I recognise about as many fighters on this week's PFL card as the next UFC card, UFC guys who peaked in 2011 city

No bets but I had no idea guys like Vinny Magalhaes were still fighting

UFC 264 is so stacked and a few spots I think i'll be on but not a ton of stuff I like til then

Did the judges bet Tibau or were they the guys who are posting YouTube comments about how Tibau beat Khabib in that fight long ago (he didn't)?

For some reasons , bestfightodds .com removed pinnacle from their comparison chart ...

-jpp

murata lost use of her left arm i think early

justin jaynes bet his whole purse on himself this weekend and his coaches also wagered on him...all in on rosa??

Got some Warlley Alves and Gane today

GL all

Jaynes prob down two here but r1 was closeish, hope he can pull it off since he shoved on himself

Pretty sick third judge sweat for Jaynes, I had it 29-28 Rosa personally but close enough there was some doubt I guess

would have been totally reasonable to give 1-3 to jaynes. poor fella

I'm on Poirier here at -110 (better prices out there) 2.2u to win 2u

and Poirier TKO,KO,Sub at +140 for 0.89u

should be a great fight, again if Poirier weathers that 1st round I believe he 80% or more times cruises to a TKO win in later rounds.

Not enough time to make the adjustments necessary for those versions of both McGregor and Dustin that fought not long ago so I think this is a good price on Poirier.

He is gonna be extra careful this time around in the 1st because he almost got flash KOed by Conor again last time, Dustin is a smart fighter that is constantly evolving. He saw all his routes to victory in the 2nd fight, he will take the calf kick route in the 1st and maybe secure a TD copy-pasta like the last fight except he is gonna be extra careful not to get caught.

money coming in on Poirier now.

I'm not sure I like the UFC matching Ilia Topuria with Ryan Hall. Sure on the one hand you have a kid who on paper is stylistically a difficult matchup for Hall. However, on the other hand you're throwing one of top prospects in MMA who's just 24 years old into the cage with a wily veteran that could rip all the ligaments out of his leg.

I guess it's do or die for Wonderboy if he wants to be champ bit surprised that odds not great Thompson by t.k.o/k.o around ~3.7. he's 38 but still sharp and it's last chapter of his decorated career UFC will not give him any title shots if he doesn't beat Gilbert on saturday.
I'am totally off about Conor vs. Dustin odds i thought price for DP would be lot closer to pick'em.

Poirier to win ITD +140 as my main bet and hedging (16.66% of main bet sizing) with Mcgregor to win in the first round +350 and Mcgregor to win by decision +750 in case he pulls a Diaz 2 is the GTO sports betting play for this one.

I wonder if there is any fighter unluckier than Wonderboy in terms of his W/L ratio in the UFC relative to ability/how fights actually went

Went 0-1-1 against Woodley when two draws was fair, but he was outclassing him on the feet in both fights until a big shot and a 10-8, pretty sick to win 3 rounds in 2 title fights against the same guy and not win the belt

Got robbed against Till due to homecrowd judging, granted it was close

Won every moment of the Pettis fight until a flash KO

Zero of his wins were close/competitive, and overall went 0 wins 1 draw 3 losses in the above fights - his one loss where he got dominated was Brown, but that was when he was very green still

Feels crazy that fight was 9 years ago I still remember it well.

I hope he has what it takes to work his way to one more title shot, age will get him eventually but he's taken very little damage for a 21 fight career, two bombs from Woodley that dropped him but didn't put him out and the Pettis flash KO and otherwise he's taken very little substantial damage

He's going to dominate every moment of the Burns fight imo regardless of whether he wins by TKO/DEC or gets flash KO'd or subbed, my instincts are he wins a clear 30-27 but Burns is very aggro and can be chinny too so wouldn't be surprised if he gets the TKO

If he doesn't suddenly look old he should win this one imo

Poirier/Conor is tougher, I was leaning Conor initially but he looked a bit unhinged/rattled at the promo the other day, at his best Conor is probably a fav but i'm not sold on him definitely being at his best and if he's not Poirier will grind him down again. Depends if he can make the adjustments he needs to and check the leg kicks this time

Hope Tuivasa knocks Hardy out, no bet there or real opinion but would be nice as a fan

Sean O'Malley fighting a can is ridiculous, could they really not get a top 20ish fighter on short notice sigh he needs to fight some actual contenders already

Seeing Conor at the presser I questioned whether Conor even believed the **** he was saying. However, he sounded much more reasonable on embedded. It's my belief that Conor has not been putting in the same amount of time that he normally puts in practicing trash talk and has instead been training extra hard. I think Conor's a lot more motivated for this than Poirier. Poirier is Poirier and he's going to bring his "A" game but I expect an elite Conor tonight.

My primary concern with Conor is that he could be overly emotional.

BTW, lol @ Rafael dos Anjos somehow injecting himself into the situation nearly getting in a fight with Conor backstage. Still a lot of bad blood between those 2 (unfortunately it doesn't seem like the most marketable fight but I'd love to see it).

Hardy is probably just going to strike against Tuivasa. I have high hopes for Hardy and hope he gets the KO on this megacard but I don't see how one could favor him over the more experienced striker.

Wonderboy seems like the obvious bet in this spot. If he had shown some decline it would be different but he hasn't shown any decline yet.

I have no faith in Michel Pereira here. Wasn't overly impressed with him in his last fight. He's a freak athlete and human highlight real but he's about due to do something stupid again.

I got 7.50 left in the Sportsbet account. What should I put it on?

I'd put it on Jake Paul.

Oh RDA is the backup fighter. I had no clue.

O'Malley/Moutinho u1.5 rds -185
McGregor/Poirier o2.5 rds +115

good night of fights so far

O'Malley getting chased around the ring by a guy a weight class smaller on short notice

Moutinho has heart and chin

Doesn't look good for O'Malley he can't finish him tho

That is a ridiculous finish Moutinho was still defending and 30sec left let the kid go the distance he was still coming forward and throwing yes he was taking a beating but dumb, dumb stoppage

Imagine if this was the main event and Dean stopped it in r3 like that he literally had his hands up and wasn't rocked

LOL O'Malley 'I was about to put him out'

No you weren't bro, you had 14:30 to do that and he ate your best shots

I agree with what you are saying but at the same time the ref has this kid's life in his hands. While watching the fight I was thinking this could be the first death in the octagon (or first death from damage sustained in the octagon). Really can't hate him for stopping it. There are more important things than going the distance.

Ya if there was longer left i'd have been fine w him stopping it or if the kid was rocked but he literally had his hands up coming forward and wasn't rocked w under 30 sec left

If there was a 4th round or w/e stoppage would be ok but w 20-something secs left surely let him go the distance if his hands are up, or stop it in r2 if u want to save him from the beating

Hardy is a scary dude.