Worked out I was on the wrong side of that one quickly

Back to being up 2u and change. Guess i'll throw that on Ray DEC +120 because Ray's moved in so much and while I liked Felder initially idk not too keen to go against that kind of movement then we finish off with the 3 spots I actually like

pff, i thought janes won that. A little bit of hometown bias...

Yeah janes won that imo, does anyone like Felder? Thinking i might back him before it starts

Wow I suck so much at picking Felder fights. He's my new Cerrone (got the last few Cerrone ones right so can't say he's my nemesis when it comes to picking fights anymore)

Down a little bit now for the card.

I liked Felder initially but all of the line movement on Ray scared me. Tiny bet anyway

Gogo Calderwood. The big one's in the main though, Gunnar early sub or Ponz dec one time (and I guess Gunnar Dec is a smaller win and Ponz KO avoids disaster too but isn't a win)

Got rid of Calderwood bet last second for a tiny loss. Going to be annoyed if my original read was right. Still got her in my parlay though so want her to win.

Back to thinking regardless of being saved by the bell in r1 Calderwood was prob value at +180

Looks like 19-19 after two

Cavillo has the fight iq of a ****ing potato. I hope she loses in a split.

UFC seems to be hyping Calvillo hard

She probably won 29-28 due to the td and sub attempt at the end but Calderwood's live due to it being a close r3 and in scotland

I think my Calderwood bet was value at +180 and mildly annoyed I cashed it out due to the steam on Calvillo at the end prefight, this could go either way on the cards in Scotland.

Gunnar sub/dec (early sub would be cool) or Ponzinibbio dec plz to close us out and get a winning card, or I guess Ponz KO avoids disaster even if it'd mean a small losing card

edit: wow, 2x 30-27s in Scotland and a UD? Surprising, I expected a 29-28 split. I guess Calderwood had damage to her face from the shot to her nose in r2. Still, expected at least a 29-28. Guess i'm glad I got rid of it after all.

Did one judge score that 30-27 Calvillo? I had jojo r2-3, round 1 was a toss up

How do you give jojo the 3rd? Saved by the bell in a rear naked choke.

Quick sub by gunni one time.

Haha or maybe not.

Ah lame Ponz wins by KO. At least it's only a small loss since I added the Ponz by KO or Decision hedge at the end

Pretty bad card for me I think I lose 20u or so for the card. Still happy with my position in the main event I think. Could have been a lot worse for me if I didn't add the Ponz by KO or DEC hedge and if I didn't cash out Calderwood just before the fight.

Grats to anyone who had Ponz. WW has a new contender

Calvillo not getting the sub cost me a lot of money. still shocking to me only about 45 seconds of that fight happened on the ground. really wished she would have lost the split. jojo's teeps and front / snap kicks were giving her a lot of trouble which is weird because you'd think they would have focused on that in the camp.

maybe it's just my personal bias, but getting someone to the mat has to be the easiest skill to learn while simultaneously being the hardest thing to defend against. you literally just have to clinch, hang your bodyweight on them and stick your leg between theirs. but maybe the answer is just lol wmma. i need to learn not to lay serious money on wmma fights.

Gunni looked good before he got clipped, wished he would have just tried to get it to the mat instead. luckily, i had the under 3 rounds so my ITD / Sub bet was offset with that.

I find it so impressive how guys like Whittaker can just stuff takedowns with ease from Olympic class wrestlers. It's not like Australia has an NCAA program he grew up in like a lot of the top wrestlers in the UFC. Gunnar did look good, but Ponzinibbio made him pay. Gunnar did look very happy to stand and trade though for a grappler but I guess the fight ended relatively early. Will be interesting to see who they both get next.

Maia +150 not as good as I hoped, but he was +170 at one point. I guess he could easily get back to +175 or more just going to leave it for now but i'm far more likely to bet on Maia than Woodley even though the stylistic matchup is bad for him.

Knight opens as a fav over Lamas, not the long price I was hoping for either. Lawler/Cerrone about the same as it was last time, slightly more favourable for Lawler I assume because Cerrone's been dealing with the blood infection or whatever it was. Cyborg a huge fav as expected, Jones still about the same, I do kind of want to bet Jones but with the long layoff i'll probably just pass. I just don't think DC can beat him unless he can outwrestle him and he couldn't do that the first time. That said there's a chance Jones was roiding and is off them now, so that's a wild card.

Manuwa -160ish vs Oezdemir, that's a tough one as it's hard to have any idea how good Oezdemir actually is.

I can't help but think Bermudez handles Elkins easily and i'm very high on Elkins and up a lot betting on him... but with how chinny Bermudez is, Elkins is kind of tempting. Despite the way his last fight ended it's not like Elkins is known to be a knockout artist and that's how you beat Bermudez. He could though, price seems about right.

I sort of want to bet Pat Cummins at -112 vs Villante but i'd need to rewatch some tape first

Lots of new odds out today, will be interesting to see how they move.

So pretty blatant eye pokes were missed in the gunni fight. Not sure it changes the outcome but both were as bad as if not worse than anything jones has done. UFC needs to switch to pride style gloves.

Everyone is on Spohn and I can see why with the size, height, reach and grappling advantage, but DeAnda has better combination striking and even though he often doesn't look impressive in his fights for minutes at a time, he can crack with an overhand right and follow up shots out of nowhere.

DWTNCS 2 Risk $870.00

Angel DeAnda (+245) vs Daniel Spohn $50.00 for $122.50
Angel DeAnda (+215) vs Daniel Spohn $50.00 for $107.50
Angel DeAnda wins inside distance (+506) $20.00 for $101.20
Angel DeAnda/Daniel Spohn Under 2½ (+152) $50.00 for $76.00

Sean O'Malley (-220) vs Alfred Khashakyan $220.00 for $100.00
Sean O'Malley wins inside distance (+123) $30.00 for $36.90
Sean O'Malley/Alfred Khashakyan Under 1½ (+140) $50.00 for $70.00

Thanh Le (-140) vs Lazar Stojadinovic $140.00 for $100.00

Michael Cora (+140) vs Sidney Outlaw $100.00 for $140.00
Michael Cora wins inside distance (+248) $40.00 for $99.20

Cee Jay Hamilton (-120) vs Casey Kenney $120.00 for $100

Took Daniel Spohn at 1.38.

Just trusting the market here as he has been backed in to 1.23 on Pinnacle.

Deanda +300 - 0.25u
Deanda/Spohn under 2.5 +115 - 1u
O'malley/Alfred under 1.5r +125 - 0.25u
Le -135 - 2u
Cora +155 - 0.25u
Kenny -125 - 1u

O'Malley pieced this boy up.

The snoop cast is electric btw. If your watching the regular announcers you are doing it wrong.

just switched it to the snoopcast, will have to watch the replay with it only.

I'm liking the pace of this show, right to the fights like the hardcore fans want.

Angel with a huge mistake there. He had him rocked.

Really frustrating loss for angel there.

+3.2ish units. Feel robbed not to cash on Deanda at +300 tho.

Le would have been a much better addition to the roster. O'malley is going to get murked vs most of the division.

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