Decided to increase my Ayari bet to 2u and added a 0.2u sweat on Madadi +168

Interesting that Till missed weight by so much, shouldn't be a disadvantage given how far he missed by but still means his cut went poorly even if he stopped cutting which I assume he did

Also Casey fails drug test and Aguilar win becomes a NC.

Not really that excited for this card other than the main, but there are a lot of prospects I guess, i'll be on a plane as the card's happening but will try to catch as much of it as I can

Feel sort of meh about this card.

Will watch it, but don't see any great spots although I guess fading ageing brazilians who probably spent most of their career on roids has to be +EV?

Got a large bet on Gus at average odds of 1.54.
Also small bet on Akhmedov at 3.25 and Ayari at 4.33.

Will be watching it live so might have a few bets in play.

UFN 109Risk $2174.20

Glover Teixeira (+255) vs Alexander Gustafsson $75.00 for $191.25
Glover Teixeira +5½ points (+140) $75.00 f0r $105.00
Glover Teixeira/Alexander Gustafsson Over 2½ (-140) $105.00 for $75.00
Glover Teixeira wins in round 4 (+2839) $10.00 for $283.90
Glover Teixeira wins in round 5 (+3663) $10.00 for $366.30

Misha Cirkunov wins by TKO/KO (+422) vs Volkan Oezdemir $25.00 for $105.50

Ben Saunders (+102) vs Peter Sobotta $100.00 for $102.00
Ben Saunders wins by submission (+711) $25.00 for $177.75

Omari Akhmedov (+200) vs Abdul Rasak Alhassan $100.00 for $200.00
Omari Akhmedov wins by decision (+701) $30.00 for $210.30

Nordine Taleb (-355) vs Oliver Enkamp $355.00 for $100.00
Nordine Taleb wins by submission (+950) $25.00 for $237.50

Jack Hermansson (-165) vs Alex Nicholson $165.00 for $100.00
Jack Hermansson wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00

Pedro Munhoz by submission (+165) vs Damian Stasiak $40.00 for $66.00

Trevor Smith (+135) vs Chris Camozzi $50.00 for $67.50

Reza Madadi (+145) vs Joaquim Silva $75.00 for $108.75

Bojan Velickovic (+107) vs Nico Musoke $100.00 for $107.00
Bojan Velickovic wins by submission (+904) $15.00 for $135.60
Bojan Velickovic wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00

Darren Till/Jessin Ayari Under 2½ (+122) $75.00 for $91.50

Marcin Held/Damir Hadzovic Over 2½ (-108) $43.20 for $40.00
Marcin Held wins by decision (+166) $30.00 for $49.80

Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+145) $30.00 for $43.50
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+444) $15.00 for $66.60
Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+1408) $10.0 for $140.80
Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+5525) $3.00 for $165.75
Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+31000) $2.00 for $620.00

Jack Hermansson/Alex Nicholson FOTN award winner (+700) $15.00 for $105.00

Parlays:
Pedro Munhoz (-719) vs Damian Stasiak + Nordine Taleb (-390) vs Oliver Enkamp + Misha Cirkunov (-450) vs Volkan Oezdemir $401.00 for $300.42

Ben Saunders wins by submission (+610) + Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+110) $25.00 for $347.75
Pedro Munhoz wins by submission (+160) + Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+110) $25.00 for $111.50
Marcin Held wins by submission (+175) + Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+110) $25.00 for $119.38
Pedro Munhoz wins by submission (+160) + Ben Saunders wins by submission (+610) $25.00 for $436.50
Marcin Held wins by submission (+175) + Ben Saunders wins by submission (+610) $25.00 for $463.13
Marcin Held wins by submission (+175) + Pedro Munhoz wins by submission (+160) $25.00 for $153.75

Wow I had musoke ahead on the cards great finish from velikovic gross start but at least it wasn't a big bet on musoke

2.5u madadi at +150ish average feels like a flip so taking the dog

Also locked in 13u hunt at +105 it's the bet I like most on any upcoming card. Basically Lewis has to take him down and hulksmash him in the first 2 mind or hunts going to ko him. It's in nz too so hunt will be motivated.

Added Stasiak at 8.6 and Oezdmir at 5.0.

Small sweats as odds were too good to pass up.

Reza needs to stop shooting and just strike at range Silva has nothing except in close. Will come down to whether Reza is out of gas. I think he was a favour here he won first second close but Reza is tired

Remind me to fade neto bjj always. Bad striking not the best TDD couldn't even capitalise when reza gassed. Crowds given him second wind lock it up plz. Cardio tho

Could be headed to a split in Sweden Neto bjj is terrible but madadi had no cardio. Will come down to r2 I think Silva probably won but madadi did land the better shots in r2

Yeah could see this fight going either way.

Not sure how much of a delay there is on fight pass. But just after it started Madadi was available at 3.0 for like 1k on Betfair think someone messed up.

Think I agree with that decision but I'm fading the he'll out of Joaquim Silva In his next fight.

2u camozzi because why not. Guess it depends whether he can stuff the takedowns

Just took on Smith at 2.6. Don't really have much of an opinion on the fight but beating Pinny and 5dimes odds so will take it.

On Smith small but adding this too: Chris Camozzi wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00

Camozzi really regressed. Wish I bet Smith bigger.

Ok no more degenning for me. Hopefully Gustafson and one of Saunders or akhmedov win and I can never think about this card again

Camozzi needs to be cut now

Doing well so far. Had Hadzovic, Velickovic and Smith. + 4.1u / 82% ROI

EDIT: And there I get a little bit from Hermansson too!

Small insurance on my big Taleb bets:Oliver Enkamp wins by TKO/KO (+1555) $30.00 for $466.50

Hedging a bit more after round 1: Live In-Play Oliver Enkamp (+260) vs Nordine Taleb $100.00 for $260.00

Enkamp looked really good.
Going to be someone to look out for in the future

Screw it, more on Akhmedov at this price: Omari Akhmedov (+245) vs Abdul Rasak Alhassan $150.00 for $367.50

Akhmedov cashes too. Locked in a pretty solid winning night now. Hope one of the last two fights can make it a great night.

Lot wow at that being a split would have been tilted if a second judge went full ******. Won a bit back on Hermansson then more on akhmedov if Gustafsson wins my card won't be too bad and if Saunders does I'll be in profit.

And Oezdemir delivers! Crazy knockout. At a glance it looked like he barely touched him, although the shot was well placed.