UFC 251 Embedded: Vlog Series - Episode 4

im mostly loaded up for tomorrow.

day, salikhov, santos, volkan, yan, usman. not insanely confident on anything but usman, all to win 1 unit except usman thats a big one.

salikhovs ground game is worrying but ezds hasn't looked particularly good and probably should have lost his last one.

andrade but i only have a bit on it, hoping it goes a bit higher. will be firing a full bet regardless at fight time, thats a must bet even with 3 rounds. have o/4.5 in usman and holloway/volk.

probably gonna take the free money on ribas if it comes down at all.

only fight i havent scouted is paiva/khazak guy. i love paiva, he's durable af and builds as the fight goes, but know nothing about his opponent.

Ending up firing on Usman @-225, probs wont have any other action which sucks, unless Max moves outside +200

Going to go with Usman -235 tonight

Stuff i'm on

Paiva Dec no bet -162
Salikhov Dec no bet -166
Salikhov -120
Amirkhani Dec no bet -188
Yan TKO or DEC -175
Ribas ITD +142 (too many sharps love Ribas to finish but I won't be sad if PVZ wins as I quite like her as a fan)
Usman -225
Rosa -250
Namajunas -185
Santos -175
Grant +139

Think Usman is one of the best bets of the card unless he fights like an idiot, Santos has never let me down, kinda wanted Volk too but not at sub 1.50

My fishy instincts want to bet on Paige since she's such a huge dog but i'll do my best to resist

Time for my noob bettor question of the week.

When you say "Dec no bet" are you placing one bet on the fighter to win by decision, but then covering the other side in some way to get the "no bet" part?

Volk (-215) 2.15u to win 1u

Them leg kicks, he defo chews the lead leg again and makes Max switch stances by the 3rd and then owns him again.

Also added a tiny parlay Rosa/Santos/Volk/Yan to win 0.52u

Love Namajunas, I think she will box the F out of Andrade again and not get slammed but she is not the most mentally stable fighter and add Pat Berri in her corner nah dawg I`ll pass, but hope she becomes the champ.

Added Oezdemir -160

GL all lets have a big card today

None of my sizings are huge, biggest on Usman I think

@spike by decision no bet I mean its a prop where if it goes the distance the bet is voided regardless of who wins, if your fighter wins by finish its a win and if your fighter loses by finish its a loss - some books offer those props (off the top of my head 5dimes does, plus topsport an aussie book)

Fun back and forth fight should be 1-1 in the balance with 3m and change left

Wow that is an early contender for FOTN

Anyone not watching this live check out the Day/Grant fight great fight

Wow, Grant has a broken jaw and still won by KTFO

Impressive given

These guys deserve a FOTN bonus or Grant deserves a POTN if it doesn't get FOTN

Not sure it was the best gameplan but great way for Grant to get some fans and not just be another fighter on the roster since i'm sure this card will have a huge number of people watching given how little sport on and how stacked the card is

1-0 start today let's have a big one

Rosa looking like a -2000 fav here they could fight 100 times and i'm not sure Melo would win a fight except for fluke injury etc

lol I say that and r3 is suddenly close and if anything Melo might win the third

Still Rosa super clearly won rounds 1-2 so not in doubt

Close fight here with a minute left gonna come down to the third etc

Zhumagalov is up maybe one decent shot but Paiva's been the aggressor literally here to be won either way final minute, seems likely to go the distance so my bet voids either way but GL Paiva I guess since i've been cheering for him

Zhumagulov prob wins a split here a lot? Idk

Zhumagul-ouch


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Surprised Paiva won a UD there thought it would be at least split but neither guy can really complain, Paiva won r1 clearly, had r2 as lean Zhumagulov and r3 close, Zhu landed better shots but Paiva landed more shots it felt like and was the aggressor so whatever

They should force Tybura to fight Francis Ngannou as a punishment for making me sit though that fight

No kidding. Trying to get the wife to watch UFC with me and she decided to start with that fight. She lasted about 1 min into round 2.


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How many times before Goddard fookin takes a point ??? This is crazy

I guess you get three ball strikes before you lose a point in UFC. New strategies coming into a training camp near you.

Baseline 29 28 Santos prob maybe 29 27 if R2 was a 10 8

With 2 pts deducted prob 29 26 or 29 25 idk

Glad Santos won that was bullshit 4 major fouls etc

Had Santos inside lol fml

That was a weird fight all Santos til he gassed himself trying to finish in a spot ref prob stops it over half the time then 4 fouls and a point deduction

So glad Santos won and not just because of the bet woulda been bs if he got finished due to damage taken from groin strikes and an illegal knee to the face