Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-02-2019, 12:19 AM   #48726
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Looks like the Askren line's on the move so took some -227. Was hoping to get -200, but I feel like he's at least -300 so taking some now. Masvidal got outgrappled by Demian Maia. Askren has better takedowns than he does and as we saw in the Lawler fight, a solid chin.

Pretty sure Ngannou might just hulk smash Jones if they ever fought I can't imagine Jones wanting that fight, Ngannou has size and reach and power. Would be like nothing he's ever faced before and Jones would be a smallish HW even though he's big for LHW, I can't imagine Jones coming in above 240 while maintaining his skillset and he'd probably be more like 230. Jones could bulk up but he might lose some of his speed if he did or cardio.

Thiago Santos is the first wade forward and trade power shots guy he's facing sinc he somehow never fought Rumble (who wanted to wrestle vs DC wtf) but Santos is a ton smaller than Ngannou and probably has a weaker chin too

That said I can't wait for the Santos fight because the best way to beat Jones is to walk him down and throw bombs, and if one lands we may see Jones in trouble for the first time (and if not obv Jones wins easily, but Jones wins easily against everyone, so maximising punchers chance is probably the best play for Santos, wade in ready to eat a shot to throw one)
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-02-2019, 12:58 PM   #48727
RB87
adept
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 1,167
Re: MMA Thread

Surprised Edwards is quite a decent favourite against Dos Anjos.
Edwards just about edged a win over Cowboy in 5 rounds think he will have a tough time against Dos Anjos.

Dos Anjos at plus money looks value IMO.
RB87 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-04-2019, 03:19 AM   #48728
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Yeah thats surprising to me id take RDA above evens for sure despite him getting older he hasn't declined badly yet but its coming soon at some point

Looks like the Askren price is improving gonna get on that more if it keeps coming in, took some -227 when Askren was moving in earlier in the week but holding off for now to max it whenever I think the bottom is in - might get a little Askren to finish him at 5ish too if I can since even though Masvidal's tough to finish it's quite possible main play will be straight up though
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-05-2019, 04:56 AM   #48729
Malachii
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 3,994
Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Looks like the Askren line's on the move so took some -227. Was hoping to get -200, but I feel like he's at least -300 so taking some now. Masvidal got outgrappled by Demian Maia. Askren has better takedowns than he does and as we saw in the Lawler fight, a solid chin.

Pretty sure Ngannou might just hulk smash Jones if they ever fought I can't imagine Jones wanting that fight, Ngannou has size and reach and power. Would be like nothing he's ever faced before and Jones would be a smallish HW even though he's big for LHW, I can't imagine Jones coming in above 240 while maintaining his skillset and he'd probably be more like 230. Jones could bulk up but he might lose some of his speed if he did or cardio.

Thiago Santos is the first wade forward and trade power shots guy he's facing sinc he somehow never fought Rumble (who wanted to wrestle vs DC wtf) but Santos is a ton smaller than Ngannou and probably has a weaker chin too

That said I can't wait for the Santos fight because the best way to beat Jones is to walk him down and throw bombs, and if one lands we may see Jones in trouble for the first time (and if not obv Jones wins easily, but Jones wins easily against everyone, so maximising punchers chance is probably the best play for Santos, wade in ready to eat a shot to throw one)
I bet on Masvidal, but in hindsight I don't love my bet to be honest. Askren's a great wrestler and he's a specialist who on paper can certainly grind out the win. I do feel like Masvidal is a much more complete fighter and who actually has very good TDD and defensive wrestling, a good submission game and great striking, but none of that may end up mattering if Askren can just impose his will on him. We will see. Part of me thinks that Masvidal is just going to find a way to win this one, and part of me thinks that Askren is just too good of a wrestler and I'm an idiot for fading him, but either way I think this is going to be a very close fight and a nail biter.

I've got Marshman, Blachowicz, Masvidal, and Thiago Santos at +600 (thanks Westgate :-). Also have some props. If Marshman, Blachowicz, or Santos wins I'm going to be very happy, have a huge bet on Blachowicz and have really good odds on Marshman and Santos.

Luke Rockhold is an arrogant prick and dumb as a f*cking fence post, and I think that may prove to be his undoing against Blachowicz, but we will see.
Malachii is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-05-2019, 09:03 AM   #48730
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Yeah the market really loves Rockhold and he is super talented offensively but he won't be as huge at LHW as he was at MW and his boxing defense and chin are an issue. I sort of want to bet on Rockhold getting knocked out again but not super keen to fade the steam

I'm considering Pannie as I thought she was solid on TUF and she's a decent dog but not super familiar with her opponent. Definitely like Askren, and i'll probably consider playing Santos wins in r1 at +1900 or something like that
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-05-2019, 09:53 AM   #48731
heehaww
Pooh-Bah
 
heehaww's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Tacooos!!!!
Posts: 4,851
Re: MMA Thread

I took Askren -215 recently. Would have got -202 on BOL but all my money on there is already invested ("invested").

I'm biased since I'm a wrestler and a fan of his. But I like his chin and he's the better grappler and a much better wrestler. It doesn't matter if Masvidal has wrestling experience and TDD; if Funky Ben wants to take him down, he will. That would be true if Masvidal were just waiting in a wrestling stance and it's even more true while boxing.
heehaww is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-05-2019, 11:51 AM   #48732
RB87
adept
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 1,167
Re: MMA Thread

Got £100 on Masvidal at 3.0
£50 on Gilbert at 4.0
£50 on Marshman at 5.5

Quite a few question marks regarding Melendez but its a big step up for Allen and only a few fights ago Mads Burnell was pretty much dominating before he pulled out a sub.
If Melendez is not completely shot then this fight is competitive.

Followed the steam on Masvidal and a few decent handicappers seem to think he is value. Don't love this bet but got decent odds.

Marshman is durable and has decent striking. Shahbazyan hasn't done enough to convince he should be these odds against mid/low tier UFC calibre fighters.
RB87 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-05-2019, 05:25 PM   #48733
JimGunn
old hand
 
JimGunn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: South Florida
Posts: 1,898
Re: MMA Thread

Glory 67 Risk $1,625.00

Jahfarr Wilnis (-167) vs D'Angelo Marshall ~$187.00 for ~$111.98
Jahfarr Wilnis (-170) vs D'Angelo Marshall $170.00 for $100.00
Jahfarr Wilnis (-200) vs D'Angelo Marshall $200.00 for $100.00

Asa Ten Pow (-278) vs Houssam El Kasri $405.00 for $145.80
Asa Ten Pow (-315) vs Houssam El Kasri $315.00 for $100.00
Asa Ten Pow (-315) vs Houssam El Kasri $315.00 for $100.00

Kevin VanNostrand (+295) vs Serhiy Adamchuk ~$33.00 for ~$97.02
JimGunn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 06:20 PM   #48734
JimGunn
old hand
 
JimGunn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: South Florida
Posts: 1,898
Re: MMA Thread

UFC 239 Risk $6,015.00

Jon Jones wins by submission (+190) $75.00 for $142.50
Jon Jones wins in round 2 (+375) $35.00 for $131.25
Jon Jones wins in round 3 (+550) $25.00 for $137.50
Jon Jones/Thiago Santos Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00
Jon Jones/Thiago Santos won’t start round 4 (-178) $178.00 for $100.00

Amanda Nunes (-320) vs Holly Holm $640.00 for $200.00

Ben Askren wins by Decision or Technical Decision (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
Jorge Masvidal wins by Decision or Technical Decision (+850) $50.00 for $425.00
Ben Askren/Jorge Masvidal Draw (+7500) $40.00 for $3,000.00
Ben Askren/Jorge Masvidal Draw (+7500) $10.00 for $750.00

Luke Rockhold/Jan Blachowicz Over 1½ (-159) $159.00 for $100.00
Luke Rockhold wins by submission (+305) $50.00 for $152.50
Jan Blachowicz wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+505) $50.00 for $252.50
Jan Blachowicz wins in round 1 (+950) $25.00 for $237.50

Michael Chiesa wins by TKO/KO/DQ (+200) $50.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa wins by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-115) $115.00 for $10.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00
Michael Chiesa/Diego Sanchez Under 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00

Gilbert Melendez (+285) vs Arnold Allen $100.00 for $285.00
Arnold Allen wins by Decision or Technical Decision (-120) $120.00 for $100.0

Marlon Vera wins inside distance (-160) $120.00 for $75.00
Marlon Vera/Nohelin Hernandez Over 1½ (-137) $137.00 for $100.00

Randa Markos +3½ points (-185) vs Claudia Gadelha $92.50 for $50.00
Claudia Gadelha wins by 3 round decision (-115) $115.00 for $100.00

Yadong Song vs Alejandro Perez: No Bet

Edmen Shahbazyan wins in round 3 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00
Edmen Shahbazyan wins by 3 round decision (+192) vs Jack Marshman $100.00 for $192.00

Ismail Naurdiev/Chance Rencountre Over 2½ (-142) $142.00 for $100.00
Chance Rencountre wins by 3 round decision (+670) $50.00 for $335.00

Julia Avila wins by TKO/KO (+254) $40.00 for $101.60
Julia Avila/Pannie Kianzad Under 2½ (+185) $100.00 for $185.00
Pannie Kianzad wins by 3 round decision (+230) $50.00 for $115.00

Fights to go distance under 7½ (-490) $196.00 for $40.00
Fights to go distance under 6½ (-165) $49.50 for $30.00
Fights to go distance under 5½ (+140) $30.00 for $42.00
Fights to go distance under 4½ (+360) $20.00 for $72.00
Fights to go distance under 3½ (+882) $15.00 for $132.30
Fights to go distance under 2½ (+3500) $7.00 for $245.00
Fights to go distance under 1½ (+20700) $3.00 for $621.00

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 2½ (-390) $117.00 for $30.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 3½ (-130) $65.00 for $50.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (+180) $40.00 for $72.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+545) $25.00 for $136.25
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+1505) $15.00 for $225.75
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+5700) $7.00 for $399.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+29500) $3.00 for $885.00

Parlays:
Ismail Naurdiev (-450) vs Chance Recountre + Edmen Shahbazyan (-525) vs Jack Marshman + Jon Jones (-535) vs Thiago Santos $685.00 for $501.54
Luke Rockhold (-175) vs Jan Blachowicz + Jon Jones (-535) vs Thiago Santos $480.00 for $415.27
Luke Rockhold (-230) vs Jan Blachowicz + Amanda Nunes (-380) vs Holly Holm + Jon Jones (-690) vs Thiago Santos $300.00 for $322.51
Luke Rockhold (-175) vs Jan Blachowicz + Ben Askren (-245) vs Jorge Masvidal + Amanda Nunes (-340) vs Holly Holm + Jon Jones (-600) vs Thiago Santos $200.00 for $468.19
JimGunn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 08:54 PM   #48735
Joe Pulaski
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Joe Pulaski's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 8,041
Re: MMA Thread

lol, randa thought she won. what a gift to let her fight at that pace the whole fight
Joe Pulaski is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 10:13 PM   #48736
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Got some Askren ITD +500

It's better value than the straight up; i'll break even if he wins by decision now or clean up hopefully he can find Masvidal's back and then neck or get a tko stoppage

No bets on prelims just woke up. Just Askren, Askren ITD and my tiny prop on Santos r1 at +1900 gl all

Has anyone got a good stream link? pm me struggling to find a good one
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 10:28 PM   #48737
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Nearly took Chiesa ITD but it started, looks like a sweat, Diego's tough but getting beaten up badly

Added a tiny bet on Blachowicz +225 it's just too high with Rockhold moving up in weight plus chin but not going big as overall steam was on Rockhold
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 10:36 PM   #48738
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Well yeah ok Chiesa more than a -400 here. I thought he might be but ddn't want to lay it and was considering the ITD at -105 which I liked then it started

Will be crazy if Diego doesn't get finished here basically the entire fight's been a collection of 10-8 rounds
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 10:48 PM   #48739
ynewt
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Nov 2017
Posts: 51
Re: MMA Thread

House on masvidal
ynewt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:00 PM   #48740
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Oh wow 5 more seconds and Rockhold's out cold caught him at the bell. The gameplan's known for Rockhold,

10-9 Blachowicz; was a close round leaning Rockhold before that but Blachowicz rocking him at the bell steals the round

+225 def a good price on what we're seeing

Rockhold's still super talented offensively but 0% chance he becomes champ at LHW the other fighters are just too big and too powerful even though he looks fine at LHW size wise he needs that huge size edge he had at MW to bully people

aaaand BOOM down he goes

Poor Luke, if he wasn't such a douchebag i'd feel sorry for his lack of chin given his talent

Nice start to the card for me, was lucky to not have Chiesa ITD as I was just about to bet it, then got Blachowicz +225 (granted on a smallish bet)

Let's go Askren!

Last edited by SwoopAE; 07-06-2019 at 11:05 PM.
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:03 PM   #48741
Malachii
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 3,994
Re: MMA Thread

Blachowicz baby!
Malachii is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:15 PM   #48742
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ynewt View Post
House on masvidal
Say goodbye to your $
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:17 PM   #48743
Malachii
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 3,994
Re: MMA Thread

OMFG!!!! LOOOOOL
Malachii is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:18 PM   #48744
ynewt
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Nov 2017
Posts: 51
Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ynewt View Post
House on masvidal
Easiest bet since dc miocic. Nice having 3 houses
ynewt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:18 PM   #48745
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Nope i'll say goodbye to mine. Holy **** lol what a ridiculous open to the fight such a low % play and it just comes off

Spectacular
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:19 PM   #48746
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 20,930
Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by ynewt View Post
Easiest bet since dc miocic. Nice having 3 houses
Congrats but holy **** how ridiculous on a low % play just lands perfectly clean, gotta give Masvidal his props he's earned his title shot

Congrats anyone who has Masvidal ridiculous KO
SwoopAE is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:20 PM   #48747
ynewt
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Nov 2017
Posts: 51
Re: MMA Thread

flying knee not completely low % to start fight but yeah that was way quicker than normal.
ynewt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:20 PM   #48748
White_Gatsby
banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 1,232
Re: MMA Thread

Askren did ask for it iirc!
White_Gatsby is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:20 PM   #48749
White_Gatsby
banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 1,232
Re: MMA Thread

Do hope he's ok but he is a pos that deserves that beating!
White_Gatsby is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-06-2019, 11:21 PM   #48750
White_Gatsby
banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 1,232
Re: MMA Thread

5 secs, is that a new record?
White_Gatsby is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:19 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2020, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online