MMA Thread - Page 332 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

lol how in the world could anyone say Machida looked awful vs Rampage? Anyone who can score a fight competently knows he won that, Rampage could barely land a strike.

Gomez kicks hard but he looks like he may have been overpriced...second round was close he might have dropped it.

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02-16-2013 , 01:40 PM

#8278

Onlydo2days

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Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Rampge even said after the fight "Machida kicked my ass" Seemed shocked he won.

JustMo what do you think of the Machida/Hendo fight?

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02-16-2013 , 01:40 PM

#8279

just_mo

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lol 30-27 Harris what in the...

First round was only clear cut round and it was for sure Gomez's. Awful scoring.

I think Machida at anything under -275 or so, maybe -300 is a damn solid bet.

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02-16-2013 , 01:41 PM

#8280

stressed

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 1,409

Even Rampage himself thought he lost.

Gomez way over priced. Glad I didn't touch this fight.

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02-16-2013 , 01:44 PM

#8281

yoyobo

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i scored 29-28 for machida if i remember correctly, but compared to his other fights.. he looked awful. Also Henderson s a better decision fighter than rampage, but idk.. was a long time ago, maybe i am remembering it wrong

30-27 was ridic.

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02-16-2013 , 01:48 PM

#8282

SwoopAE

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Just tuning in. gogo Vaughan Lee, i'm not on him this time but i'm a big fan

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02-16-2013 , 01:55 PM

#8283

SwoopAE

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10-9 Lee imo, Tezuka just shot for takedowns over and over and didn't get any

Think there may have been marginal value on Lee late

Money coming in on Sass now. Tempted to do a +680 parlay on Grispi/Barao/Sass/Poirier but probably won't bother since I have a bunch on all of them individually, i'll just up some bet sizes slightly if my first few win.

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02-16-2013 , 01:57 PM

#8284

just_mo

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Tezuka's takedowns looked solid against Caceres but he's a little more wild so that's probably why. Easy Lee round there.

Some entertaining grappling so far in the 2nd.

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02-16-2013 , 02:00 PM

#8285

SwoopAE

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Close round, i'd be tempted to give it to Tezuka for the sub attempts, but Lee had better position and landed more strikes. Close round could go either way i'd need to rewatch

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02-16-2013 , 02:02 PM

#8286

just_mo

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I'd probably score it a 10-10, think judges will lean Lee tho.

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02-16-2013 , 02:03 PM

#8287

stressed

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 1,409

Tezuka has zero standup skills.

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02-16-2013 , 02:06 PM

#8288

just_mo

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30-28 Lee. Yawn.

Can we get some action in one of these fights? Jesus we get a sparring match and then a wall n stall clinchfest.

Wow just saw Lee closed at -127, pretty big move there.

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02-16-2013 , 02:07 PM

#8289

SwoopAE

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Interesting how Sass and Castillo keep trading favoritism

Lee wins either 29-28 or 30-27, I have a feeling its the latter

Nedkov/Watson should be fun. Hopefully it's my guy who gets the KO.

Also to be fair Lee did try to fight, Tezuka was just a takedown-spam machine and Lee was content to win by stuffing takedowns

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02-16-2013 , 02:11 PM

#8290

SwoopAE

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Nice, 5/5 on line movement now, got better prices on all 5 fighters with Nedkov back in to +103 (I got +104)

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02-16-2013 , 02:12 PM

#8291

yoyobo

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i added another unit (making it 3.5u) on nedkov

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02-16-2013 , 02:14 PM

#8292

just_mo

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Yeah Lee tried for sure. Still don't think the guy is very good.

Another 2u on Castillo, pretty much need him if I'm gonna make anything on this card. I do recognize this is a high variance spot but I think he should be -150 here, maybe a bit higher.

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02-16-2013 , 02:15 PM

#8293

SwoopAE

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I disagree and I think Sass will expose him as being a lower level guy, while Sass is a one-dimensional mid-level guy. We'll see I guess. I just think he's closer to Jacob Volkmann's level than Matt Wiman's level.

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02-16-2013 , 02:22 PM

#8294

just_mo

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yessss exciting MMA. Close to getting my ITD prop there.

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02-16-2013 , 02:23 PM

#8295

yoyobo

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well, that was a nice way to steal a round.. hopefully he has good conditioning though

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02-16-2013 , 02:23 PM

#8296

SwoopAE

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Please don't have gassed yourself

Both fighters will have slowed down a lot from that

Watson was dominating but Nedkov defended well then stole the round at the end

10-9 Nedkov

If Nedkov doesn't gas and can avoid the clinch he's good, otherwise Watson will get it... Nedkov has to have won the round despite losing 4 mins of it due to landing 50-odd strikes and a knockdown at the end

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02-16-2013 , 02:28 PM

#8297

just_mo

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Boom.

Yeah Watson definitely **** the bed at end of first and pissed away the round.

Nedkov just isn't very skilled + he has horrid cardio. Watson was the better fighter the whole way. Nedkov just has power, that's about it.

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02-16-2013 , 02:28 PM

#8298

SwoopAE

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Excellent 50/50 fight both guys had their moments. True odds definitely close to evens. Maybe Watson -120 due to better cardio, but Nedkov finishes him with 30 more seconds in r1

FOTN material right there I don't even care that my bet lost (and it was my smallest of the five anyway) that was an excellent fight

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02-16-2013 , 02:30 PM

#8299

SwoopAE

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Excellent 50/50 fight both guys had their moments. True odds definitely close to evens.

FOTN material right there I don't even care that my bet lost (and it was my smallest of the five anyway) that was an excellent fight

Cool speech by Watson calling out the TRT cheats. Not that he's on Belfort's level but i'd love to see him start taking out the TRTers