Then don't believe it, idc. Been talking up Max for months in this fight, I just don't post on here much.

No worries mate. Jim took a step to the side on that comment imo. Please keep posting and if ever find yourself not knowing whom to bet on and just want a sweat then I'd recommend tailing Jim.

ONE gets a TNT deal. hopefully this means we will get one shows on the major books. only issue is how it'll work with timezones, imo. They might not list lines for weird times if the shows will all be tape delayed.

Sergio Petits can't finish an 8th grader. I'd bet it all on Font.

With that said.... Petits probably wins unanimous decision based on how my 2018 of UFC fights are going.

UFC on Fox 31 totals out and I like:

Adams/De La Rocha Under 1½ -175
Ige/Griffin Under 2½ -115
Grant/Ottow Under 1½ +120
Miller/Oliveira Over 1½ +100
Silva/Gordon Under 2½ +155

Anyone betting on Bellator?

Kind of surprised at the movement on Mir, he looks in decent shape coming into the fight. He should have a large advantage in the grappling if he can tie Ayala.

Got all my bets for this weekends UFC.

£200 on Font at 1.6
£100 on Barboza at 2.08
£50 on Raging Al at 3.8
£50 on Rose Clark at 3.3

anyone know why line is moving toward clark? been fairly underwhelmed by her every time i've seen her, and andrea lee seems like she's a pretty good prospect. lee at least seems really big and really strong, and there really isnt much danger in running in on clark to force a clinch

Main event fighters are both good, don't think it ends early. Added to the other totals I already mentioned: Al Iaquinta/Kevin Lee Over 2½ -105

Frank Mir looking in very good shape, I like him as an underdog vs Javy Ayala at Bellator 212.

Stuck £100 on Mir at odds of 2.2
Ayala can hit hard but Roy Nelson soundly outgrappled him and Kongo just knocked him out. He is quite step below any of Mir's last 15 opponents. If Mir is smart he will clinch up with Ayala and drag it to the ground.

If he just decides to throw hands like he did against Duffee then he is probably a small underdog.

Mir doesn't look shot to me he still moves pretty well and looked in good shape at the open workouts.

Agree with Jim here and think he is decent value.

From what I've heard Lee has iffy tdd and +200 or more is a lot in any wmma fight that isn't one sided. I was on pvz against Clark and agree Clark isn't a world beater but I'm very tempted by Clark as a dog

Seems like the thread loves font I'll have to rematch some tape on their striking since Sergio's biggest weakness is his tdd and this is striker vs striker

If iaquinta keeps drifting that's tempting too it's a big price for a guy Kevin Lee shouldn't be able to take down at will yes he matget him.down but hell have to work for it

Bellator 212 Risk $2481.00

Michael Chandler/Brent Primus won’t go 5 round distance (-295) $147.50 for $50.00

Frank Mir (+120) vs Javy Ayala $200.00 for $240.00
Frank Mir (+115) vs Javy Ayala $200.00 for $230.00
Frank Mir (+111) vs Javy Ayala $200.00 for $222.00
Frank Mir wins inside distance (+155) $50.00 for $77.50

Juliana Velasquez (-235) vs Alejandra Lara $940.00 for $400.00
Juliana Velasquez wins inside distance (+135) $50.00 for $67.50
Alejandra Lara (+205) vs Juliana Velasquez $100.00 for $205.00

A.J. McKee wins inside distance( -210) $105.00 for $50.00
A.J. McKee/Daniel Crawford won’t go 3 round distance (-300) $150.00 for $50.00

Parlay:
Derek Campos (-339) vs Sam Sicilia + A.J. McKee (-625) vs Daniel Crawford ~$338.50 for ~$169.99

Totals just came out, added:

Michael Chandler/Brent Primus Over 1½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

Derek Campos/Sam Sicilia Over 1½ (-160) $160.00 for $100.00

I know machida is old and barely edged Anders but he still has enough left to beat carvalho right carvalho is terrible granted I only saw his worst fight of all time with manhoef that I recall

Tempted by mcgeary as a dog too since mo sucks but idk bad mu probably and he's not great either

Id love to see machida get a big win even though his prime is clearly over

No bets for tomorrow still considering a few spots but nothing I like enough to fire

Took some bellator spots nothing for the ufc card although I nearly bet a few. Machida +105 mcgeary +193 both smallish but I think machida is a small fav even past his prime and I just love fading king mo because he sucks not overly sold on mcgeary but I'll take any non can and he's a dangerous grappler if mo tries the lnp. Not sold on the mu but it's fading king mo and I'll do that any time he faces a non can

Think you're underestimating Carvalho, he's a tough matchup for old Machida. His ground game is pretty awful but assuming it stays standing I don't think Lyoto is quick enough to effectively discourage Carvalho from kicking his lead leg/body.

I like Liam too, have him small +196

Have a decent amount of Jared Gordon -120 up to -132, think this is a really favorable mu but he's a teammate so might be biased

I love Machida one of my all time favs. Was favouring Carvalho though initially when I saw the odds. However out of USADA testing Machida might roll back the years and if we get the Machida that first came down to middleweight then I favor him.

Not going to bet this one myself and just root for Machida.

Don't think I am going to add any more positions although Trevor Smith looked a lot bigger then Zak Cummings at the weigh which I didn't expect. But would need to go back and look at Smith's last few performances to see if odds of 3.6 warrant a bet.

UFC on Fox 31 Risk $5,643.13

Al Iaquinta (+260) vs Kevin Lee $200.00 for $520.00
Al Iaquinta wins by TKO/KO/DQ (+575) $75.00 for $431.25
Kevin Lee wins by submission (+150) $75.00 for $112.50
Al Iaquinta/Kevin Lee fight ends in round 3 (+365) $35.00 for $127.75
Al Iaquinta wins in round 4 (+2450) $15.00 for $367.50
Kevin Lee wins in round 4 (+950) $15.00 for $142.50
Al Iaquinta/Kevin Lee fight ends in round 4 (+525) $15.00 for $78.75
Al Iaquinta wins in round 5 (+3365) $15.00 for $504.75
Kevin Lee wins in round 5 (+1500) $15.00 for $225.00
Al Iaquinta/Kevin Lee fight ends in round 5 (+1015) $15.00 for $152.25
Al Iaquinta/Kevin Lee Over 2½ (-105) $105.00 for $100.00
Al Iaquinta/Kevin Lee Over 2½ (-122) $122.00 for $100.00

Edson Barboza (+105) vs Dan Hooker $200.00 for $210.00
Edson Barboza (+110) vs Dan Hooker $200.00 for $220.00
Edson Barboza wins by 3 round decision (+255) $75.00 for $191.25
Edson Barboza/Dan Hooker Over 2½ (-117) $117.00 for $100.00

Rob Font (-155) vs Sergio Pettis $310.00 for $200.00
Rob Font (-160) vs Sergio Pettis $320.00 for $200.00
Rob Font (-163) vs Sergio Pettis $326.00 for $200.00
Rob Font (-165) vs Sergio Pettis $330.00 for $200.00
Rob Font wins by TKO/KO (+266) $50.00 for $133.00

Jim Miller (+240) vs Charles Oliveira $200.00 for $480.00
Jim Miller wins inside distance (+426) $30.00 for $127.80
Charles Oliveira wins in round 1 (+220) $75.00 for $165.00
Charles Oliveira wins by submission in round 1 (+274) ~$31.50 for ~$86.31
Jim Miller wins in round 2 (+1025) $30.00 for $307.50
Jim Miller wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 2 (+3900) ~$28.35 for ~$1,105.65
Jim Miller wins in round 3 (+1700) $30.00 for $510.00
Jim Miller wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 3 (+4900) ~$28.35 for ~$1,389.15
Jim Miller/Charles Oliveira Over 1½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00

Dwight Grant (-280) vs Zak Ottow $280.00 for $100.00
Dwight Grant -3½ points (-180) $135.00 for $75.00
Dwight Grant wins by KO/KO/DQ (-120) $90.00 for $75.00
Dwight Grant/Zak Ottow Under 1½ (+120) $100.00 for $120.00

Bobby Green (+225) vs Drakkar Klose $200.00 for $450.00
Bobby Green scorecards = no action (+185) $125.00 for $231.25
Bobby Green scorecards = no action (+205) $125.00 for $256.25
Drakkar Klose wins by 3 round decision (-130) $65.00 for $50.00

Joaquim Silva/Jared Gordon Under 2½ (+155) $100.00 for $155.00

Gerald Meerschaert (+140) vs Jack Hermansson $100.00 for $140.00
Gerald Meerschaert/Jack Hermansson won't go 3 round distance (-195) $146.25 for $75.00

Zak Cummings/Trevor Smith Over 2½ (-189) $188.68 for $100.00

Jordan Griffin (+160) vs Dan Ige $200.00 for $320.00
Jordan Griffin/Dan Ige Under 2½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00

Mike Rodriguez (+135) vs Adam Milstead $200.00 for $270.00
Mike Rodriguez wins by TKO/KO (+280) $75.00 for $210.00
Adam Milstead wins by 3 round decision (+275) $40.00 for $110.00

Juan Adams/Chris De La Rocha Under 1½ (-175) $175.00 for $100.00

Added small green +216 and Rodriguez +118 sweats was leaning green at that price Rodriguez purely chasing steam. Happy with those two and machida and mcgeary today nothing standing out as a spot to fire huge. I think I might watch bellator later on for the main card because I'm still a die-hard machida fan.

Bellator 213 Risk $1,091.00

Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (-171) vs Valerie Letourneau $171.00 for $100.00
Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (-180) vs Valerie Letourneau $180.00 for $100.00
Ilima-Lei MacFarlane wins inside distance (+185) $75.00 for $138.75

Rafael Carvalho (-120) vs Lyoto Machida $240.00 for $200.00
Rafael Carvalho wins by 3 round decision (+325) $75.00 for $243.75
Rafael Carvalho/Lyoto Machida goes 3 round distance (+140) $50.00 for $70.00

Neiman Gracie (+310) vs Ed Ruth $200.00 for $620.00

Liam McGeary (+220) vs Muhammed Lawal $100.00 for $220.00

160 at 4/5 live in play bet IAquinta end of 2nd just heading into 3rd

Edit: Lee is gone, tired burnt out moving badly.

Double edit end of 5th,
Got to admit Iaquinta is solid, he is not flash just old school tough and does the basics exceptional, lovely step in left jab, hunting right hand.

Seeing Lee grab Iaquinta... he just out of there with khabib, you think your going to do some thing better?

best night ever so far, got carvalho and mcfarlane left

Judges... this is why UFC is the greatest brand and sport in the world, they have spent particular attention to ensure that the judgements are closely related to reality.

Any insane judgement calls (ufc) are came down on like a ton of bricks.

If Al Iaquinta vs Kevin Lee was a boxing fight,... Lee would have won 4 rounds to 1 on one of the Judges cards. yes lol but its true.

No body spend even one nickle betting boxing ever again after this Deontay Wilder vs. Tyson Fury fiasco, boxing stinks.[

UFC is where the money is to be made and more exciting any way, leave boxing in the toilet until they remove human judges from the sport, a guy can be up 7,8.9 rounds and still lose.

UFC will hopefully remove boxing from the main stream completely one day.

3-1 day for me all at evens or better nearly fired iaquinta too but passed. Not the biggest bets for me today but happy with the results obv

i got tilted after that third round in the carvalho fight and bombed ilima. didn't really see a way val could win, tbh. salavaged the bellator card for me. huge win . klose and ottow were obv massively lucky decisions for me. i thought klose comfortably had 1-3, but media disagreed. no idea how ottow won.