MMA Thread - Page 2058 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

I will say this is about as cheap as you can expect to get Hooker. Hooker has been a favorite in all of his UFC fights except vs Diakiese at the end of 2017. Poierier hasn't been this favored since early 2017.

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06-26-2020 , 09:35 PM

#51427

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Malachii

Not sure why you’re so crazy about Perry. If Gall gets him down it’s over.

I'm prob gonna hedge some with gall R1 sub but gall will have absolutely nothing for Perry standing imo I like gall and dislike Perry but this is a huge step up for gall all of his wins are against fighters who aren't ufc level and he got tkod by a super washed up Diego Sanchez
Granted via gnp but Perry will have the best standup of anyone he's faced on the ufc
Granted mile Perry isn't super bright and is being cornered by his gf for this fight lol

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06-26-2020 , 09:39 PM

#51428

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by colt45ss

weird how the markets vary.
at Twin River
perry by TKO/KO/DQ -190
by decision +500
by submission +2500

Yeah that's part of why I went so hard getting -118 average means it'll be easy for me to hedge some if I change my mind

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06-27-2020 , 06:17 AM

#51429

JB91

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 3,105

Anyone know anything about Kyle Daukaus?

He's making his UFC debut tomorrow against Brendan Allen and has a 9-0 record, including 8 wins by chokes (5 D'Arce, 3 RNC). He's a +260 to win and +550 to win via submission.

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06-27-2020 , 09:29 AM

#51430

SwoopAE

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Took a few more spots

Pena + Greene parlay -104
Greene ITD -104
Pena + Hansen parlay +123
Hansen -172

and already had Zalal -110 and Perry mix of ITD/TKO (eff same thing given the fighters involved) at -118

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06-27-2020 , 10:48 AM

#51431

Joe Pulaski

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Malachii

Not sure why you’re so crazy about Perry. If Gall gets him down it’s over.

i don't think that's true at all. he got salim touhari and randy brown down. mickey gall is basically just an infinitely worse version of cowboy oliveira. for as much of a joke as perry is, his losses are to jouban, ponzi, griffin, cerrone, luque, and geoff neal.

Last edited by Joe Pulaski; 06-27-2020 at 10:53 AM.

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06-27-2020 , 11:28 AM

#51432

SwoopAE

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Perry is a joke of a human being but a legitimately talented striker and Mickey Gall is not a capable striker, he was running away from Randy Brown and got lit up and GNP TKO'd by very very very past his prime Diego Sanchez

Also added some Woodson TKO +107 and ITD -118 mixture just chasing steam a bit on a heavily steaming favourite and gives me an extra fight to sweat. Got some more Hansen too

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06-27-2020 , 05:41 PM

#51433

Malachii

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Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 4,072

I guess we'll see. Maybe I'm a lot higher on Mickey Gall than everyone else. Mike Perry's ground game is trash, I could easily see him getting caught in a submission. But we'll see what happens.

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06-27-2020 , 05:43 PM

#51434

Malachii

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Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 4,072

And I don't really see the comparison to Cowboy Olivera at all. Cowboy Olivera is an electric striker with + athleticism. Mickey Gall is a submission guy with so/so athleticism who is actually pretty smart and coachable. The one knock on him is he lost to Diego Sanchez in a fight where he cut a lot of weight and sh*t the bed. Mike Perry is a dummy who fired all of his coaches and is gonna be cornered by his girlfriend. We'll see what happens, but I think this is a good spot to buy low on Gall.

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06-27-2020 , 05:48 PM

#51435

RB87

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,210

Not a great card for betting but got a few bets.

Boser at 2.02
Perry Ko at 1.83
Hooker at 2.92

Looking forward to watching it tomorrow morning main event should be a war and Perry fights are normally entertaining.

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06-27-2020 , 07:28 PM

#51436

SwoopAE

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Nice work on boser against steam but he just wins easily very impressive

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06-27-2020 , 07:35 PM

#51437

wj294

adept

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,121

I've no money on the line but I'm rooting for Worthy here, he won me over in his debut and I hope he can pull off the upset here.

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06-27-2020 , 07:56 PM

#51438

SwoopAE

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Ah lame was so close to nailing a cashout in early r3 on Pena but didn't

Pena is such a waste of talent

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06-27-2020 , 07:59 PM

#51439

Dream Crusher

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Very impressive to win like that.

Pena is one of those tall lanky dudes we like to overrate.

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06-27-2020 , 08:32 PM

#51440

Dream Crusher

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Another one of those tall lanky dudes we love to overrate.

Hell of a performance by Erosa. Showed huge heart and determination all fight.

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06-27-2020 , 08:34 PM

#51441

SwoopAE

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That came out of nowhere nice win for Erosa

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06-27-2020 , 08:36 PM

#51442

wj294

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What's up with Buffer tonight? Twice now he's gotten tripped up saying something which I can't ever really recall him doing before.

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06-27-2020 , 08:46 PM

#51443

SwoopAE

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Nice by Sato there

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06-27-2020 , 08:50 PM

#51444

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by wj294

What's up with Buffer tonight? Twice now he's gotten tripped up saying something which I can't ever really recall him doing before.

I noticed that too hope he's just having an off day

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06-27-2020 , 08:57 PM

#51445

wj294

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Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,121

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

I noticed that too hope he's just having an off day

Yeah, I hope the same. It was especially noticable whilst announcing Erosa's victory, he really got caught up and flustered.

Seeing the UFC251 adverts is equally exciting/tilting. I ofc know why they do it but I just want to watch a PPV card without having to stay up till gone 6am for once and was thought I was gonna get my wish when I saw fight island's location. They even had Bisping v Hendo 2 on Vegas time so I shouldn't be surprised. /rant

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06-27-2020 , 09:02 PM

#51446

Spike Forehand

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Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 2,174

Quote:

Originally Posted by JB91

He's from Philly, so I'll put a couple bucks on him.

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06-27-2020 , 09:38 PM

#51447

SwoopAE

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Added some Greene and Greene r1 to go w my ITD

Hulk smashing time, time to show Villante he belongs at LHW

Allen/Daukaus was a sick fight, right winner but lol @ the 30-27 scorecard

One of the Aussie cards I went to live started at 9am, they just put the overseas PPV cards on at American timezone hours regardless because that's where the PPV buys come from

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06-27-2020 , 09:58 PM

#51448

wj294

adept

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,121

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Added some Greene and Greene r1 to go w my ITD

Hulk smashing time, time to show Villante he belongs at LHW

Allen/Daukaus was a sick fight, right winner but lol @ the 30-27 scorecard

One of the Aussie cards I went to live started at 9am, they just put the overseas PPV cards on at American timezone hours regardless because that's where the PPV buys come from

Yeah, that's what I meant when I said I know why they do it. It's a trade off against having free PPV cards I guess.

Villante has obviously never been an elite talent but this new dad bod Villante is bizarre to see. 255lbs ffs haha