I'm in Vegas at a convention and hanging with friends so I didn't watch the Invicta fights yet. But I did even better on my boxing bets tonight. Hit a +6000 majority draw prop of $8.00 to win $480.00 and a nice dog play of $100 at +130. Good start to 2017!
some decent fights tmr but not the strongest card. the main is super lol as penn is completely done imo. if i was rich id hammer a ko/tko by Yair hes a demon in the cage.
i also like saunders in there, physically he should have the advantage hes so long.
lets see...im a lauzon fan so i think ill pick him, held obv has sub advantage as thats how he wins a lot of the time. but ehhh i think held is not as aggro as lauzon overall or in the standup.
Last edited by PropPlayer; 02-04-2017 at 09:01 AM.
Reason: lvr reference moved to low-content
Read somewhere Moraga said he'd retire if he loses. Also better boxing and younger with room to improve maybe? I have no idea what to think of the fight so staying away
Some $ came in on Penn after weight ins (everyone saying he looks great)so Yair at -370 at 5dimes. Normally I'd wait until more square $ came in but I think by now everyone knows Penn is lazy and him going back to his yes men instead of doing his camp 100% with Jackson wink made up my mind. Penn is completely shot and doesn't have the athleticism that someone like Caceres displayed to dodge those Yair kicks. Yair will kick his head to Bolivia or re-retire him after an entire beat down.
3.7u to win 1u Mr. Rodriguez. I honestly see this line closer to -600
Small action and few props because I am busy this week and probably not going to be able to watch live anyway.
UFN 103 ]Risk $1693.35
B.J. Penn/Yair Rodriguez Over 2½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00
Joe Lauzon (-135) vs Marcin Held $405.00 for $300.00
Ben Saunders (+110) vs Court McGee $200.00 for $220.00
Ben Saunders wins by submission (+514) $30.00 for $154.20
Sergio Pettis (-142) vs John Moraga $142.00 for $100.00
Drakkar Klose/Devin Powell Under 1½ (+173) $25.00 for $43.25
Frankie Saenz (-156) vs Augusto Mendes $156.00 for $100.00
Viktor Pesta (+120) vs Aleksei Oleinik $50.00 for $60.00
Tony Martin (-165) vs Alex White $123.75 for $75.00
Tony Martin wins by submission (+180) $30.00 for $54.00
Nina Ansaroff (-165) vs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger $165.00 for $100.00
Walt Harris (-141) vs Chase Sherman $141.00 for $100.00
Walt Harris wins by TKO/KO (+130) $25.00 for $32.50
Joachim Christensen/Bojan Mihajlovic Under 1½ (+131) $40.00 for $52.40
Cyril Asker/Dmitrii Smoliakov Over 1½ (-102) $30.60 for $30.00
Nina Ansaroff/Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger FOTN award winner (+1200) $10.00 for $120.00
I'm Def getting on wonderboy -125 v woodley he wins a rounds where woodley doesn't take him down or knock him down and showed a hell of a chin last time things went as bad as possible for him twice in the fight and it was still a draw where he won 3 rounds. May play wonderboy ud too depending on the line.
Also going to take khabib -165 or so probably I think he takes Ferguson down and grinds out the decision most of the time. Ferguson could cracked him standing but I'll be surprised if he gets the darce and that's his go to finish. Wouldn't be shocked to see khabib summit him from top position too. I think khabib via wrestling decision is most likely setting up arguably the biggest lw title fight ever in conor v khabib for conors return card
Penn has a chin but yairs offence even better than ever. Shame I went small on oleinik and lose on main. Down about 3u. I actually nearly cashed out my yair Dec prop after r1 but decided not to was hoping Penn could weather the storm and lose a ud.
Rodriguez deserves a top 5 contender next for sure
Due to so many short favs and no real fancies myself I only placed a 1u 6 fold for fun which landed at 19.2.
Props to all you guys as this thread influenced my picks!
First 5+ unit play this year is going to be wonder-boy I think.
I am surprised you all still think wonderboy is gonna beat woodley, I feel like he got exposed a bit in their first fight. Wonderboy seemed so afraid to engage with woodley, the only thing that was working for him was his jab and he was not throwing any leg kicks anymore afer the first round. I think woodley's size and power is too much for wonderboy to handle. If only Woodley would come out a bit more agressive I think he could finish wonderboy.