MMA Thread - Page 2070 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

The biggest spot is Rua imo. Already beaten Nog twice, which is mostly irrelevant because they're OAPs now, but Nog genuinely looks like he should be picking up his bus pass.

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07-23-2020 , 11:24 AM

#51727

tokeweed

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 2,966

Quote:

Originally Posted by RB87

Think I have found some decent spots for this weekends card.

On Whittaker at 1.97
Ronson at 3.5
Trinaldo at 1.7
Sergio Pettis at 1.7

Like Werdum sub prop but not backed it yet,

Can you share your take on Ronson? Curious...

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07-23-2020 , 01:54 PM

#51728

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

i think bandejas is definitely the favorite vs. pettis

i took gus v big at -300, might hedge out some at fight time if i can. took rodriguez big at -155. if we get a markos/calvillo type round where she's stuck on her back and cant get up i think it's more unlikely that esparza makes it a 10-8, and the striking is going to be so insanely lopsided. she's going to put a lot of damage on esparza. took wood for 1/3 bet at -379 before that price ran.

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07-23-2020 , 02:24 PM

#51729

wj294

adept

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,121

I just found out that Jai Herbert is from my home town so am rooting for him even more than I already do for any of the UK guys. Trinaldo is no easy outing though, especially not on your UFC debut.

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07-23-2020 , 03:00 PM

#51730

WateryBoil

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 5,762

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnCleese

The biggest spot is Rua imo. Already beaten Nog twice, which is mostly irrelevant because they're OAPs now, but Nog genuinely looks like he should be picking up his bus pass.

this. i think rua by judges is very very likely.

also...

Chimaev, Khamzat - Round 1 -125

how dominant was his fight recently? i missed it. hes ****in -1000 lol i dunno how else you could get value here.

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07-24-2020 , 05:50 AM

#51731

RB87

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by tokeweed

Can you share your take on Ronson? Curious...

Not a lot of my own analysis. Odds were much better then Pinny at the time got 3.5, Pinny were 3.1.

A friend of mine who is profitable betting MMA long term thought the odds were too wide.

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07-24-2020 , 08:38 AM

#51732

Balla Shusher

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,330

Men grow tired of sleep, love, singing and dancing sooner than the Cage.

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07-24-2020 , 12:54 PM

#51733

Joe Pulaski

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

i took dalby pretty confidently at -238, will add more if it goes back closer to -200.

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07-24-2020 , 12:58 PM

#51734

Joe Pulaski

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

think im taking tywan and ricky tonight. this is a massive step up in competition for jay-jay wilson. hes just basically overpowered bad fighters with his grappling. emmanuel sanchez is actually good and has a ton of experience, not a bad loss and claxton still showed some decent things in that fight.

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07-24-2020 , 01:32 PM

#51735

Onlydo2days

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 19,281

Whittaker up to -140, got -110 to -115, hopefully he can deliver

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07-25-2020 , 12:12 AM

#51736

Joe Pulaski

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

lol rekt, 0-2 lost a lot.

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07-25-2020 , 09:05 AM

#51737

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Haven't bet them all yet as i'm deciding on props for some/waiting for higher limits game day etc, but I expect to be on some combination of Aspinall/Grundy/Herbert/Whittaker/Shogun/Rodriguez/Craig/Boser, might not bet all of them but probably will and in a few cases some stuff like double chance markets or decision no bet markets etc

GL all should be a fun card. Would love to see Whittaker put Till to sleep, but any win is good. AUSSIE AUSSIE AUSSIE

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07-25-2020 , 10:17 AM

#51738

povis7

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2016 Posts: 70

Big on Whittaker and small bet on Gus in round 1

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07-25-2020 , 01:04 PM

#51739

RB87

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,210

Added a few more bets.

Bethe Correira at 2.42
Lil Nog at 2.7

Not in love with either but think the odds are two wide for what will probably be a competitive women's fight and two shot fighters who probably should have called it a day a while ago.

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07-25-2020 , 04:58 PM

#51740

Spike Forehand

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 2,174

So far, tailing 2u Whittaker at -125, 2u Dalby at -275, .5u Lil Nog at +162, .5u Chimaev Rd 1.

Added .3u Grundy sub +750 and .5u Boser/Pessoa ITD

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07-25-2020 , 06:38 PM

#51741

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Evloev (-175) 1.75u to win 1u

Nice line drop (from -250), I think he can keep it standing and dominate to a decision.

Good luck all $$

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07-25-2020 , 06:47 PM

#51742

JohnCleese

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 1,935

Evloev getting out of that d'arce was insane.

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07-25-2020 , 06:51 PM

#51743

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Feeling good baby. 5 more minutes. Some of the best grappling I have seen this year, great fight.

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07-25-2020 , 06:52 PM

#51744

RB87

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,210

Took Evoleov after round 1 at 1.41 Grundy KO or bust here.
Explosive guy but not got much for Evloev

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07-25-2020 , 07:19 PM

#51745

RB87

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,210

Get in great win for Ronson!

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07-25-2020 , 08:04 PM

#51746

Spike Forehand

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 2,174

Rocky prelims for me. -3u. Hoping the main turns it around

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

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07-25-2020 , 08:10 PM

#51747

SwoopAE

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Just got Craig and Whittaker for main card in the end

1-2 so far, has Aspinall and ITD, but lost on Herbert and Grundy

Herbert one pretty lol I do remember thinking even though Trins gassed the live odds of 1.05 8.50 on b365 a bit extreme for a fight thats often 19-19 on cards but Herbert should have won that pretty inexcusable

Trinaldo def declining a bit and Herbert isnt very good sadly