MMA Thread - Page 2091 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

No time to look at all the fights today, and will watch Clemson game tonight (my daughter is a student) so am just gonna plop some .5u bets/parlays down on the final three fights:

De Randamie -150
De Castro -225
Holm -120

.5u single bets, 2-bet round robin parlays, and 3-bet parlay. Total bet 3.5u

Good luck everyone

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10-03-2020 , 03:20 PM

#52252

WateryBoil

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 5,762

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Jackal21

lol you are joking right, almost subbed nunez ffs, she got absolutely man handled and her tdd is fkn atrocious. if pena is even half the fighter she was she will ragdoll her for 3 rounds straight.

Condit looked good on the mitts, can see him winning a standup but lose to all grapplers/wrestlers.

Holm is my pick, experience and she's still relevant, she hasn't declined or anything and while Aldana looked great, who has she fought, this is a big step up.

to be fair, everyone gets man handled by nunes tho. thats why its kinda hard to judge her based on that.

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10-03-2020 , 04:38 PM

#52253

The_Jackal21

banned

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 834

Sure but if there's anything we can gather from that fight is that GDR has terrible tdd. With that in mind and Pena being somewhat of a specialist on the ground, I'm going to bet Pena.

I am a big GDR fan and fancied her to put up a fight, perhaps even beat Nunez, and I do think her striking is on par if not on a higher level than Nunez, obv Nunez had the recipe for that and simply took her down at will, which I think Pena will do as well, even more so!

btw, after some consideration I'm on Mcgee.

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10-03-2020 , 09:09 PM

#52254

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Got 0.35u on Imagov

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10-03-2020 , 09:28 PM

#52255

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Super fun fight great debut for both guys in terms of entertainment

For anyone not watching live, Imavov/Williams has been super fun

Should be 29-28 Imavov, competitive fight but he clearly won 2-3

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10-03-2020 , 09:32 PM

#52256

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

The ref was disgusting. He looked like he had a sizeable bet on Williams lol. He gave the fighter 5 seconds on that last clinch, that is just plain wrong.

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10-03-2020 , 09:46 PM

#52257

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

0.25u Jourdain -130 after the 1st

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10-03-2020 , 10:04 PM

#52258

Whatever695

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 78

Sounds like a fix in the Jourdain match. Scores 30-27, 28-29, and 28-28, really? First round was clearly Culibao in my opinion and no way round 3 was a 10-8 round.

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10-03-2020 , 10:09 PM

#52259

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

I thought it was a clear 29-28 for the Quebec guy. Agree no 10-8 on that 3rd round. Oh well, I`ll take the push over the split L anyday.

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10-03-2020 , 10:12 PM

#52260

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

r3 is fine to 10-8 it, but 10-9 is prob better

r2 complete flip, r1 clear Aussie, I think anything from 29-27 Jourdain to 29-28 Culibao is fine, draw about a fair outcome

30-27 judge is absurd I thought he must have said 29-27 live (my sound is down pretty low watching) saw 30-27 and thats just baffling if they didn't mis read the scorecard or something that judge needs to be fired

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10-03-2020 , 10:37 PM

#52261

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Big on Pena, this seems like the easiest value spot in a while at + numbers. GDR still has the worst td defense ever and Pena has some good td's even taking down Shevchenko.

Don't see how GDR keeps this standing when she was down as soon as Nunes leaned on her last fight. Looks like an easy stylistic matchup to me.

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10-03-2020 , 10:55 PM

#52262

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

lol Townsend protests stoppage I mean yeah, he was conscious etc but he was also being punched in the face over and over with no way out

I feel pretty gross being on GDR when I both like Pena more and she has a clear path but market does like GDR

Got GDR and Holm from here as main bets plus Phillips closes a parlay although i'm in bad price wise but since it's closing a parlay it's fine, up small for the card so far

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10-03-2020 , 11:20 PM

#52263

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

0.2u Pena at +135

Good odds imo and she has a clear path.

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10-03-2020 , 11:28 PM

#52264

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

Honestly, I was leaning Pena til I did a lot of tape. Just passing now, nunes brings a lot to worry about in the striking that Pena doesn’t and Pena doesn’t rly hit clean doubles like nunes was. She basically just runs in and pulls girls down form the clinch and gdr can handle that imo. Plus gdr will absolutely dominate the striking so she can just be cautious on the feet on pick her off. My opinion really means nothing here cause I have no money on it, but I think betting Pena isn’t that surefire at all

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10-03-2020 , 11:42 PM

#52265

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Maybe not wait until 15 seconds to go for the TD ?? Looking like a terrible bet lol

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10-03-2020 , 11:43 PM

#52266

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

gdr just controlling range. same way she fought pennignton. not opening up on offense but not giving up her hips

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10-03-2020 , 11:48 PM

#52267

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

ok 1-1, everything to play for here. gl

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10-03-2020 , 11:53 PM

#52268

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Oh come on Pena

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10-03-2020 , 11:56 PM

#52269

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Yikes, pretty gross. Pena most likely wins the round if she doesn't get caught in that and pulls her head out, pretty unlucky. Also pretty dumb she didn't take the clinch right away at the start when she rocked her a bit.

Bet was still huge value at the +130-140 range imo.

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10-03-2020 , 11:58 PM

#52270

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

got over 1.5 in the hw, then holm.

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10-03-2020 , 11:58 PM

#52271

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Jackal21

lol you are joking right, almost subbed nunez ffs, she got absolutely man handled and her tdd is fkn atrocious.

btw ill take my apology here

Quote

10-04-2020 , 12:00 AM

#52272

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

what do you martial sharpists think about holm u4.5 +185

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10-04-2020 , 12:01 AM

#52273

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Alright no bets on the co but hoping for the over and all aboard the Holm train !!1 $$$$

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10-04-2020 , 12:01 AM

#52274

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

hopefully not, because im hoping holly walls her off for 5 rounds

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10-04-2020 , 12:02 AM

#52275

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

I wonder if the GDR not by sub line prop moves with bets from other props or are people actually taking the -6500 on these things on 5d lol.

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