MMA Thread - Page 797 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Lots of steam on Ronson and Reis now. Objectively I like the other side of both, steam has me worried. Lots of steam on Jorge is good for me I guess but my bet there is smaller.

Oliveira line getting ridiculous too

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02-15-2014 , 05:51 PM

#19904

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Some of the sharps I chat with are all over Tumenov. I added another $105 to win $50 on Tumenov in addition to the -3.5 pts. wager and small ITD play I had on him; plus have him in a parlay with fellow Russian Tuhugov.

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02-15-2014 , 06:05 PM

#19905

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

Put 2u on Tumenov after all the advices on him.

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02-15-2014 , 06:18 PM

#19906

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Yeah nice to get on Reis before the steam, big time steam too, he just moved like 60c.

I still think Alcantara should win but pretty annoying to have got it in pre steam.

Anyone hear anything about why Ronson is getting steamed? How about Jorge?

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02-15-2014 , 06:19 PM

#19907

yoyobo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Don't understand the Steam on Ronson? Trinaldo -135 is a steal. He should steam roll Ronson, and get a first round finish.

Trinaldo usually has enough in the gas tank to stay competitive enough to win the 2nd. are they expecting Roson to survive and then finish Trinaldo in the 3rd, while he is gassed?

Edit: had Jorge under priced. Feel he should win this in the stand up department, and can probably grapple with Damm. Wasn't confident on my read though, so never bet it.

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02-15-2014 , 06:35 PM

#19908

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

I already liked Trinaldo at -170 and love him at -135 but i'm scared to fade steam without knowing the reason for it incase he's injured or whatever

Also interesting he's -149 at Pinn at -135 at 5D atm, huge discrepancy for fight day

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02-15-2014 , 06:46 PM

#19909

Sect7G

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 11,234

I inquired with 5Dimes that you can do person to person transfers. If someone has an active account and also has a Stars account I'd love to do a trade as I hate troubling SwoopAE to lay my bets all the time. (thx mate for helping me lose my money

)

If anyone can help me out I'd be grateful (Sect7G) on Stars.

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02-15-2014 , 07:11 PM

#19910

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

Just confirming your bets are on for this card Sect7G, gl

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02-15-2014 , 07:12 PM

#19911

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Ya Massaranduba has to be gettin close to value?

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02-15-2014 , 07:15 PM

#19912

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

Added another unit on Trinaldo at -144

Unless he's injured I don't get the drastic chance in prices

Kinda want to add more on Y.Alcantara too but haven't yet

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02-15-2014 , 08:15 PM

#19913

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

lol ufc fight pass 'this event is blacked out in your region' wtf its a free ****ing event and i dont have the channel to watch it on tv

**** you UFC back to pirating your events, i tried to pay for a free event, lol

fight pass is such fail

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02-15-2014 , 08:28 PM

#19914

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

That's so lol

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02-15-2014 , 08:30 PM

#19915

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Swoop you should(?) get the main card though and we won't here

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02-15-2014 , 08:57 PM

#19916

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

I'm streaming it fine, UFC Fight Pass can GTFO

Silva de Andrade.... how the hell is this guy undefeated, has he fought 22 cans or something? Just terrible, he looked worse than a lot of the local fighters at the local aussie mma event I went to.

Adding to win half a unit on the other russian since apparently he's the better prospect of the two

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02-15-2014 , 08:58 PM

#19917

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

In before split decision for SDA

Obviously 30-27 tho

Fading the steam to win yet another unit on Trinaldo now

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02-15-2014 , 09:12 PM

#19918

aim

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 438

wow great chin of alcantara... not healthy longterm tho hahaha ;D

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02-15-2014 , 09:16 PM

#19919

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

lol @ people touting Tumenov. This guy's grappling is sub-zero.

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02-15-2014 , 09:18 PM

#19920

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

Really, future champ? Nope.

About to be 19-19 but Alcantara has this by the look of it if he can land a TD in the third

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02-15-2014 , 09:19 PM

#19921

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

What is this, why did I bet this guy. He has zero TDD and he just lunges forward with his punches. Maybe he's used to fighting cans where this is possible.

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02-15-2014 , 09:25 PM

#19922

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Lol, his striking is awful too. How do you get jabbed up that badly by Ildemar Alcantara?

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02-15-2014 , 09:25 PM

#19923

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

Meh, think he may have lost, but both guys are losers in this fight imo.

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02-15-2014 , 09:25 PM

#19924

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,336

Honestly under 10 point scoring that was close but i'm 90% sure Alcantara will get the decision and wouldnt be surprised if one judge scores it 30-27 for him

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02-15-2014 , 09:26 PM

#19925

yoyobo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Sigh... I rarely hop on a hype train the way I did here. Really thought he was gonna be something.

Really hope we find out he was injured. Or something along those lines.

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