Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
-104 now, and I thought he was value at -140. At -104 the value is insane, hence 7 of the 8 units I have on this card are on Vitor. Either going to make a bunch or lose a bunch, we'll find out soon enough I guess. Vitor/Rumble is the true main event here for me since i'm not an Aldo fan. it always surprises me that Aldo has more fans than Cruz and Edgar when every Cruz and Edgar fight is amazing at the lighter weight classes, people don't like fighters who win exciting decisions I guess? To be fair I haven't seen some of Aldo's WEC fights though.
I think Etim wins about 1 in 3 times or so, very slight value at +235. Barboza should be favourite, but not by quite that much. Remember, he had a close fight with Njokuani who it turns out isn't as good as we thought and he arguably lost the Pearson fight.
I feel like the most likely outcome is a close 29-28 UD or SD and while that favours Barboza since he has the home crowd, I have to go for the underdog if I think it's going to be a close decision most of the time.
Over/under on percent of the time that Palhares does something immensely stupid mid-fight? He's at 3 from 8 so far in his UFC career...
I've changed my mind about palhares mike, rumours going around mike has a problem with his knee and we all know what that means(palhares specialty, sub by knees,anklelocks etc)... Beside, Palhares is a huge ***** dude for his weight class and he's already fought mike type of fighter, the mid wrestling dudes and so far dealt with them good.
Njon has very good standup and that's what you should draw from his bout with Barboza when Barboza defeated him, that barboza has top notch striking since it was a striking match. Njon match against Castillo you can really only comment on his grappling/being pressured against the wall game.
Also if you gona comment on Barboza's performances, take a look at Terry Etim's, he hasn't exactly faced anyone decent(all of his wins are against ppl who are no longer in ufc), with the only exception being Sam Stout pretty much. Whilst Barboza has faced 2 very good fighters.
Also people like Aldo bc he's an existing fighter as well + he finishes fights in spectaculiar fashion. I'm not taking anything away from Edgar or Cruz though, just saying, especially Cruz, I think he has a really cool style even if he rarely finishes fights. There's a free fight on ufc, Aldo vs Jonathan Brockins, who won the TUF recently and he got absolutely destroyed by Aldo.
Last edited by Swiiftx; 01-12-2012 at 07:46 PM.