MMA Thread - Page 1951 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Masvidal's gone from a career gatekeeper to an elite star who is probably a draw now in two fights and one backstage scuffle

I mean i'm obv disappointed my bet lost but that was insanity

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:30 PM

#48753

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

rockhold hurt me, masvidal giving me some life. was a huge night til rockhold, ended up pretty good. rockhold was my biggest bet tho, cause i added on him right before the fight. was gonna flick some on jones when he was trending closer to -400, but think i pass on this current price.

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:31 PM

#48754

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Masvidal's gone from a career gatekeeper to an elite star who is probably a draw now in two fights and one backstage scuffle

I mean i'm obv disappointed my bet lost but that was insanity

Agreed. Change of who he is and people didn't react in time imo.

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:46 PM

#48755

foatie

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 5,295

This card is nutttttts

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:48 PM

#48756

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by foatie

This card is nutttttts

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:50 PM

#48757

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Got a little Nunes ITD -105 last min but still down for the card due to Askren but not that much at least

Added a small bet on Santos ITD +550 to go w my wins in r1 +1900 prop

Might get some u2.5 rounds too as if Santos can't finish Jones quickly he's going to get wrecked via takedown/elbows or sub

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:52 PM

#48758

WateryBoil

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 5,762

i got jones by ko/tko or judges

also hit jan, allen, chiesa. lost on ben askren

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:55 PM

#48759

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Thoughts on jones fight? Jon finish in 4 rounds exactly? I have no bet or expertise but wondering. No bets on this one.

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:56 PM

#48760

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Decided on u3.5 rounds -200 I just don't see it going over 3.5 rounds no matter who wins think it's slightly better than the u2.5 rounds -140. If Santos hasn't finished him within 2 rounds Jones is going to dominate and if he takes him down he'll finish by elbows/sub.

Let's go Santos in r1 tho obv +1900 seems juicy even against Jon Jones fr a guy with Santos's power whose gameplan is to win by KO. Hope he's inspired by Masvidal to come out fast and not let Jones settle in

@ynewt I like Santos wins in r1 or Jones in r2-3 probably if I have to pick specific outcomes. Pretty happy w my under and small Santos props for a big payout if he can pull off a miracle

Quote

07-06-2019 , 11:58 PM

#48761

WateryBoil

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 5,762

i think its a 2nd maybe 3rd jones finish if not he plays safe like smith and it goes judges.

why i leaned more toward ko/tko tho is because Santos does not have that tentative style like anthony smith does.

i think jones will outwrastle him and tko him on the ground

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:00 AM

#48762

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Love the miracle bets. Let’s make it a great night for the both of us.

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:01 AM

#48763

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by WateryBoil

Agreed again. Think will be more aggressive then last fight, which he should’ve lost for an illegal knee.

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:05 AM

#48764

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Sold my Santos ITD and bought a small Santos wins in r2 +2000 bet if he wins itll be in the first two, i'm heavily weighted to r1 tho if he wins but will profit as long as fight goes under 3.5 rounds

This is either gonna end with Jones on top of him raining down elbows or getting a sub or with Santos pulling off the miracle early and putting Jones out cold if he can pull off the upset

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:09 AM

#48765

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

think jon wins this pretty easily. anytime the promos are like welllllll it only takes one!

not betting anything on it tho.

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:19 AM

#48766

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Wow I kinda wish I had some Santos straight up with this gameplan, Santos probably actually just won the first round with mostly leg kicks. Jones looks beatable atm if Santos can do this perfectly

Obv less confident in my u3.5 rounds seeing that

Surprised Jones corner says excellent round when it was a close round that Santos probably won via landing all those leg kicks

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:23 AM

#48767

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Santos was looking great until he injured his leg in early r2 there

Def a better gameplan than Smith had

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:24 AM

#48768

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Santos was looking great until he injured his leg in early r2 there

Def a better gameplan than Smith had

I fight 145 and my legs are bigger! Tiny Jones

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:25 AM

#48769

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Jones WAY too passive, r2 is fairly close and he lost the first, it should be 19-19 now probably though as Jones landed cleaner in r2

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:27 AM

#48770

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

What the **** is Jones doing he looks terrible in there against a guy with a shot leg

Come on Santos land on that chin

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:30 AM

#48771

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I mean obv Jones is gonna win now that Santos is slowing down and has a messed up leg but not impressed by him at all today

Hope it ends in u3.5 now

29-28 Jones so far but I think Santos is done unfortunately, but if he hadn't hurt his leg he'd have won r2 probably and who knows from there. Jones looks beatable today even though he's going to win

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:30 AM

#48772

ynewt

enthusiast

Join Date: Nov 2017 Posts: 53

Too passive. With you.

Quote

07-07-2019 , 12:36 AM

#48773

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Bleh pretty gross card in the end lose a couple units. Jones is ****ing pathetic in there he's fighting not to lose and whatever fair enough Santos has power but I have no idea why he's made absolutely no attempt to take the fight to the ground or attack against an opponent whose movement is compromised

I hope Santos murks him at 4:50 of r5 Lewis style

It almost feels like Santos is the first opponent Jones has ever actually been scared of even though he's winning he might not be if Santos hadn't hurt his leg early in r2

I mean... if Santos somehow wins r5, the second was close enough Jones needs to sweat even tho he'd retain 95%+