Very entertaining night of fights. I won big on the last three UFC bouts to get me out of a prelim hole and then a live bet on Al Iaquinta at +120 after round 2 helped put me over $607 profit for the UFC card. Plus some key underdog picks added another $933 and change on Bellator 213 to make over $1541 for the night between the two cards.

2-0 for me. Had Font and Juan Adams, but after watching the fight, I certainly wasn't comfortable at the price I laid for Adams (-425). Was very close to betting the over in the Lee/Al fight, but didn't for whatever reason.

Ryan Hall -190 for all the money please.

3-0 for me last night, also nice to see Machida pick up a win in Bellator.
Agree that Hall is big value. Not sure how he is not like 1.2 against Penn.
If I get on the current line around 1.5 I am going to hammer it. Quite like Corey Anderson as a dog to Latifi aswell.

Kevin Lee is such a joke, the guy talks so much **** and backs nothing up. I'm not sure he believes his own **** but if he does he's very delusional. He can't possibly think he's got Khabib's number, the way he's been talking all year.

Sure sell a fight and all but this guy gets ****ed up regularly and the worst part is he starts all over again, right after getting whooped.

BetOnline opening lines now, eh? Looking at UFC 232: Maxed Chad Mendes -135 for the small amount I was allowed to win $250 vs Alexander Volkanovski. This is a big step up for Volkanovski.

I think Siyar Bahadurzada is a good underdog bet at +160 vs Curtis Millender. Siyar has great boxing and knockout power, and he's never been knocked out or TKOed. Good takedown defense too. If he's healthy he presents a dangerous opponent for the taller and rangier Millender. 2u on Siyar at +160.


Just bet Cat Zingano at -127 over Megan Anderson to win 3u. Megan will have size, but she is not that great and Cat is probably going to take her down fairly quickly and maul her.

Also took Ryan Hall even at -380 over BJ Penn to win 2u. Hall should probably be -800 here. BJ is D-O-N-E.

By shear luck I was looking at lines when they came out and sent it in on Hall -190. 12 hours later he was -475. Probably the best bet I made in terms of the line moving in my favor.

I think this could be a good fight for Uriah Hall, facing another striker but one without his level of experience fighting top competition. I was also impressed with how many strikes he threw in his last bout. Bevon Lewis might turn out to be something in the division, but I'd like to see him beat a fighter like Uriah before I believe that he can. As inconsistent as he is, I'm going to give Uriah the benefit of the doubt despite getting stopped in his last bout and back him at -125 here. I think the under could be a good play as well when it's released with these two knockout artists.

think im gonna take megan anderson. this is classic grappler/striker matchup but don't think cat will be able to have the same success holly did. i was on zingano for her last fight, and holly against anderson as well, but I think cats gonna run into too much trouble on the feet. holly is massive and really really strong for 135 and definitely an underrated grappler. holly outmuscled cyborg for long stretches in their fight. don't think zinganos game will necessarily translate to someone that much bigger than her. cat is more just scrappy and tough and persistent. she is also going to be getting ****ing bombed on at distance. holly was massively in trouble in every striking exchange, and then realize cat probably weighs less than holly, is way worse of a striker, and has a much smaller frame.

Ilir Latifi down to -155 vs Corey Anderson now. I'll bite at that price. Anderson has gotten better but he relies a lot on his wrestling and he won't be able to easily outwrestle Latifi. He'll have more success at range if he boxes at distance with his longer reach but Latifi should be able to close range and threaten with his own wrestling, striking or even submissions. Bet Latifi at -155 to win 2u.

latifi is an allin for me also, im still holding out, though cause market seems to like corey.

lol, forgot to watch rounds 2-3. i dunno i still think cat might be too small, but jesus her wrestling was bad and she seemed like she slowed down a ton too.

Totals out. Unders I like:

Siyar Bahadurzada/Curtis Millender Under 2½ at -115
Chad Mendes/Alexander Volkanovski Under 2½ at +170
Andrei Arlovski/Walt Harris Under 2½ at -127
Uriah Hall/Bevon Lewis Under 1½ at +131
Cat Zingano/Megan Anderson Under 2½ at +185
Carlos Condit/Michael Chiesa Under 2½ at -145
Petr Yan/Douglas Silva de Andrade Under 2½ at +170

I'm tempted by Hall too this is a BIG step down in competition for him, i'm not that familiar with his opponent but he's basically a 6-0 prospect who has beaten some cans, unless he's top 15 right now, he's basically a step down from who Hall has been fighting. I've faded Hall a lot, but tempted to back him here

I'm pretty high on Millender, he's huge for the division and has looked good to me in all his fights. Granted Alves might be more far gone than we thought at the time and the Griffin fight was competitive and yes, Siyar's biggest weakness is grappling and Millender is a striker. I don't know what i'm going to do for this fight but it's going to be a pass or Millender especially if his size advantage is as big as I think it's going to be

Might back Hall over Penn just because BJ is completely shot in 2018 and is not a UFC level fighter. It's somewhat scary backing a fighter with a super weird style like Hall at -500 though so will likely pass as he could do something like pull guard two rounds and fail to sub BJ or something equally weird given how he fights. Penn is not a UFC level fighter anymore though. The Nick Diaz fight was the last time he looked at all decent and that was in 2011. Holy **** that's even longer ago than I thought, I actually remember most of that fight. I guess I didn't see the Siver fight, but Siver at 39 is only a year younger than Penn and is also well past his prime. Hall could let Penn last 3 rounds too if he doesn't make him work, although if he does Penn obviously will gas late in the fight too. I wonder what Hall wins in r3 prices will be like that might be tempting if it's +1500 or something which seems likely given the market likes the fight to go the distance

I'm going to back Gustafsson on the hope that Jones is clean this time and because if it's the same Jones as always I think the +240 is about accurate but if it's the Jones who fought OSP, Gus is a substantial outright favourite. There's a pretty legit chance OSP was Jones's only clean fight in the UFC. I expect Jones to be on his brothers NFL designer steroids again though. I'm going to laugh so hard when Jones wins, is awarded the LHW belt, then fails the post fight drug test and has to be stripped yet again (although if he's on steroids again it's probably new stuff so no guarantee it'll get detected). I'm going to be so happy if Gustafsson knocks Jones out and it's a real possibility imo. +900 for the TKO is tempting even though the fight goes the distance a lot.

Considering Nunes too, the size is an issue but post-roids Cyborg looks more vulnerable than she used to and Nunes cardio has been improving. Cyborg could be vulnerable but i'm only going to fire it if the size difference isn't too extreme at weigh ins.

I don't hate Arlovski as a dog even though his best days are behind him he still brings a lot of heart to every fight and Harris is a small step down for him. Might pass though. He's old and has chin issues - but his boxing is better than Harris's and he should be able to keep it standing.

Chiesa is tempting against Condit, he seems to underperform in big fights a lot, but Condit has looked completely shot recently and if Chiesa just shoots immediately I don't see Condit stopping his takedown. Chiesa can fight dumb though so it's a worry at current prices. Chiesa has let me down a couple times in key fights (Lauzon, Pettis) when i've backed him but I think I might back him again

Logically I should want Mendes too but Volkanovski is legit and we're about to find out if he's a title contender or just 'top 15'. Gonna pass that fight and cheer for Volkanovski but expect Mendes to win.

No real opinion on Anderson/Latifi, Anderson throws nice volume and can wrestle so if it goes the distance he should win, but his defense is a liability and Latifi could just knock him out cold with a single shot a pretty high percentage of the time the way OSP did.

No real opinion on the rest of the fights

Almost certain i'll be backing TJ and PVZ for the next card it's yet another big step down in competition for PVZ and she should have beaten Clark who I backed her to beat if she fought a bit smarter. TJ will wait to make sure he looks fine at weigh ins etc but I think Cejudo's only path to victory is to lay and pray and i'm not sure he's going to be able to do that over 5 rounds very often

http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Jon...UFC-232-147341

Guess he's probably not off the juice then

Still probably gonna back Gustafsson due to the price but if Jones beats him again i'm pretty sure i'm never fading Jones again - the only two times I can remember fading him were Machida and Gustafsson 1, I had him both DC fights and against Shogun, not sure about the rest offhand might have had a few no bets.

Would be amazing to see him lose though no one deserves to get wrecked in their return more than Jon Jones.

I was very close to betting on both of these fighters when lines first opened. I never thought I'd bet against Cyborg, but I'm intrigued here. Even if Jon isn't clean, Gus at +245 is tempting. Probably better to wait on this line as I see it much more likely to get better for Gus than worse.

True dat.

I think seeing Jon Jones getting knocked out would be the most enjoyment I could ever get from seeing a fighter lose. Such a smug crappy human being.

That said I won't be backing Gus I think the odds are pretty well balanced.

So far I have one bet £100 on Nunes at 3.36

Nunes hits harder then anyone Cyborg has fought and throws combination better then any of Cyborgs competition in MMA. Holm showed some flaws in Cyborgs game and I think Nunes is a fighter that is still progressing and getting better. Hard to say if Cyborg is getting better given her level of competition.

I also think Nunes is the more explosive of the two fighters, Obviously Cyborg is going to be stronger but Nunes can cover distance quicker.

Really looking forward to this fight probably more then any fight in WMMA before.

I liked odds of 2.5 on Corey Anderson, hopefully he drifts out again and I can get him round those odds again. His last fight against Glover showed that when he puts it all together he has a really tough style to deal with. But he does always feel like he is vunerable to getting clipped and finished.

on jones vs gus ..instead of taking gus at a decent odds im taking jones by ko tko & i wouldn't be surprise if the sub gus! while jones wasn't fighting gus had some serious fight and took a lot of damage

http://m.sherdog.com/news/news/NAC-R...ifornia-147439

Right on cue Jones fails another steroid test and the UFC moves the fight to California rather than nevada ****ing over fans travelling for the event on a week's notice rather than take the financial hit. If Jones wins this is going to be a cluster**** he is still using steroids and will be an illegitimate champ

In before Jones is arrested for a DUI or domestic violence or something the day before the fight

Ridiculous he turns down vada testing that was recommended then fails a drug test anyway because he can't micro dose correctly and somehow the UFC is still letting the fight happen

I want Gustafson to beat this cheating pos so much. Probably not going to fire the bet anymore since Jones is still juicing though

Still in his system from last time is such a joke excuse didn't he pass tests between now and then now he fails one how does that even work

Never going be believe Jones is clean now

Jon Jones https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2g5Hz17C4is

What's likely happened is that he was failing the tests but wasn't fighting (if he was really of steroids) and I guess he was hoping that by fight time, it would of cleared his system, hence why it's a small amount. That's a possibility, but what happens now, can't he just start using em again, will this **** work short term too? Assuming he's been off them, how much impact will they have if he decides to start using em again?

You guys still have doubts that DC is indeed the real G.O.A.T!!!

Almost guaranteed he beat DC twice on steroids!!

We know he can't hang with DC without them, otherwise he'd of been clean, right!!