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12-01-2017 , 03:57 PM
By same day I mean step onto a scale before you make the walk and you must be within x lbs of your weight class all through camp etc
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12-01-2017 , 06:35 PM
Ended up taking Soto at 2.75 and Spicely at 2.62 for tonight.

Might end up with bets on Janes and Ware if bets get matched on the betting exchanges. Although journey men themselves. I think both look fairly big prices considering the level of their opponents.
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12-01-2017 , 07:56 PM
Bellator 189 Risk $2082.75

Arlene Blencowe (+400) vs Julia Budd $250.00 for $1,000.00
Arlene Blencowe +5½ points (+155) $75.00 for $116.25
Arlene Blencowe wins by 3 round decision (+495) $25.00 for $123.75

Rafael Lovato Jr. (+225) vs Chris Honeycutt $100.00 for $225.00
Rafael Lovato Jr. (+225) vs Chris Honeycutt $200.00 for $450.00
Rafael Lovato Jr. (+225) vs Chris Honeycutt $100.00 for $225.00
Rafael Lovato Jr. (+225) vs Chris Honeycutt $100.00 for $225.00
Rafael Lovato Jr. (+192) vs Chris Honeycutt $550.00 for $1056.00

Chidi Njokuani (-177) vs Hisaki Kato $177.00 for $100.00

Adam Piccolotti (-201) vs David Rickels $150.75 for $75.00
Adam Piccolotti (-185) vs David Rickels $185.00 for $100.00

Sam Sicilia (+140) vs Marcos Galvao $100.00 for $140.00
Sam Sicilia (+158) vs Marcos Galvao ~$70.00 for ~$110.60

Glory 48 Risk $912.50

Kevin VanNostrand/Anvar Boynazarov Under 2½ (+130) $85.00 for $110.50

Thiago Silva/John King Over 1½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

Anissa Meksen (+100) vs Tiffany van Soest $250.00 for $250.00
Anissa Meksen (-105) vs Tiffany van Soest $262.50 for $250.00

Chris Camozzi/Kyle Weickhardt Over 1½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
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12-01-2017 , 08:41 PM
TUF 26 Finale Risk $2113.00

Roxanne Modaferri/Nicco Montano Under 4½ (+122) $100.00 for $122.00

Sean O'Malley wins inside distance (+180) $40.00 for $72.00
Sean O'Malley wins by TKO/KO (+250) $40.00 for $100.00
Sean O'Malley wins in round 2 (+625) $15.00 for $93.75
Sean O'Malley/Terrion Ware Under 2½ (+145) $100.00 for $145.00
Lauren Murphy/Barb Honchak Under 2½ (+235) $45.00 for $105.75

Eric Spicely/Gerald Meerschaert Under 1½ (+110) $50.00 for $55.00

DeAnna Bennett/Melinda Fabian Under 2½ (-145) $58.00 for $40.00

Joe Soto (+170) vs Brett Johns $100.00 for $170.00
Joe Soto (+170) vs Brett Johns $100.00 for $170.00
Joe Soto (+170) vs Brett Johns $100.00 for $170.00
Joe Soto scorecards = no action (+180) $150.00 for $270.00
Joe Soto wins by submission (+900) $25.00 for $225.00

Montana De La Rosa wins by submission (+120) vs Christina Marks $30.00 for $36.00

Ryan Janes (+445) vs Andrew Sanchez $50.00 for $222.50
Ryan Janes (+445) vs Andrew Sanchez $50.00 for $222.50

Rachael Osotovich (-323) vs Karine Gevorgyan ~$390.00 for ~$120.74
Rachael Ostovich (-360) vs Karine Gevorgyan $360.00 for $100.00
Rachael Ostovich wins inside distance (+164) $30.00 for $49.20
Rachael Ostovich/Karine Gevorgyan Under 1½ (+220) $50.00 for $110.00
Rachael Ostovich/Karine Gevorgyan Under 2½ (-105) $105.00 for $100.00

Ariel Beck (+237) vs Shana Dobson $50.00 for $118.50

Gillian Robertson (+159) vs Emily Whitmire $75.00 for $119.25
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12-01-2017 , 09:35 PM
Wait a minute, wait a minute...is Rachael Osotovich wearing lipstick!?
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12-01-2017 , 11:16 PM
Good lord, nice sub
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12-01-2017 , 11:21 PM
Bye Soto money.
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12-02-2017 , 12:44 AM
I got O’Malley ITD (+200) and main event U4.5 (+122)

Both on 5D, about 2u each play

Good luck everyone
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12-02-2017 , 01:02 AM
Man Wade looks soft on the mid section. Perfect for a back kick KO early in the 2nd.
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12-02-2017 , 01:22 AM
Fuuuuuuuuuuk lol another 30 seconds man
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12-02-2017 , 05:18 AM
1-3 night for me.
Got matched on Ware at odds of 3.55 and Janes at 6.8.

A slightly losing night overall but Janes limited the damage.
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12-02-2017 , 11:57 AM
1-2 for me for a loss of a bet and change for TUF finale. I like the Spicely price considering how r1 went. Soto steamed in piles, then got his calf crushed. Montano was obv a good bet will be interesting to see if she can hang with Shevchenko and company. I hope she can I like Nicco she seems really nice from the TUF season and she works hard and beat a lot of bigger name girls to get that belt. I assume Eubanks will get a title shot with a win but she has to make 125 first, maybe she should go to 135 idk how her weight cutting will go in the future.

Considering Reem +200 but he's likely to get flatted in r1. If he doesnt he wins though imo. Also considering Reem Dec +500.

Also sort of want Oliveira -110 but i'd prefer it at + anything Felder could easily knock him out. I really hate this card for betting. I still like Cejudo at -300 but should have had -220 i'm stupid for not taking my Cejudo spot at -220 and Oliveira at +135 id have been happy with both of those prices but not post steam

Herrig price starting to get tempting but i'd need to rewatch Casey/Aguilar to fire it and realistically I won't do that before the card.

No bets for now i'll make them tomorrow. I would be surprised if I don't take Reem decision at least though but i'm worried Ngannou might fold if pressured - I fully expect Reem to have a conservative gameplan though and either get folded up early or try to grind Ngannou to a decision with a title shot on the line.
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12-02-2017 , 12:54 PM
Made $45 on TUF 26 Finale, but up thousands between Bellator and Glory. Still working up most of my bets for UFC 218 tonight.
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12-02-2017 , 02:56 PM
Backed Casey at 2.25 against Herrig for tonight.

Quite like the odds on Overeem but never got matched at 3.5 and he has steamed since earlier in the week.

Early odds on Torres and Cejudo would have been nice. But I don't have access to these and they have steamed too far now for me to get involved.
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12-02-2017 , 02:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn
Made $45 on TUF 26 Finale, but up thousands between Bellator and Glory. Still working up most of my bets for UFC 218 tonight.
How has your mma betting been going this year Jim?
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12-02-2017 , 03:11 PM
2u Gaethje by KO + Overeem vs Ngannou ends by KO + Aldo/Holloway ends by KO at +500

Lean Ngannou and Holloway by KO but hedging with Ngannou not being as good as we think and/or gassing before reem and Aldo coming out aggressively and landing.
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12-02-2017 , 05:02 PM
Finally have some time and what a card to be back for! Very excited for tonight. I've ended up with:

Overeem +200. I think experience and skill can win over youth and potential. Essentially Overeem is the kinda fighter I will always like. He lands about 2 shots for every shot he takes, and doesn't look bad in any area stats wise. Even with the biases of my method taken into consideration +200 seems like a lot. Markets have Ngannou as a favorite to win by KO/TKO. Really? Yeah, Overeeem's chin is suspect, but he has also won 7 of his last 10. And most of those guys only need a clean connection or two to put him out. I don't think his chin is the death sentence many make it out to be. That said, despite his superior skill, I don't think he is much more than evens, if that, to win.

Pettis +255. Sheeesh. This is another numbers over gut feeling one, but even the numbers don't inspire confidence. Cejudo looked incredible against Reis. Pettis has the slightly stronger records (although if you flip the Benavidez result that changes), and is 6 years younger. Other than that Cejudo seems to have all the upside. Honestly not sure I can justify biting even at +255, but I did.

Gaethje -175. This is hopefully going to be a war, but I think most of the intangibles are in Gaethje's favor. Alvarez is coming off two brutal beatings (one in which he gave as much as he took and got a NC) and is 4 years older. Gaethje has no reason to doubt himself for now, and thrives in crazy violent fights. Don't have much stats for Gaethje as he only has one UFC fight so stuck with records which marginally favor Gaethje at this point, although the biggest cap belongs to Alvarez in RDA.

Torres -241. I have to admit I probably overrated Waterson, especially coming into the Rose fight. For record: Torres, for output: Torres, for age: Torrres, and I have my doubts as to how effective a takedown plan is going to work out for Waterson.

Charles Oliveira -110. Record and age in Oliveira's favor. Stats wise their striking is similar. The upside is Oliveira's ground game, although I'm not sure how big of an impact it will have on this fight. Still, with nothing going for Felder I like -110.

Klose +140. I slightly prefer Klose's record, although the Vannata win was big from Teymur even if Vannata has perhaps proven a bit of a let down overall. With Teymur's crazy fight against Vannata the numbers are kinda skewed, so I lean on Klose showing better defense and still having good output. Hard to set an exact line, but +140 seems like it's good enough.

Cooper -550. Okay, lol at the price I got, but do I really need to justify betting against ****ing Magana? She's got a terrible record, she's older, and honestly I just plain want to watch her lose. Stat for stat ABC looks better too. Probably -550 was a bit overboard though...
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12-02-2017 , 05:18 PM
Didn’t have time to research any of the undercards, for straight up bets I ended up with Ngannu at -190, Cejudo at -245 and Alvarez at +160. Not feeling great about the Alvarez bet after reading all of the posts on here but whatever.

Good luck all.
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12-02-2017 , 05:23 PM
^ u took rose we should all bow in ur presence
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12-02-2017 , 05:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RB87
How has your mma betting been going this year Jim?
Pretty good, still playing with the same money I started with in 2013 and my bankrolls are bigger than ever at each sportsbook that I use. I'd have to spend some time with the calculator and spreadsheet to be more precise than that. I've been betting a lot of boxing and kickboxing when available as well and those have been very profitable. Also doesn't hurt that I bought a single Bitcoin and a fraction of one a couple of years or so ago at $447 to use on wagering, gambled that up to several Bitcoin now with the value just short of $11,0000 apiece.
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12-02-2017 , 07:10 PM
UFC 218 Risk $3221.10

Jose Aldo wins in round 1 (+2000) $25.00 for $500.00
Max Holloway wins in round 2 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Max Holloway/Jose Aldo Under 2½ (+135) $100.00 for $135.00
Max Holloway/Jose Aldo won’t go 5 round distance (-185) $185.00 for $100.00

Alistair Overeem (+205) vs Francis N'Gannou $200.00 for $410.00
Francis N'Gannou wins in round 1 (+145) $75.00 for $108.75
Alistair Overeem wins by TKO/KO (+550) $40.00 for $220.00
Alistair Overeem wins in round 2 (+1211) $25.00 for $302.75

Sergio Pettis (+266) vs Henry Cejudo $100.00 for $266.00
Sergio Pettis +3½ points (-140) $105.00 for $75.00

Eddie Alvarez wins in round 1 (+750) $30.00 for $225.00
Justin Gaethje wins in round 2 (+445) $25.00 for $111.25
Justin Gaethje wins in round 3 +(1050) $20.00 for $210.00
Justin Gaethje/Eddie Alvarez starts round 2 (-216) $129.60 for $60.00
Justin Gaethje/Eddie Alvarez fights ends in KO/TKO/DQ (-145) $108.75 for $75.00

Tecia Torres (-160) vs Michelle Waterson $160.00 for $100.00

Paul Felder (+102) vs Charles Oliveira $100.00 for $102.00
Paul Felder (-145) vs Charles Oliveira $145.00 for $100.00
Paul Felder (-145) vs Charles Oliveira $145.00 for $100.00
Paul Felder/Charles Oliveira won’t start round 3 (-152) $114.00 for $75.00
Paul Felder/Charles Oliveira fights ends inside the distance (-250) $250.00 for $100.00

Alex Oliveira wins by submission (+508) $20.00 for $101.60
Alex Oliveira wins inside distance (+125) $20.00 for $101.60
Alex Oliveira wins in round 3 (+900) $15.00 for $135.00
Alex Oliveira/Yancy Medeiros fight ends inside the distance (-155) $116.25 for $75.00

David Teymur (-160) vs Drakkar Klose $160.00 for $100.00

Felice Herrig (-120) vs Cortney Casey $120.00 for $100.00
Felice Herrig (-120) vs Cortney Casey $120.00 for $100.00
Felice Herrig (-155) vs Cortney Casey $155.00 for $100.00
Felice Herrig wins by submission (+600) $30.00 for $180.00
Felice Herrig wins by submission (+585) $10.00 for $58.50
Felice Herrig wins in round 3 (+1600) $10.00 for $160.00

Abdul Razak Alhassan wins by TKO/KO (-120) vs Sabah Homasi $36.00 for $30.00

Jeremy Kimball (+400) vs Dominick Reyes $50.00 for $200.00
Jeremy Kimball wins in round 1 (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00

Justin Willis/Allen Crowder Over 1½ (-155) $46.50 for $30.00
Allen Crowder wins by 3 round decision (+550) $20.00 for $110.00

Amanda Bobby Cooper wins by submission (+220) $25.00 for $55.00
Amanda Bobby Cooper wins in round 3 (+800) $10.00 for $80.00
Amanda Bobby Cooper/Angela Magana Under 2½ (+125) $40.00 for $50.00

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+115) $25.00 for $28.75
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+314) $15.00 for $47.10
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+858) $10.00 for $85.80
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+2700) $4.00 for $108.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 9½ (+11700) $1.00 for $117.00

Justin Gaethje/Eddie Alvarez FOTN award winner (+190) $25.00 for $47.50
Paul Felder wins Fastest KO (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00
Amanda Bobby Cooper wins Fastest Submission (+900) $10.00 for $90.00
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12-02-2017 , 08:41 PM
Amanda cooper looking hotter than any of the ring girls and strong as an ox in the cage...
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12-02-2017 , 08:48 PM
These ladies should really be wearing a sports bra and small top over it for security.
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12-02-2017 , 08:50 PM
C.Oliveira vs P.Felder
Fight Result (2 way):*
Felder, Paul To Win
£50 @ 2.09 (11/12)
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