MMA Thread - Page 2150 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Taking a small Morono sweat as a fade on Cerrone at +165

Just a bet that Cerrone is done basically; if he's done he never wins again in the UFC, if he still has anything he prob wins

He's pretty close to done just a matter of how shot he is

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05-08-2021 , 10:09 PM

#53727

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

lotta money coming in on Morono, i put 0.6u on Cerrone at -150 , I think he gets this done even though he is far from the fighter he used to be.

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05-08-2021 , 10:10 PM

#53728

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Waterson looking tasty at +195 decision decisions

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05-08-2021 , 10:22 PM

#53729

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

fook Cerrone, whatta bum.

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05-08-2021 , 10:23 PM

#53730

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Yep Cowboy is shot. The early steam scared me a bit but when it came back late decided to roll with my lean in Morono

Shame I sized down a bit today because 4/4 card so far incl 2 dogs

Cerrone's just shot, downside of fighting 5x a year and being hittable, your prime isn't gonna last til 40

He's had a nice career but it's time for him to fight cans in Bellator or for the UFC to give him the worst fighters on their roster since he's still a draw

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05-08-2021 , 10:34 PM

#53731

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

I thought Morono was close to the worst lol , but with no head movement Cowboy is a sitting target

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05-08-2021 , 10:44 PM

#53732

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Nah Morono has still won significantly more than he's lost in the UFC he isn't top 15 or anything but he's way above the worst the division has to offer

Cowboy has to be fighting the absolute worst now if the UFC want to get him wins

No bet in the main, gonna cheer for Waterson but think she's a dog

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05-08-2021 , 10:49 PM

#53733

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Waterson is the sort of fighter where if you put her skillset in a taller, bigger, longer and more athletic body she would be an absolute beast

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05-08-2021 , 10:53 PM

#53734

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Waterson would crush it at 105 if the UFC had 105

Full weight class difference here, would be insane if she can grind it out

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05-08-2021 , 11:23 PM

#53735

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Not a bad night, went 1-1 +0.4u , glad I didn't bet on Michelle, she was her usual grinding self that just came to put on a good show, she didn't even try to choke his opponent when she got her down which was her only path to victory imo.

onto the next one

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05-09-2021 , 10:22 AM

#53736

PiquetteAces

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 649

every UFC , i make one and only one parlay of all my picks .... on top of my all my single bets .....

...thats how my night went last night

-jpp

[IMG]

[/IMG]

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05-12-2021 , 10:01 PM

#53737

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Wow that is a phenomenal losing parlay lol

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05-14-2021 , 01:35 PM

#53738

WateryBoil

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 5,762

this upcoming card looks OK, main and co main are going to be absolute bangers and thats what I really am watching for.

any thoughts? tony donezo? i think chandler going to kill charles if he tries to stand with him, but if charley takes him down hes in his world.

no huge favorites throughout the card, literally only 2 fighers than are better than -200. definitely going to be a variance prone betting night.

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05-15-2021 , 09:26 AM

#53739

povis7

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2016 Posts: 70

Would be a solid fight night card.
I have burgos by dec. 3.00 and Lee by dec. 2.75 and small bet on Olivera ITD.

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05-15-2021 , 08:28 PM

#53740

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

I still cannot believe KGB lost to Roxy

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05-15-2021 , 09:36 PM

#53741

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Lost my only decent bet so far, got the unders here. Ended up switching from Lando to Grundy, obv Lando won ridic 30-27 card for Grundy. Was small there tho Pickett was my only L

Have doesn't go distance here for the Jacare fight hopefully he continues to kill or be killed at his advanced age

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05-15-2021 , 09:55 PM

#53742

Purple_Sky

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 305

only decent sized bet I'm on is Barboza +135, Burgos striking defense is horrible and Barboza should be able to outstrike him comfortably from the outside. Only worry is if Burgos blitzes him like Ferguson did and knocks him out.

Have small bets on Oliveira and Ferguson as well, excited for the card

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05-15-2021 , 11:02 PM

#53743

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

araujo just took an adrenalien dump, got 0.75u chook mid 2nd at +120 , at -125 to start 3rd so maybe good bet

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05-15-2021 , 11:09 PM

#53744

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

I was scared when they said 30-27 because I think Chooks lost the 1st , but happy we got it $$

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05-15-2021 , 11:15 PM

#53745

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

adding 0.6u on Dariush at -130 SIA

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05-16-2021 , 08:39 AM

#53746

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Ended up down tiny for the card but Bontorin was a daysaver for me, had decent bets on Chandler and Bontorin

Very happy for Dariush that he won he's made me a lot lately but didn't fire as I wasn't certain Tony was washed, he is though evidently but still a nice win for Dariush

Dariush/Gaethje and Oliveira vs Conor/Poirier winners I guess?

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05-16-2021 , 03:43 PM

#53747

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Went 3-0 , something like 3u up it was a perfect night and the fights were incredible.

I should have followed my instinct and fired on Barboza and Lee too, I knew Antonina had 0 TDD.

On to the next event, this is the first time in ages I don't have bets already placed months in advance so hopefully we can catch some value still.

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05-17-2021 , 08:12 PM

#53748

YasielPuig

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2019 Posts: 162

Hey fellars. Any leans this upcoming card?

Both Bruno Silva and Ismagulov look like decent locks. But did you seems kind of high?

Anyone have any good liens? ��

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05-18-2021 , 04:50 AM

#53749

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I sort of want to bet Cody this weekend but the risk of Covid ruining him given he had complications and the risk of 'just bang' Cody showing up worry me a bit

Anyone got any thoughts on the main?

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05-18-2021 , 02:18 PM

#53750

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

I have this exact same fear (Covid effects) with Amanda Ribas.

I can catch her at -175 this second time around but until recently she was still having complications due to the virus and I have no idea which fighter will show up in a few weeks

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