Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
It's also not just wins vs UFC caliber fighters. Nurmagomedov is 19-0 with 4 wins being vs guys who are UFC level or close, Trujillo is 10-4 with one win and none of the losses being against guys who are UFC level or close. Trujillo is 9-4 vs cans and 1-0 vs somewhat legit competition, Nurmagomedov is 15-0 vs cans and 4-0 vs somewhat legit competition. To me, that says Trujillo really, really sucks which i'm factoring into my bet just as much as Nurmagomedov being good.
It's not like Thiago Tavares totally sucks either and Nurmagomedov made him look bad in Brazil, he's a mid level LW with wins over Stout, Fisher, Gamburyan and Omigawa and a draw against Lentz. He's 7-5-1 in the UFC that isn't exactly a bad record.
It's not like having a close fight with Tibau is a bad thing either, Tibau beat Dos Anjos and Trinaldo who are both relevant in the current state of the division and he has a 13-7 record in the UFC.
It's not like Shalorus is a total can either, he would have beaten Varner if not for a point deduction, beat Bartimus and Jansen who just won the Bellator tourney and his other 2 losses were to top 10-ish guys in Dos Anjos and Miller.
I'm going to stand by my -500 assessment (in that i'd rather be on Khabib at -400 than on Trujillo at +400 if I had to pick a side at that price), we'll know after the fight I guess whether I was right or wrong in that it's either a one sided beatdown or it isn't.
Let's be honest he got the worst version of Tavares yet, that guy's chin has declined to alarming levels. Also, the judging was atrocious in that Varner/Shalorus fight, Varner clearly deserved that. Tibau fight, yeah he's a very respectable opponent but both guys looked absolutely awful and again, most had it a sweep for Tibau.
As for Trujillo, his record might not be very good but let's be honest, he looks like he's juiced to the gills, and maybe he was clean for those losses or something. Sonnen showed us that roids can make up for a pretty big skill deficit.
I don't think Nurmagomedov sucks or anything even if his striking is really, really sloppy. He at least has some power and can grapple but I don't see him ever being anything more than an average level fighter, and I have no clue how anyone could be high on him based on what he's shown. The only fight he really showcased anything was when he styled on Shalorus. Ya the elbows he finished Tavares with were sweet but that was basically a one punch KO and it was an awful, awful punch.