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02-09-2019 , 09:24 PM
Added a little Kara-France at -232 to go with my prop

1-2 start so far but a small profit as I bricked the first two dogs but hit Kang by decision

Early contender for FOTN granted laughable technique but it was a fun fight

I added on a bit more Crute -137 and De La Rosa sub +155/ITD +138 mixture those are my two biggest bets now - took a little Anderson/Adesanya o1.5 -143 yesterday like it less now that it's the main event I think but oh well hopefully Adesanya spends the first round feeling him out etc and respects the threat of counters
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02-09-2019 , 09:54 PM
Wow, KKF was just wrecking him on the feet then decides to grapple

He's in trouble now but needs to just keep it standing and at range at all costs which is weird since he's the shorter guy with less reach but that's what he needs to do to win r3 since it's 19-19
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02-09-2019 , 09:55 PM
After round 2: Live In-Play Kai Kara-France (+120) vs Raulian Paiva $200.00 for $240.00
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02-09-2019 , 09:56 PM
After r2 I assume - r3 close so far until that groin strike hopefully he takes a full 5 mins to recover as if they're both fresh he should have an edge but Paiva's been doing better last few mins

Could go either way still r3 close so far
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02-09-2019 , 10:01 PM
No idea how to score that, Paiva landed like 5 more shots and probably won the round in theory but KKF got 2 meaningless takedowns and is very live to get the decision in Australia since it depends who won r3 and no real damage was done by either guy in r3

Coinflip decision incoming and should be an indicator of whether we have homecrowd judging today or not

KKF is def better on the feet overall, but bad gameplanning in r2 and the size difference made it super close
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02-09-2019 , 10:07 PM
Nice live hit Jim

I feel a bit lucky to have won that I expect to lose a split decision on average in neutral territory and was clearly on the wrong side value wise

Buffer with the slowroll decision saying '28-29' reading the final scorecard lol
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02-09-2019 , 10:11 PM
Got rid of my distance bet and have a tiny Young to win sweat now instead just due to the steam as much as I hate betting huge favs nice to be on the local again
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02-09-2019 , 10:24 PM
You have to imagine Young is up 2 rounds here. It's almost a mirror of the previous fight with a shorter man with limited range fighting a lankier man with longer range. Kara-France was backpeddling but Young is pressing forward.
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02-09-2019 , 10:32 PM
Seems like a 30-27 for Young

Pity I sold my goes the distance but had a little Young so don't mind

On DHKM next as a dog, hopefully he can make it a good fight
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02-09-2019 , 10:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Nice live hit Jim

I feel a bit lucky to have won that I expect to lose a split decision on average in neutral territory and was clearly on the wrong side value wise

Buffer with the slowroll decision saying '28-29' reading the final scorecard lol
Thanks. I hated the way Bruce read that decision. You don't say the smaller number first, Bruce!
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02-09-2019 , 10:41 PM
It certainly fooled Raulian Pulva for a very brief moment as I think KK-F looked a little resigned until his name was read out as the winner. Bruce knows he's a lucky SOB but he's a little bored and tries to make it interesting for himself.
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02-09-2019 , 10:52 PM
Still up a unit or so for the card heading into the main card.

Crute and De La Rosa sub are my main plays

and yeah Bruce literally has one of the best jobs in the world, travel the world, get paid loads and watch all the UFC cards and literally his job is to say a few hundred words once every week or two (although to be fair we all want Bruce Buffer's voice, right?)
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02-09-2019 , 11:15 PM
Bit of late Alvey steam

GL Crute anyway

Also Gastelum apparently has declared himself champ since Whittaker needs surgery even though he's only estimated to be out 4-8 weeks, so apparently he wants to be a heel?
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02-09-2019 , 11:22 PM
Would have been a KO cold spot if Crute didn't try a walk off KO, then ironically gets stopped as he's trying to stand up but he wasn't really defending well

Ridiculous of Crute to walk off although to be fair at that time Alvey was out of it and ref would have been right to stop it, ironically after he let him recover it was an 'early'ish stoppage

Nice arrival by Crute onto the scene knocking Alvey out, definitely a prospect to watch. Just don't try to be Mark Hunt with the walk off KO again please imagine if he's lost after that

Pretty much at freerolling for the card now, if I get either o1.5 rounds main or De La Rosa sub i'll have an excellent card. Lando ITD too please.

Crute seems to have some personality too. 2 finishes in 2 UFC fights. If he can stay unbeaten and work his way up could definitely be a star.
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02-09-2019 , 11:40 PM
Well De La Rosa is going to win

Hope she finds the sub
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02-09-2019 , 11:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Knittle
Don't think Rogan is there. Anik.

Meanwhile, I'm on the following:
JIM CRUTE -135
DEVONTE SMITH -256
KYUNG HO KANG -355
JONATHAN MARTINEZ -135
MONTANA DE LA ROSA -250

Think Crute is special and in Aussie.. should beat Sam. Devonte Smith is going to knock this guy out in the first or get subbed. End of story. Kyung Ho Kang is fighting the worst fighter on the UFC roster, and Kyung is very solid. Martinez is a toss up, but rolled with it because he's fighting a bum. De La Rosa is just miles above Kassem. Montana is tough, has a solid camp/husband and has something special about her. Kassem has some power? maybe feel its more just pressure in her early fights. Montana will submit her 100%.

Gl me.
Clean sweep. Pretty much called it all across the board lol.
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02-10-2019 , 12:00 AM
Nice work Knittle

I'm having a good card too after the de la rosa sub and crute wins - on fight to start r3 here but only small since I couldn't pick a side, Yahya's been good to me but wasnt willing to back him here quite so took the overs
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02-10-2019 , 12:13 AM
Another one good although tiny. Definitely in profit for the card regardless now.

Vannata ITD into main event overs and tiny on Anderson although i'm not sure I love that it depends if Adesanya is here to be aggressive and flashy or just wants to win
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02-10-2019 , 12:35 AM
Yeah putting lil bit of profit on Anderson.

Gl all
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02-10-2019 , 12:37 AM
OOOF!! I don't think a favourite has lost on this card so far or am I overlooking someone!?
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02-10-2019 , 12:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stereoman
OOOF!! I don't think a favourite has lost on this card so far or am I overlooking someone!?
Rani only one, but was even money on some books
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02-10-2019 , 01:01 AM
im pretty hype for this fight, interesting first round. on the edge of my seat with these two guys. could end so ****in fast. go silva lul.
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02-10-2019 , 01:05 AM
lmao silva spamming high guard like that, is like me playing ufc 3. too funny.
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02-10-2019 , 01:08 AM
Wow Anderson looks great for how old he is, prime Silva would have KO'd him in r2 there prob

I don't think Adesanya has anything for Whittaker after this prob

Silva won r2 there this fight is 19-19 with a round to go....

Anderson looks like he's still fringe top 5...
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02-10-2019 , 01:11 AM
I think Silva badly hurt his leg there and thats why hes standing still

edit: guess not, thats good
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