fairly quick, but one or two wins will get us into the black. (or vice versa, an early bink or two could misrepresent the ROI going forward)