He looked the same way he did vs Poirer. Start off high pace, he's in there and both have mild success, and then there's a cutoff point where the other fighter (Poierer, McGregor) can continue that pace and Brandao just doesn't have it in him, so he basically wilts against the cage and goes shamefully down cause he's had enough.

true line something like +600

He was live,

He landed a few shots and went for the leg locks.

I'm guessing they keep Mcgreggor away from any wrestlers (until he gets the title shot at chad). I'm guessing Poirier then Cub then title shot giving them the best chance of putting him on a PPV.

Liking Brown and Lil'Nog as live dogs in the next card so far

Just watched the Dublin card. What a great card! the crowd was amazing.

Made a nice penny with Krylov, Seery, and McCall Tor really disappointed me though. Also really shocked Sampo lost, although no bet on that one.

Meh, I think he's drawing dead in Dublin though, he was noticeably nervous and Connor def got in his head imo. He didn't seem to have much composure in the ring to me either.

Dana said his next fight is UFC 178 in Vegas, no opp yet though

Best fight for Conor is Korean Zombie I think they match up really well would be a great fight and one that Mcgreggor should win. Keep him away from Guida/Kawajiri/Mendes guys that might be able to just shut him down remember Guida just stifling Pettis in his UFC debut I think we could see something similar if he fought Conor. He's obviously super marketable so I think Dana and the Fertittas will give him a favourable road to a big money title shot.

Brown by KO 5.0 looks good

pendred and partly seery made my night hehe, great gala. unfortunately i added a decision win for pendred that im not too happy about.
some great fights next week...

I like Guida +116 vs Bermudez, I feel like he's levels above anyone Bermudez has faced and while Bermudez is improving constantly he did barely get by Holloway and one other guy (Grice maybe?) his only real losses recently were to Bendo and Mendes (his lame gameplan aside I had him winning the first three rounds against Maynard).

Thompson -210ish is tempting too but him saying he might be done after his last fight has me a bit worried. On the surface it's a great price though as I think Bobby Green is a bit overrated right now

Will def take Lil'Nog at +400 or better vs AJ, I def think he wins more than 1 in 5 but will take it last minute if I do as I expect price to rise. Same with Brown at +270, if he can drag Lawler into deep waters I think he can break him. Lawler will finish him in r1 a lot but if the fight goes past the 7:30 mark i'd cap it at evens.

Decided to fire 2u Guida +116 and 1.5u Thompson -208

Will wait on the main and co-main as dog prices usually improve unless they're the bigger name

Brown is at +290 in 5d, he should def hit at least +320 since lawler is much bigger name

I thought Holloway won over Bermudez.

Anyone like Nog/AJ over 1.5 at -150. Know Nog is old but he hasn't been KOed like his brother and only has one KO loss, in '07. Seems like value there.

Also like Guida at +115 think this fight is a flip or slight edge to guida. Bit worried his age will catch up with him and dropping a weight class late in a career can cause trouble.

Big fan of Bermudez, but I prefer the Guida line here.

I got Guida, think he should at least be a -150 favorite here. Denis Bermudez hasn't faced anyone of his caliber.

Also got Thomson to beat Bobby Green handily, he should be a -250-300 favorite here imo(he's -204 right now on pinn). I mean Thomson arguably won over Benson in a 5 rounder with a broken hand, and destroyed nate diaz. He also had competetive fights with Melendez (heard he got robbed in their last fight). That's 2 top 5 fighters (perhaps 3 don't remember what nate was ranked as).

Bobby Green tries to fight like AS, rolling with punches and wasn't he losing vs Volkmann for 2 rounds before getting a tko in 3rd round? Too big step up in competition and it seems his weak side is grappling so Thomson should really take this without too much worry. Only thing that worries me is Thomson's mental mindset after losing 2 narrow split decisions, as he said he was thinking about quitting. Not too worried about his conditioning at all though since this is a 3 rounder and he looked very good vs Bendo in a 5 rounder.

If Thompson fights like he did in his past 5 fights he will win easily the only reason i'm not going harder is worries over his mindset

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mptH...YKudb0rFR6noLA

I swear i'm just blanket smashing every favourite opening line from now on to arb later, some of the line movement is just baffling and it's always towards the favourites. Even Bermudez is being steamed over the bigger name in Guida as a fav and while the merits of the true line can be debated i'm shocked the line is just moving in favour of every favourite automatically.

It might be worth looking into whether blanket hitting every favourite to arb at close over the past 10 cards would have shown a profit, i'm starting to think it would have

I'm really looking forward to the return of the uncrowned light heavyweight champ, Kyle "Kingsbu" Kingsbury! Bones Jones has gotta stop running from his beating sometime.

Agreed with others here that Thomson should be closer to -300 but dimes is already almost there.

Don't really understand the Guida love though. Competition level is meh, look at the way the two match up. Guida can only beat guys he can take down and LnP. If you don't believe me, look over his record. And Bermudez appears to be a better wrestler, so I don't see Guida winning this. Also, Bermudez main weakness appears to be hittability/gets rocked on the feet. Not something I expect Guida to exploit. Like Bermudez to get the win here most of the time.

man I'm so pumped for Lawler Brown, I just hope it gets past round 1 because Lawler's body kicks can do even more damage than Silvas and it might be a short fight. But if Brown survives, he will bring it to Lawler and if it's heart vs heart, you never know. So far Brown hasn't wilted yet due to grit.

McGregor vs. Poirier is officially booked for UFC 178

Date September 27, 2014
City Las Vegas, Nevada

I hope Poirier is the underdog in this fight, i'd lay a decent sized wager on him.