Haven't posted here in awhile, but I've had a lot of success betting UFC recently.
Anyways, I'm pretty much all-in on Ortega. My biggest bet in sometime, and I only got at -110
. I wouldn't be shocked if by tomorrow Ortega is pushing -150.. something isn't right with Max and I think Dana wanted a headliner and pushed Max into this fight faster than Max wanted. He's fighting an absolute buzz saw.. who not only starched Frankie but has the highest level of jujitsu in MMA at the moment. So technical, so basic but so ****ing sharp. Ortega is special, and he has IT. Max looks frail to me, he looks sick imo.. his speech isn't there and the way he reacted to things about his health all week worries me.. just something about it feels forced from the UFC and I'm actually a little shocked that he got cleared in the first place to deal with another weight cut. I'm genuinely concerned for Max in this fight for some reason.. I don't know why but I am.. if Ortega lands that uppercut of Max this fight, I would honestly be concerned for Max's health. Therefore, I put a lot of money on Ortega.
Another bet I feel confident about is Schevchenko.. obviously at -360 or whatever it's at. I'll probably bet to win $100 because it's pretty ****ing free imo. If I was an odds keeper, I would of put this at -400 and even in the -500 range. Think about it, Valentina smokes Joanna in Muay Thai (Joanna's strong point) and Valentina can rag doll Joanna to the ground and whoop her ****ing ass. I mean Valentina can make this fight easy for herself, or give Joanna a glimmer and still destroy her on the feet. Joanna's confidence made her accept this fight, and the fact she wants the belt.. but it's not the same "Boogey women" who now has to fight the women who imo just beat Nunes in back to back fights but was robbed and is the best women fighter in all of the UFC. Gonna make a free $100 on this one.
Edit: I do think there are some value plays in regards to underdogs. Not super sold on anything, but I wouldn't be shocked to see myself throw $5 here and there on some heavy underdogs in this card.