Sup degens.

Sure, let's do this.

Looking like Xiaonan's just gonna win a 30-27 almost all the time vs Kondo after a round

Hope she gets the finish for you unders backers

Ya, she's getting nailed but nothing is fazing her at all so far.

He's delusional, this says it all. He can't go 5 rounds, we all know this, except him. He's going to sub a wrestler, ok!

I'm not saying he's over the hill, not at all. He's just mentally shook imo and inexperienced.

But I pretty much agree with all your earlier points. The only caveat is his mental game, I'm not convinced he'll be back to previous Ngannou within 1 fight.

Also while he finished Blades in their 1st fight, he did land perfect on the eye. We'll see, personally I think he's overrated, he's a dog everywhere except striking and I think his striking his overrated too, sure he's got massive power but he throws haymakers only, he's not very technical, that said it's HW and if he connects then well....

His career arc is like modern day Bob Sapp.

Now he just needs to become a jobber.

His camp would prob be backing him by sub if that was his actual plan market doesn't think it's likely at all good chance it's a bit of misdirection and he's going to strike, Blaydes is very hittable and Ngannou has fight ending power at HW

I think having beaten Blaydes before should help Ngannou mentally in that he knows what to expect - he has a striking edge, Blaydes has a wrestling edge and hopefully having beaten Blaydes before gives him back his confidence

I think some of you are equating one bad night with a huge slump - he won the first round against Stipe then gassed and lost and Stipe was the champ - then had one awful fight against Lewis who is a top 10 HW. Other than that he previously looked like a future champ to the point where he was a fav over Stipe pre fight.

If he goes back to fighting to take heads off he's going to knock Blaydes into next week well over half the time

If he's mentally done then gg but even Struve the biggest mental flake at HW has had a few good performances mixed in after his decline started (and it turned out he had a heart issue)

If this was a pickem then sure I can see taking either side but Blaydes at -2xx has to be horrible even if Ngannou only has a punchers chance at HW and he won both rounds in their first fight which was only 2 yrs ago and neither guy got old.

won 1000 on the moneyline, lost 500 on the under 2.5... i think im done betting o/u's.

Betting women o/u's is a tempting, but harsh mistress.

Don't lump all fights together! Say it ain't so Joe!!!

Chuck looks fragile...

Also I seen him hit some pads last week, he looked really slow. Tito looked slow too but marginally better hitting pads. But Chuck looks super fragile, pretty sure this is all about the money, I'm sure he wants to win but can we really say he's trained to win or just trained enough to not look terrible?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMldTAte7Hs

Well the market don't think he's winning either. Don't you find it a tad strange, I mean like you said, and I do agree with your points, I'm pretty sure he was a favorite in their 1st fight as well, strange how things have changed, technically he should be a pretty big favorite having beaten him once already and just the fact that he did look great in his fights prior to Stipe, like you said a future champ.

I have to ask myself why the market makers don't think he has a chance?

I would assume it's because he looked like **** against Lewis, and Blaydes has momentum

Day looking decent I don't mind my +186 here, smallish bet but would still be decent, 19-19 after two rounds

Apparently Pingyuan saying he broke his hand inbetween rounds so fairly promising for Day if he wins the third barring hometown judging

Just re-watched Blades vs Reem. He really fought to his strength in that fight. Blades is only 27, thought he was much older.

If Blades comes out fighting the same fight, fainting and level changing constantly, then getting the take down, like he did vs Reem, then really all he needs to do is fade a round 1/2 bomb imo, especially if he get Ngannou down and tires him early on in the fight.

After that he'll be able to take a punch or 2 in the later rounds, if he hasn't already finished Francis. I think he beats him in round 4 but round 3 is probable too.

Wow I think Day just managed to lose this unless he can get back up even though he's way ahead on strikes landed etc he's prob gonna lose 28-29 under 10 pt in China

Pretty sure Day won under pride rules but Pingyuan 29-28 under 10 point, obv r2 dominant Day round and 1-3 both close but I had Pingyuan edging them

Hopefully Day manages to get a split but I doubt it in China

i had 1-2 for day, but i had pingyuan in my 15 dollar 10 fight parlay so ill take it. i thought 2 was a possible 10-8 as well. 1 was definitely close though.

Can't disagree with that really even though it went against the guy I bet on. Hopefully if there are any more split decs they go in China's favour since all of my remaining bets with a Chinese fighter in them are on the home team's side

Let's go Weili now, beat up the USADA cheat.

I'm 1-2 as well so far at least the losses both on the small side but the win was part of a bigger parlay that also needs this next fight then Yadong later.

and i didn't bet the under i was going to... f my life. zhang's good as hell though.

Wow, Weili is a little beast I can't believe i'd never heard of her, thanks to whoever it was in thread that broke the fight down saying JAG didn't have a chance

Effectively got a big bet on Yadong at -109 now to go with my others as he closes two parlays

Weili Zhang might be China's first legit contender def want to see her against a top 5 opponent soon.

Harsh mistress.

JAG being 36 was a factor here. I assume anyway.

zhangs a pretty clear 5-10 ranked women's 115'er for me. shes not gonna beat the top top girls but shes gonna slaughter everyone else on her way up. she'd murder carla and those type girls though.

im big on coulter, now im nervous and cracked a 5:17am beer.

I mean I have +110 here which is an arb vs Pinny so it can't be bad obv not super confident since both guys are ridiculously low level but i'm pretty sure i'm just going to fade Coulter in all of his UFC fights until he's cut so let's go Hu!

I'll take the mostly unknown quantity over the chinny guy with bad cardio who can't cut weight... hope i'm right

Sorry Joe against you on this one, gl one of us has to win granted my position's more fading your guy than betting mine + trusting market line is closer to right

this is an awful start, feeling awful about it.

Didn't know he was an olympic medallist in wrestling, I think that's good for me given Coulter's weak cardio

Doesn't quite play into Coulter's weak chin for me but it should for cardio I hope

Uhoh big issues with striking

Hu Yaozong seems to have a chin tho

Looks like it may come down to who gasses first