MMA Thread - Page 530 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

I'm on Silva, Munoz, Gonzaga, Leben.

I'm not sure what you guys are seeing in Siver that I'm not. Cub has looked awesome lately against some really solid guys.

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07-06-2013 , 12:18 AM

#13228

Neurotoxin

old hand

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 1,517

I'm taking Weidman. He was very relaxed at the weigh-in with the one liners, it's not false confidence.

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07-06-2013 , 01:58 AM

#13229

anteatereater

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,977

Quote

07-06-2013 , 02:07 AM

#13230

kingofcool

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 11,043

I'm so used to seeing Anderson towering over his opponents. Maybe i don't remember it right.

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07-06-2013 , 02:20 AM

#13231

IMonkeyTiltsoWhat

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 137

Betting 300 on Anderson, freest of free money

ETA: lol at people falling for this obvious set up to over hype the over hyped Weidman lololol
Me likey the awdds

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07-06-2013 , 02:33 AM

#13232

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Quote:

Originally Posted by Machinehead

I'm on Silva, Munoz, Gonzaga, Leben.

I'm not sure what you guys are seeing in Siver that I'm not. Cub has looked awesome lately against some really solid guys.

Swanson KO +425 is fantastic value IMO.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 04:57 AM

#13233

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neurotoxin

I'm taking Weidman. He was very relaxed at the weigh-in with the one liners, it's not false confidence.

I thought it was

I decided not to take Boetsch, might take the under in that fight though and also prob going to take Gracie as a small dog, plus have Anderson, Siver already plus Edgar in a parlay, may take Barboza by TKO or ITD as well.

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07-06-2013 , 06:29 AM

#13234

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

lol I might be on the other side of you in every fight

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07-06-2013 , 06:59 AM

#13235

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

Siver is pretty underestimated and he's kind of flown under the radar for the general public. Dude has really solid standup, has a good build for TDD. Only thing seems he crumbles a bit easy to punches, but all his losses have been to good standup guys, most of them I rank higher than cub swansons standup, and all of them came at lw and Siver is of the smaller proportions so he fits quite nice at featherweight.

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07-06-2013 , 11:24 AM

#13236

Machinehead

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 4,050

Siver lost to Pearson and Swanson outstruck Pearson in their fight.

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07-06-2013 , 12:04 PM

#13237

Chris M

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 580

My UFC 162 plays:

3u Anderson Silva -215
1u Anderson Silva by tko +125
1u Silva/Weidman under 2.5r -135
1.5u Edgar/Oliveira under 2.5r -106
2u Edgar ITD +133
0.5u Edgar by tko +171
0.1u Oliveira by sub +975
1.35u Boetsch/Munoz goes distance -135
1u Tim Boetsch +145
0.5u Tim Boetsch by decision +280
1.1u Kennedy/Gracie over 2.5r -110
0.5u Cub Swanson by tko +425
1.3u Edson Barboza by tko -130
0.5u Baczynski ITD +210

Last edited by Chris M; 07-06-2013 at 12:15 PM. Reason: Added Edgar by tko

Quote

07-06-2013 , 12:17 PM

#13238

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

Quote:

Originally Posted by Machinehead

Siver lost to Pearson and Swanson outstruck Pearson in their fight.

I remember as Pearson doing slightly better(and winning the fight) but then getting caught in round 2 doing some random ****.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 12:20 PM

#13239

Chris M

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 580

Gracie by sub just jumped to +401....thoughts? Is this good for the company? I don't know that much about either fighter.

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07-06-2013 , 12:42 PM

#13240

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Gracie is the best sub fighter in the world seems like a good bet at +401

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07-06-2013 , 02:06 PM

#13241

traz

Werewolf Super*

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,259

3u Anderson Silva -219
1u Cub Swanson -201
3u Tim Kennedy -144
1u Gabriel Gonzaga -230

Thinking about throwing some money on Edgar too. He* is almost certainly winning but the price is a little steep I guess.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 02:44 PM

#13242

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swiiftx

I remember as Pearson doing slightly better(and winning the fight) but then getting caught in round 2 doing some random ****.

Pretty sure Swanson was winning the whole way. I was on Pearson there, remember being pretty frustrated. Think Siver's mediocre chin and Swanson's solid power are gonna spell doom here for the German.

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07-06-2013 , 02:52 PM

#13243

Swiiftx

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Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Maybe I was wrong, but I remember it as a competive fight at least. And maybe bc I was biased I thought Pearson got the better till the tko. But yeah, swanson will win a lot by that, but I think Swanson is a bit reckless with his striking and I think Siver is definitely capable of winning a decision here a decent amount of the time. Think line is closer to +150~ around for siver. Hopefully not too much off.

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07-06-2013 , 02:59 PM

#13244

aggy

banned

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 545

Bet Silva now (@ -230) or wait a couple more hours for the PPV to start?

Also casualfan.jpg says Siver seems like value and Craig looks pretty good.

Last edited by aggy; 07-06-2013 at 03:05 PM.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 03:14 PM

#13245

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Still expect casual money to come on Silva as PPV starts, likely best to bet earlier on Silva if going with him.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 03:40 PM

#13246

kingofcool

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 11,043

value is on Silva aorn. I really hope casual money comes in hard on him to make Weidman worthwhile again.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 03:55 PM

#13247

aggy

banned

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 545

Silva by TKO/KO +110 actually is all I think I am going to play on that fight. Silva's route to victory versus what the respective lines are at (-230 to win & +110 by TK/KO) just seems like the only play in my amateur opinion unless it somehow moves below -200.

Quote

07-06-2013 , 04:13 PM

#13248

ComeOnGuys

banned

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 70

the only question about silva is round 1 or round 2? kinda feel late round 1 after he waits for weidman to strike and counters

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07-06-2013 , 04:50 PM

#13249

traz

Werewolf Super*

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,259

Silva -199 now on Pinny...might have to double down

Quote

07-06-2013 , 04:53 PM

#13250

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

All this hype is actually good for Silva. If he loses, it won't be as bad as if Weidman had no hype, and people will say, well it was expected, father time etc. And if AS wins, it adds more to his legacy because he has now beat all of the best, the best strikers in the division, the best wrestlers etc. This is a lot better for his resumé than say if he had fought Bisping.

I'm just going to enjoy that fight. I'm rooting for AS, but don't really mind if Weidman wins. At least the division is going to get a bit more interesting. Wouldn't mind seeing Vitor/Weidman, Rockhold/Weidman, even bisping/weidman.

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