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Old 09-12-2020, 11:23 PM   #52101
Nick Diaz
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Re: MMA Thread

Holy **** I got destroyed tonight lol. down some 4.6u
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Old 09-12-2020, 11:25 PM   #52102
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Re: MMA Thread

Complete flip fight, can't argue either way as it came down to r5 which was super close

Disappointing to get the wrong end of it but i'm more of a Waterson fan so don't mind too much, won a unit or so for the card despite going 2-3 as I was biggest on Azaitar and Eubanks was a decent dog
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Old 09-13-2020, 02:35 AM   #52103
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Re: MMA Thread

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Originally Posted by Joe Pulaski View Post
thats the worst loss ive ever taken lol
And that's the best win I've taken since I bet Diego Sanchez to win in Rd3 vs the hype track and having that guy DQ'd after beating the crap out of diego the whole fight when Sanchez milked it.

Sorry for the loss because that was cruel.
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Old 09-13-2020, 05:17 AM   #52104
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Re: MMA Thread

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Got two bets for tonight

Hill at 1.8 which looks bad at current odds.
Been impressed with her improvement the last few fights and was impressed with how she dealt with Gadelha's grappling.

Waterson is undersized, her striking is more flashy then effective. She is a slick grappler though which worries me over a 5 round fight. Don't think its huge value but I like Hill here.

Other bet is Kish at 3.25, just too wide for me in what should be a mid level competitive wmma bout.

Bellator card is way more interesting. A few people that I respect from a betting perspective like Neiman Gracie not sold myself. Think Fitch can keep it standing and he's the more seasoned striker.

Mix vs Archuleta is a great fight, no bets for me but looking forward to it.
Frustrating night with Kish being up 2 rounds before the late finish. Thought Hill had done enough to take the 5th round but was a close fight.

On to the next one.

Probably going to be big on Dern but need to watch a bit more tape. Think Markos will accept a grappling match with her.
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Old 09-13-2020, 02:49 PM   #52105
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Re: MMA Thread

i have a habit of falling in love with -300ish fights when im on a big heater. huge leak.
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Old 09-13-2020, 03:24 PM   #52106
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Re: MMA Thread

**** i'm doing some data analysis for this year today cause nfl is boring me. i had reyes huge vs jones, perreria big vs diego, and rodriguez big vs. herman. thats incredible stuff.


some lucky decisions in there too obviously, but thats a rough stretch of three fights.
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Old 09-13-2020, 04:38 PM   #52107
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Re: MMA Thread

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Originally Posted by Joe Pulaski View Post
**** i'm doing some data analysis for this year today cause nfl is boring me. i had reyes huge vs jones, perreria big vs diego, and rodriguez big vs. herman. thats incredible stuff.


some lucky decisions in there too obviously, but thats a rough stretch of three fights.
I feel you brother.

Was going through some data this morning too and it`s crazy I have lost 6/8 split decisions in 2020.

I have to buy a new couch so gonna withdraw tomorrow and lower my unit size until end of year.

Great year so far but man if 45-50% of my split decisions would land my way it would be an incredible year.
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Old 09-13-2020, 07:05 PM   #52108
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Re: MMA Thread

not bad only invested $400 last night cashed out 3.1k

couldnt believe eubanks was at the odds she was. she would always have the strength advantage, if she took her down, then she had complete control. Avila was relatively untested in ufc, her last fight was a total can in gina and had only 2 fights in the ufc beforehand.

anyway had her, Billy Q by finish, Ottman by KO/TKO, Jalin Turner finish, and waterson by judges.
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Old 09-13-2020, 08:14 PM   #52109
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Re: MMA Thread

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couldnt believe eubanks was at the odds she was. she would always have the strength advantage, if she took her down, then she had complete control. Avila was relatively untested in ufc, her last fight was a total can in gina and had only 2 fights in the ufc beforehand.
That's the line I didn't understand either. I just figured people don't have much faith in Sarge, although she only lost one fight she was supposed to win: vs Bethe Correira, although that should be a crime in itself considering Correira is 2-5-1 in the last 6 years after starting her career 9-0.
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Old 09-13-2020, 11:14 PM   #52110
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Re: MMA Thread

I’m trying a new system: whenever two girls are fighting put your money on the less attractive one. It’s been doing alright so far and went 2-2 last night but both of the winners were big underdogs.
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Old 09-14-2020, 03:11 AM   #52111
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Re: MMA Thread

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I’m trying a new system: whenever two girls are fighting put your money on the less attractive one. It’s been doing alright so far and went 2-2 last night but both of the winners were big underdogs.
Should be a pretty easy model to back test, let us know your findings

Bestfightodds has historic closing prices

Your opinion I guess re fighter attractiveness as while there are some obvious ones others are a matter of personal opinion (like for example PVZ is more attractive than Eubanks, but PVZ vs Gadelha or Waterson might be a matter of opinion etc)

Legitimately curious to see what you find across say the last 100 fights or so it does make sense the mostly male fanbase may be swayed towards betting on the more attractive fighter especially on unknown vs unknown fights
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Old 09-14-2020, 09:00 AM   #52112
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Re: MMA Thread

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Originally Posted by Joe Pulaski View Post
**** i'm doing some data analysis for this year today cause nfl is boring me. i had reyes huge vs jones, perreria big vs diego, and rodriguez big vs. herman. thats incredible stuff.


some lucky decisions in there too obviously, but thats a rough stretch of three fights.
Forgot di chirico last second head kick and overreem vs rosenstruick lmao
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Old 09-14-2020, 02:48 PM   #52113
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Re: MMA Thread

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Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT View Post
Iím trying a new system: whenever two girls are fighting put your money on the less attractive one. Itís been doing alright so far and went 2-2 last night but both of the winners were big underdogs.
lol i like it
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Old 09-14-2020, 03:42 PM   #52114
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Re: MMA Thread

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Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT View Post
Iím trying a new system: whenever two girls are fighting put your money on the less attractive one. Itís been doing alright so far and went 2-2 last night but both of the winners were big underdogs.
GL with the rating system sir.

Spoiler:
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Old 09-14-2020, 09:15 PM   #52115
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Re: MMA Thread

Im legitimately curious about the 'less attractive female fighter' line in that at least there is logic behind the mostly male punters wanting to bet on the more attractive fighter due to 'liking her more'

Obviously in theory it shouldn't matter, but it's possible it could lol
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Old 09-15-2020, 12:13 AM   #52116
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Re: MMA Thread

Yeah this system rocks. I’m going to do it until I either win 10u or lose 10u. Then reevaluate. Will track results here.
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Old 09-15-2020, 12:15 AM   #52117
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Re: MMA Thread

Tbf ugly girls have been crushing lately. I think it’s ready for prime time.
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Old 09-16-2020, 01:56 AM   #52118
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Re: MMA Thread

kish was my key bet last week...as soon as the kick landed i knew she wouldnt recover and aint gonna be a good mma betting night lol after that i had rodrigez inside vs herman , herman get ko and claim to be balls hurt - referee made a mistake -then i had andrea lee to hurt modaferi imo she win but not the judge as modaferi lay on lee for 2 minutes ....so that was it!
mma referee cant correct a call ,no replay allowed and the judge are a fkn pandora box!! they are a decade behind if you compare to nhl or mlb as every referee mistake gets immediatly corrected by replays ect !! i mean in the past year..the direction taken by these judge ,referee is closer trhan boxing 25 year a go when most of the fight was fixed than the direction taken by mlb nhl americain sports now days!! I like i my edge on that sports but after all the above it gets cancel out!

Last edited by Bravepitt; 09-16-2020 at 02:11 AM.
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Old 09-16-2020, 09:00 AM   #52119
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Re: MMA Thread

Feel like I mus be missing something beacuse Dern seems a terrible match up for Randa Markos.

But she's been drifting since she opened. I know she has a young daughter so maybe that's factored in. Still though unless Markos can keep it standing and rely on her jab for 15 minutes. Her ways of winning this fight seem very slim.
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Old 09-17-2020, 07:00 AM   #52120
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Re: MMA Thread

Just bet Roxanne everytime she's a huge underdog. She's been an underdog in 7 of her 8 ufc fights. She's won 4 of those fights, an underdog each time, and a sizeable underdog in 3 of those fights.

Just saw the card for this weekend. Looks stacked!
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Old 09-17-2020, 11:09 PM   #52121
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Re: MMA Thread

If anyone wants a layup parlay, take Covington & Price. Another great one IMO is Covington, Price, Walker & Stewart, albeit much riskier.

Last edited by valiantcalls; 09-17-2020 at 11:16 PM.
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Old 09-18-2020, 12:15 AM   #52122
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Re: MMA Thread

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Just bet Roxanne everytime she's a huge underdog. She's been an underdog in 7 of her 8 ufc fights. She's won 4 of those fights, an underdog each time, and a sizeable underdog in 3 of those fights.

Just saw the card for this weekend. Looks stacked!
see giving to my research,experience,knowledge i tough the timing was right for lee to win that fight! she can dish out a lot of damage...just a lot of energy and shes strong as for her weightclass...in fact she stuff takedowns and her grappling did impove! but late in the second of or third after a scramble she give up under hook on her ( and modaferi immediatly took advantage of that flaw ) it eventually lead to 2 small edge takedown in a row ! brain fart stuff...that certainly deserv a round maybe but not cancel out lee edge in the striking game.

which way is the optimal way to approach mma betting...she win as a big dog more often than not...or all the technical stuff you can gather and fill your brain with lol probably the first one actually loll , cant bet seriously on that sports in the end

Last edited by Bravepitt; 09-18-2020 at 12:29 AM.
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Old 09-18-2020, 09:49 AM   #52123
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Re: MMA Thread

Woodley has been fighting a lot like Lawlor lately- Gunshy.
This trend has got to stop or they should both retire. Waiting for that perfect shot just doesn't materialize often enough against top ranked MMA fighters in any division below HW.
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Old 09-18-2020, 10:49 AM   #52124
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Re: MMA Thread

God woodleys press conference was so cringe, there was a chance to make this entertaining in regards to maga vrs blm(if it was sorta alter ego/satire like Colby) but tyron came off awful. Hoping he makes it 15 lost rounds in a row.
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Old 09-18-2020, 11:01 AM   #52125
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Re: MMA Thread

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