got jordan grffin (-205) and dontale mayes (+275) tonight thats it.

DWTNCS 15 Risk $1862.50

Roosevelt Roberts wins inside distance (-140) vs Garrett Gross $70.00 for $50.00

Mitchell Sipe/Don'tale Mayes Under 1½ (-130) $65.00 for $50.00
Mitchell Sipe/Don'tale Mayes won't go 3 round distance (-265) $132.00 for $50.00

Ian Heinisch wins inside distance (-135) $54.00 for $40.00
Ian Heinisch/Justin Sumter Under 2½ (-125) $62.50 for $50.00
Ian Heinisch/Justin Sumter won't go 3 round distance (-145) $72.50 for $50.00

Jordan Griffin (-155) vs Maurice Mitchell $155.00 for $100.00
Jordan Griffin (-155) vs Maurice Mitchell $155.00 for $100.00
Jordan Griffin (-160) vs Maurice Mitchell $160.00 for $100.00

Juan Adams (-231) vs Shawn Teed $231.00 for $100.00
Juan Adams (-233) vs Shawn Teed $233.00 for $100.00
Juan Adams (-235) vs Shawn Teed $235.00 for $100.00
Juan Adams/Shawn Teed Under 1½ (-175) $87.50 for $50.00
Juan Adams/Shawn Teed won't go 3 round distance (-300) $150.00 for $50.00

good card. maurice mitchell looked better than i thought he would coming out of the gate but if you keep backing up straight into the cage youre gonna run into problems. mayes and sipe was a joke. both guys are bums. sipe gassed so hard after 1.25 rounds on tape. Taking the bigger more athletic heavyweight in that spot 100x out of 100. that line was ridiculous.

any1 on garbrandt?

Not yet. A KO/TKO prop is about the only thing that would make sense for a Garbrandt bet. If it goes the distance, that means TJ played out his strategy.

i think i got dillashaw at that price but i don't think it's insane value by any stretch. garbrandt has faster hands, think tj has a little bit more tools. i was all over dillashaw at +200 though, that was crazy.

5/5 finishes. i enjoy DWCS more than many UFC cards lols. unless theres a sick sat night PPV card tuesday nights are the best for MMA!

just for the record so I've said it, that first Aldo v Max fight and I know I am going back a bit here,

Aldo was destined to KO Max with that barge that mattered, it is unusual unknown and was unexpected that max was able to get out of that, in a game of very few lbs and few few inches, Aldo had Max but some how Max pulled back enough out of range to continue, that right there is very unusual.


I think at the very highest level of this kind of sport, its the soup, the mix of the mentality, the magic that the fighter has put in. If max Holloway was even 25 percent less than he was in the first fight his arse would have been zero'ed, I know this and wont go into it.

Seeing Aldo roll around on the mat, post recent victory was beautiful thing, he has already given so much and he is not expecting any thing at this stage, that win was legit for Aldo, I was rooting for Aldo.

Much love to Aldo, guy tips his head the right way and works hard,

All of this is dust on a mountain of impermanence but I wanted to say it, that first win by max over Aldo was not garanteed, it was more than razor shape, I think it comes down to a fighter that can comprehend, can think, muscle memory, can operate at the mm and nano level in real time.

Aldo was the victor in Aldo vs Max no1, but some how Max took it, that is how great Max is.


This is just some thing I wanted to say about Aldo and Max, there was a lot going on in their first fight more than people realize, it was some thing really difficult for max to do.

Aldo in his prime must have been truely some thing, I DO vote help Aldo to sustain in MMA, he is great, I bow my head too. Aldo should have a clear route to progression out of putting his tidy arse in the game to helping others enter and reach the levels he reached.

He reached enough, no more is required.

Aldo you are really great, your intention is superb, perfect, please help others post your fight career.

MMA (UFC) is easily the greatest sport the planet has, or has ever known, it is expression, knowledge, necessary, unexpected, developing, entertaining, glorious. it is a conduit direct to pure excellence

PFL 5 Risk $1,365.40

Natan Schulte (-111) vs Jason High ~$127.50 for ~$114.86

Vinny Magalhaes (-118) vs Brandon Halsey ~$135.00 for ~$114.41
Vinny Magalhaes (-120) vs Brandon Halsey $120.00 for $100.00
Vinny Magalhaes (-135) vs Brandon Halsey $135.00 for $100.00
Vinny Magalhaes (-150) vs Brandon Halsey $150.00 for $100.00

Maxim Grishin (-190) vs Rakim Cleveland $190.00 for $100.00

Will Brooks (-187) vs Robert Watley ~$215.40 for ~$115.19

Artur Alibulatov (+110) vs Dan Spohn ~$105.00 for ~$115.50

Arthur Estrazulas/Thiago Taveres Over 0½ (-165) ~$187.50 for ~$113.64

well this thread without swoop is like a body without blood loll
#imma****douche , miss ya brother

ufc 227 i putt my $ on moicano , i just re-whatched the way he beat ortega untill he took him down in the 3rd and got choke immediatly , then the stephens fight wow ! thats a sure bet right there...what a beast

santos ,holland won't go the distance llol and that girl weili zhang finish nearly all her fights...

I am super high on Moicano to the point where I think he may be the #3 in the division after Max and Aldo. I won't lay this price on him, but he will fight for the title not too far away.

Just rewatched TJ vs Cody 1 (its on youtube for free atm) twice. The first round was closer than I thought. I really think TJ's chin will prove the difference between them again. Going to fire a full unit on TJ in this one. I think TJ is more like a -150 fav here. Cody can definitely TKO him, I just think TJ has more ways to win and should have a mental advantage as well going into the second fight

Wish I could get Moicano at a reasonable price but not likely.

Some reckless action for this degen dream card.

Risk $25 to collect $510.96
Polyana V. (-145) To Win
Ricky S. (+100) To Win
Brett J. (+205) To Win
Cody G. (+108) To Win

Risk $50 to collect $207.97
Polyana V. (-145) To Win
Cub S./Renato M. (-280) Over 2.5 Rds
Kyung Ho K./Ricardo R. (-200) Over 1.5 Rds
Brett J/Pedro M (-200) Over 2.5 Rds

Risk $125 to collect $1019
Ricky S. (+100) To Win
Demetrious J./Henry C. (+120) Over 4.5 Rds
Cody G. (+108) To Win

TJ imo is one of the very best in the world, i dunno in rematches like this i generally favor the winner of the previous fight. TJ and his team literally invented the incredible footwork skill that many of the smaller fighters try to emulate from him nowadays.

im going to go big on him

Anybody wanting any action on Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Conor McGregor, it's 4/7 Khabib and Conor is 5/4 over at Skybet in the UK. Conor's available at enhanced odds of 6/4 but I don't know how long it'll last as I'm sure UK/Ireland/public money will make it less than 'evens'.

Me? I'm favouring Khabib by decision just by keeping Conor down on the ground and smothering him like he can do.

Chad Mendes had the right gameplan but somehow let Conor back up to get the come-from-behind win. I don't think McGregor's wrestling has improved at all but am slightly concerned that Khabib's chin superficially has never been tested.

if i was rich id bet the house on khabib.

but im not so ill just bet whatever i have at the time.

Conor's hands are going to be sharper than ever coming off the Mayweather fight. He has a shot at the beginning of every round to Aldo him in 30 seconds but he'll most likely end up taking a bullying on the ground for 5 rounds.

Yeah Conor vs Khabib is a tough one. Would snap Conor at +200 or Khabib in a pickem, Khabib has more ways to win but he's also never had his chin tested by a striker with Conor's one punch KO power and every round starts standing.

Looking forward to it. It feels a lot like prime Anderson vs Chael except if Chael had better submission offense and defense. Fun clash of styles. Will bring some much needed hype to the UFC late this year. Hopefully they can put a great undercard on and it should be 1.5m+ buys and maybe 2m.

If a small Mendez on 2 weeks (was it, or was it 8 days, i forget) notice, destroys Conor, what the hell you think Khabib is going to do to him? Add in that he dislikes Conor, I suspect h'es going to maul him like bear would a defenseless chicken.

Punchers chance comes to mind, and getting over 1.62 right now on Khabib, lol. You won't make that kind of return in any market, well perhaps crypto's.

Conor can only hope to land that lucky ko, and Mendez took several shots from Mcgregor, only dropping due to fatigue. Lets be honest here, Khabib got cardio on his side, he will push a pace that will leave Conor exhausted by round 2 maybe 3, at which point Conor won't be able to land that KO. So in reality it's not every round, its perhaps the 1st round and probably the 2nd round too but that's it, no way is Conor ko'ing after 10 minutes. Just won't have the strength, the cardio anymore.

You think Khabib is going to trade with him?? He will bull rush him and once he got a hold of him will likely ragdoll him all over the floor.

Look what he did to Barboza? Elite striker or what? Ok, not Conor right, Conor got you thinking too highly of him, yes he is a star, but you need to stay level headed and not some fangirl here! What about RDA, Khabib destroyed him and RDA was a beast back then!

To sum things up:
Conor's only chance of winning is by KO, he's only got a punchers chance, I'm surprised that Swoop has changed his tone a bit, was pretty sure you were saying Khabib would ragdoll him a few months back. I have heard you speak about punchers chance too, wondering why it does not apply here?

Remember, Conor was going to KO Floyd, and I guarantee that most people actually believed that ****! He has ways of convincing you he'll do it when in reality, well!!!

He was going to KO Diaz too, remember in the first fight, the uppercut, right!!!

I'd never advocate to bet the house but you should double your unit, maybe even triple it, it's not often you get these type of bets but when they come along you need to capitalize on them.

I also feel like Conor won't last 5 rounds, not with Khabib he won't. Sure he just about made it in the 2nd fight with Diaz, and honestly I wouldnt be susprised if Nate purposely lost that fight just to get the trilogy! It looked that way anyway, he looked like he was going easy, just enough so Conor could win. Look at the knockdowns for example, none of the knocks downs was Nate hurt, usually a person gets wobbly or a little disoriented but not Nate, right!!!

You think Khabib is going to give him a breather? 5 rounds..lol. Nah, he will break Conor inside 5 rounds or Conor flukes that KO but it aint never going 5 rounds.

For what it's worth I would have said cardio's on Khabib's side prior to his last fight but he did fade hard vs Iaquinta. That said, he still won every round.

I still lean Khabib but acting like this is a lock is silly, Conor isn't the same fighter he was against Mendes

There's a good chance this fight is over in the first few minutes one way or the other, either Conor landed on Khabib at will or Khabib takes him down with ease and does whatever. The only sure thing here is the fight is unlikely to be close, and I suppose Conor is very unlikely to win a decision too as if he's dominating the standup one would assume he finds a finish

On tomorrow's card i'm just on TJ -124 so far for a full bet and I put a small sweat bet on Jackson -110 since a lot of people seem high on him and he's steamed in a ton

I think Moicano, Santos and Mighty Mouse all win but not laying their prices, rest of the card looks about right, really the only spot i'm high on this card is TJ, I think he's probably closer to a -150 fav vs Cody. Probably should have taken it early when he was -112 like a month ago but didn't want to tie up the money forever. I think the longer the fight goes the better it is for TJ because Cody's main edge is hand speed, TJ has a more diverse attack with kicks and better wrestling and footwork but the main reason i'm on TJ is I think he has a better chin, a better fight IQ and a better corner. If anyone has a mental edge it has to be TJ too after winning the first fight by TKO. Cody knows if he loses via anything other than split decison the rivalry is over, he loses and he's not a contender anymore while TJ holds the belt.

Added £100 on Aldrich at 2.62 due to her steaming in to 2.33.
Also got Cejudo at 5.3 from earlier in the week.

Will probably add some more later tonight, looking at Moraes and Taylor as potential bets.

https://www.bestfightodds.com/fighte...Dillashaw-3053

Steam has been wrong in 7 of Dillashaw's last 8 fights (0/6 steam against him, 1/2 steam for him).

Also, when Dillashaw has drifted from opening price, he's won 8 in a row and 8 of his 9 fights in the UFC. Currently he's drifted 2.3% vs open

Normally you want to be on the side of the steam but in TJ's case it would appear that's irrelevant

Just something I figured was interesting. Annoyed I took -124 now that he's back to -118 but not the end of the world.

khabib -150 feels like the price of a lifetime.

i love todays card for betting. most bets ive had in a while. missed ricardo ramos at -200 though, annoyed at that.

Noticed a bit of steam for Ramos and Johns but in the end I just got off all my other positioned, loaded up hard on Dillashaw and have decided that's my full card.

I really like Santos and Moicano as fighters and hope they win, but TJ is my only value bet spot of the card. I still think he's -150 or so against Cody, so pretty happy with the price I got and I think his chin compared to Cody's and his superior fight IQ and coaching will prove the difference.