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12-10-2016 , 10:03 PM
Should have hedged with Viviane live in such a close fight. No Canadian bias for Valerie.
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12-10-2016 , 10:05 PM
Let's go OAM

So far so good for my FOTN props, especially Brown/Cerrone as nothing thats happened so far will win FOTN, I almost feel like 2u is too small a bet at +600 and I guess I break even if the main wins it with my hedge there
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12-10-2016 , 10:19 PM
Ah damn it I went to hit the OAM wins in r2/3 props just before the fight but the line closed. Nice performance by OAM
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12-10-2016 , 10:27 PM
Adding a unit on u1.5 rounds to go with my Krylov bet at -125 mostly just because its steaming in a bunch and i'm getting an arb price against the Pinny line but also Krylov fights tend to be fast one way or the other and I lean towards it ending fast anyway
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12-10-2016 , 10:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn
UFC 206 Risk $3312.47

Max Holloway (-244) vs Anthony Pettis $244.00 for $100.00
Max Holloway wins by 5 round decision (+145) $50.00 for $72.50
Max Holloway wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+215) $25.00 for $53.75

Donald Cerrone (-275) vs Matt Brown $275.00 for $100.00
Donald Cerrone wins by submission (+314) $30.00 for $94.20
Donald Cerrone wins in round 2 (+500) $20.00 for $100.00
Donald Cerrone wins by submission in round 2 (+800) ~$11.64 for ~$93.12

Cub Swanson (+185) vs Doo Ho Choi $200.00 for $370.00
Cub Swanson wins by submission (+1155) $30.00 for $346.50
Not Doo Ho Choi inside distance (-120) $90.00 for $75.00
Cub Swanson/Doo Ho Choi Will End In For The First 60 Seconds Of 1st Round (+1000) ~$11.64 for ~$116.40

Tim Kennedy (-130) vs Kelvin Gastelum $260.00 for $200.00

Jordan Mein (-156) vs Emil Meek $156.00 for $100.00
Jordan Mein wins by TKO/KO (+190) $30.00 for $57.00

Misha Cirkunov (-120) vs Nikita Krylov $240.00 for $200.00
Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+220) 30.00 for $66.00
Misha Cirkunov wins in round 3 (+1075) $10.00 for $107.50

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-170) vs Drew Dober $127.50 for $75.00
Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins by submission (+365) $30.00 for $109.50

Valerie Letourneau/Viviane Pereira Over 2½ (-200) $100.00 for $50.00

Matthew Lopez/Mitch Gagnon Over 2½ (-145) $108.75 for $75.00

John Makdessi/Lando Vannata Over 2½ (-120) $90.00 for $75.00

Jason Saggo (+170) vs Rustam Khabilov $75.00 for $127.50
Jason Saggo scorecards = no action (+210) vs Rustam Khabilov $75.00 for $157.50

Zach Makovsky (-170) vs Dustin Ortiz $127.50 for $75.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+110) $40.00 for $44.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+305) $25.00 for $76.25
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+900) $10.00 for $90.00
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+2750) $4.00 for $110.00
Fights to go distance over 10½ (+20000) $1.00 for $200.00

Donald Cerrone wins Fastest Submission (+800) $10.00 for $80.00
Jordan Mein wins Fastest KO (+675) $10.00 for $67.50

Max Holloway/Anthony Pettis FOTN award winner (+325) $15.00 for $48.75
Max Holloway/Anthony Pettis FOTN award winner (+1100) ~$27.16 for ~$298.76

Donald Cerrone wins POTN Bonus (+205) ~$11.64 for ~$23.86
Misha Cirkunov wins POTN Bonus (+354) ~$11.64 for ~$41.21

Parlays:
Donald Cerrone (-275) vs Matt Brown + Max Holloway (-245) vs Anthony Pettis $500.00 for $460.11
Zach Makovsky/Dustin Ortiz Over 2½ (-375 ) + Jason Saggo/Rustam Khabilov Over 2½ (-212) $200.00 for $172.83
don't wanna jinx/curse anything but ty for the picks so far, missed out on the first 2 and started on makdessi, killing it right now!
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12-10-2016 , 10:44 PM
Breakeven again for this one, under hits, Krylov loses

Think i'm up about a unit for the card atm

Brown/Cerrone war still looking good for FOTN as no candidates yet if it's back and forth
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12-10-2016 , 11:32 PM
Man mein doesn't have the heart to be a fighter, he could be really good but I guess he can't stand the pain, he should retire.
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12-10-2016 , 11:32 PM
Weird fight had me worried for FOTN at first but still safe if my FOTN fights are good

Mein started well then just did nothing. Nice heart shown by Meek, I assume it's a pretty clear 29-28 Meek, didnt get the best price as I took it early but oh well
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12-10-2016 , 11:34 PM
pathetic last 2 rds by mein go back to retiring
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12-10-2016 , 11:43 PM
Mein gave up during round 2.
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12-10-2016 , 11:52 PM
Gastelum looks like a fat teenager vs Tim Kennedy

Sucks... got KG by dec
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12-10-2016 , 11:54 PM
Feeling very happy with my Kennedy and over bets. Probably should have gone more than 1u each.
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12-10-2016 , 11:55 PM
Hmm, slightly worried Kennedy gave that round away with the flurry at the end although he did win most of the round
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12-10-2016 , 11:55 PM
man kennedy looks tired
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12-10-2016 , 11:56 PM
Close R1 rlly judge dependant
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12-10-2016 , 11:56 PM
pathetic shape a buncha these guys in, Gastellum should be embarrassed to be in the ring and looks like a slob. this fighting without making weight garbage has to stop
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12-11-2016 , 12:01 AM
Kennedy losing this hurts alot. Quite shocked actually.


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12-11-2016 , 12:02 AM
Got it 19-19 but round 1 was close, Gastelum could be up 2 on some cards

Kennedy needs to shoot clinch and grapple he can't hang on the feet

If Kennedy wins r3 we're headed to a split decision a lot, as long as it goes over 2:30 in r3 I at least break even on the fight
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12-11-2016 , 12:04 AM
Well Gastelum's even better than I thought he just needs to make 170 and he'll be a contender. Just hope Kennedy can survive another minute now

I thought the size difference would play more of a role, Tim's striking looking awful compared to before his layoff

edit: whew Kennedy narrowly survived long enough. Absurd that he beat Bisping as easily as he did given how bad his striking looked. Another breakeven fight.

Brown vs Cerrone FOTN looking good, same with Pettis/Holloway if either deliver
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12-11-2016 , 12:05 AM
caman Tim take him to the ground
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12-11-2016 , 12:05 AM
Well **** me. Tim gassed quick.
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12-11-2016 , 12:05 AM
wow amazing, kennedy was gassed after 3 minutes
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12-11-2016 , 12:09 AM
If he just could last just 2 more minutes damn

Got my Parlay super live tho, Kennedy need to skip the gym and go running a bit more
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12-11-2016 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stoffmakers
don't wanna jinx/curse anything but ty for the picks so far, missed out on the first 2 and started on makdessi, killing it right now!
guess I put the curse on sighhhhh
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12-11-2016 , 12:18 AM
I remember thinking 'why did I take o2.5 rounds should taken fight goes to decision for a better price' after I made the bet, feels good to suck out like that kinda.

Let's go Choi, hope he can live up to his potential, if Cub stands with him he will, but Choi did get taken down easily last time out etc. only a small bet but I really want Choi to do well, would love to see him vs Holloway/Aldo/etc someday
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