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Old 04-14-2018, 07:36 PM   #45526
Balla Shusher
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Thumbs up Re: MMA Thread

Alex Oliveira vs Yancy Medeiros was one of the most exciting fights I have seen, Yancy got smashed from pillar to post, Oliveira is going to come out and blaze off on an aging Carlos Condit

I think most see Oliveira winning and by decision? but I'm not so sure I think both of these guys are going to realize real quick its a kill or be killed kind of fight even thou its only 3rds.

Really good card, both Carlos Condit vs Alex Oliveira and Justin Gaethje vs Dustin Poirier are fights I really want to see.

tempted by 11/8 ends itd on Carlos Condit vs Alex Oliveira but leaving it alone.
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Old 04-14-2018, 09:41 PM   #45527
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Re: MMA Thread

yep... there it is, Oliveira itd

Going to be interesting to see how ME plays out, Poirier needs to land some Sunday punches and get him out of there inside the first 2 rounds
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Old 04-14-2018, 10:25 PM   #45528
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Re: MMA Thread

Justin Gaethje's fight IQ is abysmal.

The in-running odds were crazy. Justin became the favourite after around the middle of round two to the end of round three.
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Old 04-14-2018, 11:19 PM   #45529
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Re: MMA Thread

Brazilian Cowboy after round 1 went from +100 to +120 to +140 when I finally hit it for $200 in-play at 5D. Huge swing back to the green for me. Great co-main and main event fights ending with a modest 1.9 units profit for the card for me.
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Old 04-15-2018, 02:47 AM   #45530
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Re: MMA Thread

Saw the last few fights and they were great. Condit was going to win that fight....but mma can happen.

Watterson casey fight was great as well.
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Old 04-15-2018, 03:28 AM   #45531
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Re: MMA Thread

Got killed on the sweats, but can't really complain about that. Everything else did really well.
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Old 04-15-2018, 05:06 AM   #45532
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Re: MMA Thread

Ended up skipping the card will catch a few of the better fights midweek. Looks like I would have gone 1-1 on my leans but didn't end up betting any.

Prior to the Ortega KO i'd have been all over Edgar at -200ish but I can't help but worry that age and wear and tear may have taken his reflexes and chin so I may end up passing on it. I might play an Edgar sub or dec prop or a Cub KO prop if the lines are good enough but probably not. Obviously Edgar's all around skillset is better due to his grappling but Cub can probably hang better on the feet than he could at the time of their first fight. Frankie should win, but short notice and coming off his first KO so who knows.

Sort of like Lee and will be tempted by Santos and Siyar if their lines are good at the next card. If a Lee sub prop or either Santos or Siyar by KO are good I might take those too.
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Old 04-15-2018, 06:19 AM   #45533
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Re: MMA Thread

Ended up chucking up bets on Reis and Rainey at good prices on Matchbook which got taken.
So alongside bets Lima, Vettori and Boetsch had a nice 0-5 night.

All smallish bets luckily so no major damage.
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Old 04-15-2018, 03:03 PM   #45534
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Re: MMA Thread

I think the winner for lowest fight IQ goes to Vettori. He's a massive bear of a man with a better ground game but after his weak ass attempted foot sweep failed in Round 1 he gave up trying to take him down until Round 3.

Still had a good card for me overall, but disappointed Vettori didn't fight a smarter fight since there was definitely some value there at +225.
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Old 04-15-2018, 06:02 PM   #45535
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Re: MMA Thread

Also has Fight Pass started running really slowly for any of you? I started having huge issues with buffering a couple weeks ago, definitely not my internet connection since everything else is fine.
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Old 04-16-2018, 01:06 AM   #45536
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Re: MMA Thread

Matthews vs Anzai added to the June card. Will obviously smash Matthews if he's -200 or anything like that given he seems to finally be growing into his body and his skillset as an MMA fighter - big step down from Li imo and last fight was the best he's looked in the UFC to date. Can't see him not winning in dominant fashion there. I think I might like Edwards against Cerrone too especially if he's a dog and it seems likely he'll be like +140 or something.
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Old 04-16-2018, 01:57 AM   #45537
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Re: MMA Thread

I like Kevin Lee as a small favorite at -133 and Corey Anderson as a slight underdog at +104 on the Atlantic City card next week.
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Old 04-16-2018, 02:55 PM   #45538
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Re: MMA Thread



he knows because of the way he fights he only has "5 fights left",

Last edited by Balla Shusher; 04-16-2018 at 03:01 PM.
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Old 04-16-2018, 06:16 PM   #45539
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Re: MMA Thread

is anyones fight pass even laggier than usual? i can barely do any research, been so frustrated with it recently.

edit: i see someone else is having same problems. where's pied piper when you need them?
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Old 04-16-2018, 07:16 PM   #45540
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Malachii View Post
Also has Fight Pass started running really slowly for any of you? I started having huge issues with buffering a couple weeks ago, definitely not my internet connection since everything else is fine.
A lot of fights will random say they aren't available, Especially when trying to cast to my tv. Also on the heavy hands podcast they've been complaining a lot about all of the issues they have trying to watch things on fightpass.

Fightpass, amazing value when it works
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Old 04-16-2018, 11:36 PM   #45541
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Re: MMA Thread

I have not had any problems with Fight Pass, but I am mostly watching live prelims and some of the regional cards they show.
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Old 04-16-2018, 11:38 PM   #45542
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Re: MMA Thread

Underdogs I like on the Atlantic City Fight Night card:
Corey Anderson +104
David Branch +180 & +190
Aljamain Sterling +100 & +110
Alex Garcia +135
Leslie Smith +120

Favorites I like:
Kevin Lee -133

Totals:
Kevin Lee/Edson Barboza Under 2½ +105
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:11 AM   #45543
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Re: MMA Thread

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Originally Posted by JimGunn View Post
I have not had any problems with Fight Pass, but I am mostly watching live prelims and some of the regional cards they show.
For whatever reason I never have issues with live stuff, but replays of single fights lag or won't play quite often.
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Old 04-17-2018, 01:34 AM   #45544
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Re: MMA Thread

live stuff is fine it's just the library is basically unusable at times, but then it'll work fine the next day so who knows.
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Old 04-17-2018, 03:58 AM   #45545
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn View Post
David Branch +180 & +190
Came here to post about Branch. Is he just going to be someone who is always underrated?

Also kinda tempted by Cub... Edgar's takedowns are a real threat, and Cub has gotten controlled on the ground a little more than I'd like, but this is a quick turnaround for Frankie, and Cub is no slouch.
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Old 04-17-2018, 01:56 PM   #45546
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Re: MMA Thread

cummins vs anderson may be the most even matchup on paper i've ever seen.

i'm leaning on bombing frankie. i don't like the quick turnaround from the knockout but i think his ability to ground cub as the fight goes on will prove to be the difference.

i'm also intrigued on branch at +180. i love santos and have bet him a ton lately, but i'm not sure he'll be able to keep it standing. will have to do some film on his ground game.
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Old 04-17-2018, 05:13 PM   #45547
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn View Post
I have not had any problems with Fight Pass, but I am mostly watching live prelims and some of the regional cards they show.
ive never had a prob with FP either. its the only thing i ever pay for UFC nowadays.

i wish the dana whites Contender series would come back, id pay for just that alone. but i think its true value lies in the 1 million smaller promotions that ufc owns/has deals with? if you love watching random mma fight pass is the shiit.

its also cool that these smaller organizations have become like the AHL/OHL/WHL for hockey to lead up to the NHL. you can build yourself up to the "big show"

i know its worked like this for a long time now, but being able to watch the smaller cards now super easily all contained on 1 website is incredibly nice.
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Old 04-17-2018, 07:02 PM   #45548
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Re: MMA Thread

Mike Perry vs Yancy Medeiros just got announced for UFC 226. I'm probably going to bet for Perry since Medeiros really likes to brawl and has pretty bad chin I can imagine Perry knocking him out in one of those heated exchanges and also Perry has quite good chin himself and dynamite in his hands so a smart bet would be on Perry (also looking forward for odds to come out on this fight)
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Old 04-18-2018, 09:06 AM   #45549
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Re: MMA Thread

On Branch at 2.88.

Santos is a beast but Branch is more well rounded and been in with the better competition. Think he is probably a slight dog but anything above 2.5 and I have would have taken him.
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Old 04-18-2018, 09:53 AM   #45550
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Re: MMA Thread

Yeah I was hoping to get Santos at -110 but with where it opened i'm leaving it alone. I still think Santos is on the upswing and Branch may have already peaked, but not going to touch it at current prices. Branch is more well rounded, but Santos has the better standup and hits a lot harder and I think he can keep it standing and connect.

Not a lot i'm interested in this card without doing a bit more research.
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