Not happy to see Anthony Smith on the card. His last outing was horrible and I attribute that to the horrendous and unnecessary beating he took vs Glover a few months prior to that. He needs time off to rest and rebuild his confidence.

Anthony Smith is well and truly too tough for his own good.

3/1 lewis is offkey? i have it lewis fav my gut, power is significant dif , seeing lunging knees as a means to further combinations from lewis that time recently was v nice, whole body as tool, his stomac issue was questioned in the cage with numerous prodding toe kicks and nothing, he cuts weight down to enter hw, lot of mojo to get through chop down (run from) cute and clean on the feet dont cut it, curtis is going to have to stifle and be careful and talking about alternative means to victory other than the feet is a little indication the 3/1 is juicy.

lewis big papa in there

And I’m still probably gonna take him this week lol

blaydes would have to really **** up to lose against lewis. his wrestling is top tier at HW and hes got some nasty gnp too. hes only even lost to ngannou twice. its one of those punchers chance type spots, which lewis does excel at, but still..... blaydes all day here even tho lewis is an entertaining fighter that i usually bet on.

Yep Blaydes should wreck Lewis if he doesn't get caught with something early.
Took Blaydes inside the distance at 1.85, he should be able to land the takedowns and Lewis doesn't have much from his back.

Given that Latifi outwrestled Lewis without much trouble and we saw how easily Cormier got Lewis down. I don't think Blaydes has much trouble.

Sure on paper Blades is a tough matchup for Lewis but he's an even worse matchup for Ngannou and Ngannou's beaten him twice.

Also, I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that Lewis is the one dude that doesn't have to catch his opponent early in the fight. He could also catch him late.

Blaydes seems to have even better takedowns than Cormier, but he doesn't seem to be as good at keeping a man on the ground and Lewis is very good at getting back up. Cormier also has much better boxing and one of the most iron chins ever so you can't really compare him too much to Blaydes. Lewis is the 2nd strongest puncher and Blaydes has proven he can be knocked out, so I think Lewis is slight value at +300.

Blaydes’ chin is better than dc imo

disagree with both statements.

Ngannou is way more athletic and is faster, more accurate imo. Blaydes is a tougher match up for Lewis.

Blaydes shouldn't lose to Lewis, he's better everywhere except power, the issue is he's been knocked out, granted by Ngannou and it's HW and Lewis has power so never that keen to bet on a huge fav at HW when the dog has KO power even if it should be once sided in theory

He did go 5 rounds with Volkov without any worries but Volkov is more accumulation of damage knockouts not one shot power, he did hurt Blaydes with that kick in the 5th but otherwise the fight was all Blaydes

I'm on Mazany and Sanders so far, not sure what else i'll get if anything we'll see I guess. I don't know much about Mazany really but Ostovich was talking about how this could be her last fight and she's a terrible fighter if she's thinking retirement that's a very bad sign for her mindset going in. Sanders just got a good number etc

Ngannou has no wrestling and no gas tank. Lewis often gets up from takedowns and still poses a threat deep into a fight. On paper Blades should destroy just about everyone..on paper.

Ngannous striking is a ton faster than Lewis's

Him not having a gas tank could be old info, weve seen him go deep into a fight all of once a few years ago now (not counting Ngannou/Lewis which would not go the same way in a rematch today; Ngannou was still mentally messed up from the Stipe fight obv)

Also he doesn't need a gas tank when he kills people in r1 the first time he lands on their chin 75%+ of the time, the EV is better to just attack than conserve energy in that spot vs the elite of the division

I think Ngannou is likely way better than he was at the time of Stipe 1, plus Stipe is older than him, I think the second fight plays out very differently

Blaydes def is live vs Ngannou but needs to work on his striking defense a lot if hes going to be live you need excellent striking defense to stand a chance against Ngannou given his power in 2020-21 imo

Or he just needs a ref that won't stop the fight when Blaydes is coming to his feet and clearly not out.

Blaydes-Lewis cancelled, Blaydes positive for Covid.

He was badly rocked and would have likely been knocked out cold in the next exchange

A fresh Blaydes is live vs Ngannou, that Blaydes likely has an extra year taken off his career if the fight continues and wins 1-2% of the time or something from the spot he was in

Market thinks I got Mazany right, Sanders has steamed too but the Mazany money is flying in

Disappointing to lose the main last minute

I must say it is a bit surreal as someone living in a state that's been Covid-free for 70-something days that it's at all time highs in America and parts of Europe etc. Hope we get a vaccine rollout soon.

Ended up with 3 bets

Mudajeri TKO +146
Sanders -128 average
Mazany -150 but didn't get quite as much as I wanted

glgl all for this card

Will prob do some during the card esp if early card is going well got a few other leans but nothing else I want to bet early

this might be the worst card in the history of the ufc

do yourselves a favor and don't watch it or bet it IMO

Accumulator: 4-Fold, 1 x line @ 6.05/1
Hide selections
Gina Mazany - Winner @ 8/15
Ostovich v Mazany
Anthony Smith - Winner @ 4/5
Smith v Clark
Ashlee Evans-Smith - Winner @ 4/6
Evans-Smith v Dumont
Miguel Baeza - Winner @ 8/15
Baeza v Sato
Receipt ID:
O/119300xx
Bet Type:
Multi Bet
Total Stake
20.00
Estimated Returns
141.07

Looking forward to this card, Takashi Sato (lovely long accurate hands ) and his foe look in really good shape, that fight should be a cracker.
Smith should manage Devin Clark imo,

Gina story is interesting in that she kept her weight down for a long time with no fight, moved off the books then back, she has worked on her tools and remained focused and she maybe little lighter on the feet (agile).

The two big heavyweights still in look like they can bang :-)

See feel a vacuum fill it with joy! lets be glad the virus got picked up meaning they are doing all the right stuff and things not at risk of stopping completely with complaint's they are not taking things seriously.

Let the show roll on.......BOOOOOOMMMMMMMM

To be fair it doesn't work like that, you can get a card which looks not so good on paper(?) and then it delivers bucket loads of excitement, the only negative I can say is last event the timing on the cut scenes was off, those extra delays that mean the viewer is left waiting those extra few beats , normally its tighter,

Its not every week that the greatest footballer to ever live passes, those mins of fight time by covid drop out 1 of them could get a splash to cap tip to the argies, give Santiago Ponzinibbio a little warmth


Maradonia RIP

Edit: paige bare knuckle ? , she has a light touch and a sub artist, she is going to move those looks around her cheekbones to new locations.

https://youtu.be/q0wN1JxUmiQ

does anyone on this card even have a win?

I had to degen tho and took these

Ostovich +170
Evans-Smith -145
Carlyle/Algeo o2.5 +101
Sato/Baeza o1.5 -145
Clark +115
Clark/Smith o3.5 +106

Props:
Mudarji by KO, TKO, or DQ +125
Kamaka by Decision +120
Parisian by KO, TKO, or DQ -120
Clark by Decision +205
Ostovich by decision +325

Biggest bet is on Ostovich. She was beating VanZant pretty easy until she fell for an obvious arm bar. Only negative is Mazany is much bigger than her, but Mazany's not a good striker so the range won't help.

Clark is going to be dangerous first second but last time he won (not be d) was back in 2016, and no 5 rounders, clark is not beating smith by d so we can cross that off,

blaydes called in covid sick with a doctors note because he saw Lewis park up his whipp!




control like a martial artist, worth a watch, amazing.

Poor card but got

Sato at 2.65
Mudaerji KO at 2.7

That's it GL guys

Parisian by KO/TKO 1.8. Also betting on the Dubois - Joyce fight (boxing). Dubois by KO/TKO/DQ at 1.6.