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Old 09-24-2016, 09:46 PM   #38976
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Re: MMA Thread

Interesting all 3 sherdog guys had r1 for Burns and he was -165 live; I was leaning Prazeres in real time in a close round but wasn't watching super closely and I have a Burns bet on.
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Old 09-24-2016, 09:50 PM   #38977
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Re: MMA Thread

Burns won most of the round but lost the end of it post takedown attempt and looks a bit gassed... Burns +220 live now. Was thinking about buying off, but not at that price.
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Old 09-24-2016, 09:51 PM   #38978
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Re: MMA Thread

like how burns fight i have it 2-0 prazeres tho

hope burns can get the TKO in 3rd
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Old 09-24-2016, 09:57 PM   #38979
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Re: MMA Thread

Prazeres wins the decision although I have seen bigger robberies probably so I guess i'm 2% or so to get one

Still up for the card but back to about a unit I think
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:00 PM   #38980
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Re: MMA Thread

Yeah ok I had it 30-27 too, just thought I must have missed something in r1 as all 3 Sherdog guys had it for Burns. Weird.

Let's go Pepey, I probably should have bet this one for FOTN, it and Felder/Trinaldo are the two most likely but better price on Pepey/De La Torre. That said this fights also more likely to end early given Pepey's fighting style.
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:17 PM   #38981
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Re: MMA Thread

If Pepey doesn't gas he's got this 100% rocked de La Torre like 3x already
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:18 PM   #38982
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Re: MMA Thread

There we go

Shame the r1 price wasn't better as I liked that too

Up closer to 2.5u now

Despite only lasting a couple mins and being one sided it could almost be a FOTN contender, if De La Torre had got a bit more offense in i'd have said it could have been.

Pepey makes me more of a fan with every fight, he's only mid level, but he has fun offense and just goes after it every time.

Adding 0.2u Lansberg +925 and o1.5 rounds +300 as well for the main sweats

Last edited by SwoopAE; 09-24-2016 at 10:29 PM.
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:37 PM   #38983
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Re: MMA Thread

Wow JimGunn, you went big on under the 1.5 on Nelson vs Silva.
I'm leaning the other way, don't like the price at all.

They are buddies, and I think it will be pretty tentative fight, sure Silva has anuber glass chin, but its been a while since we saw Nelson KO anyone also he is a low volume fighter with patient fighting style. Silva is also aware of his glass chin and will do everything to keep distance or take it to the ground. I think he will just use kicks to keep him at distance, kicks have always worked well vs Nelson. I just see the fight drag on a bit longer.

Sure its very likely he connects and KO Silva, but at that price and that soon. I got fight starts round 2 at +162.
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:40 PM   #38984
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Re: MMA Thread

Wow, sick upset, Poor Santos must feel awful losing as a 6-1 fav at home

u1.5 rounds hits, not the way I thought it would but i'll take the suckout

@check if you think its a tentative fight, Bigfoot dec $13 on bet365 (or nelson dec $12)

I think it's a Nelson r1 KO, but if not I love the Bigfoot dec price too
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:41 PM   #38985
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Re: MMA Thread

Sick display of grappling.
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:43 PM   #38986
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Re: MMA Thread

I live bet Spicely at +320 once he got the oma-plata on... just had a feeling that he could pull it off. Just bet .40 of a unit but I'll take it.

Got 1 unit on Felder to win and 1 unit on Felder to win via decision.

Also bet .20 of a unit on Bigfoot to win in r3 at +3300 and Silva by decision at +1000.
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:51 PM   #38987
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Re: MMA Thread

Santos just cost me almost 13 units. Crazy.
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:52 PM   #38988
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Re: MMA Thread

That santos fight tilted me, I didn't wanna touch Bigfoot fight but now I'm on nelson outright barao outright cyborg ko/tko parlay 500 @ 1.9 if this shegs I'll go to bed.
Using betfair if anybody wants the price
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Old 09-24-2016, 10:54 PM   #38989
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Re: MMA Thread

damn.....didn't see that coming
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:00 PM   #38990
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
@check if you think its a tentative fight, Bigfoot dec $13 on bet365 (or nelson dec $12)

I think it's a Nelson r1 KO, but if not I love the Bigfoot dec price too
Those are great odds IMO, so much better than on 5Dimes, unfortunately I don't got an account over there, will look into signing up with those prices.

Although, I do think Nelson win by KO is most likely outcome, but I think it might come a bit later, and I think Nelson is fine with being patient and waiting for his spot especially against Silva. Also I feel Nelson wont 'let' it go to a decision if he is behind on the scorecards I think he will take more risks and close the distance and gets the KO.

Thinking about it ill be putting some small bets at Nelson in Rd 2 and 3 at +675 and +1425


Damn, that upset of Spicely just busted a few parlays, so far the underdogs have been doing quite well on this card.
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:04 PM   #38991
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn View Post
Alan Patrick wins by 3 round decision (+275) + Jussier Formiga wins by 3 round decision (+145) + Rani Yahya wins by 3 round decision (+202) $50.00 for $1,337.31
Nice!!
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:11 PM   #38992
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Re: MMA Thread

If you sign up at bet365 make sure you get the deposit match bonus I think it's $200ish apparently they're wary of sharp action but i've run 200 into 1100ish so far with no issues mostly betting mma props and australian football. Seems like a very square book in general but if we're betting $100 a unit or whatever should be fine. I used to mostly bet on Pinny, now I bet almost fully on 5d/bet365 for mma as one of them usually has a great price
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:18 PM   #38993
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Re: MMA Thread

So tilting def lost FOTN and lost over 2.5 for 6 seconds ffs
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:19 PM   #38994
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Re: MMA Thread

I have to stop betting Felder. I thought he was going to be something but has looked worse each match up imo.
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:25 PM   #38995
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Re: MMA Thread

Thanks Swoop, appreciate it.

I best mostly on 5dimes since they got all the props and overall best odds especially the day off or before the fights, Unless Pinny has a better price ill bet there. Just been lazy to look into other bookies, but thanks again for the tips.
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:28 PM   #38996
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Re: MMA Thread

I won big on Trinaldo but would have made more with Trinaldo decision, not to mention that the over 2 for my last parlay missed by five seconds.
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:36 PM   #38997
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Re: MMA Thread

Jim Oficial time is Round 3 2:25sec
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:44 PM   #38998
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Re: MMA Thread

my parlays are dead, otherwise this Nelson fight would be tilting the f outta me
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:46 PM   #38999
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Re: MMA Thread

Added a third of a unit on o2.5 rounds +200

Also added 0.15u on Nelson dec and Nelson r2 prefight

Let's go Bigfoot decision now

If Roy can't put Bigfoot out he really is done he needs to lose the weight and go to LHW

I should have added a full unit on the over 2.5 after r1, Nelson's slower than usual and Bigfoot's fighting conservatively
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Old 09-24-2016, 11:53 PM   #39000
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Re: MMA Thread

So close Bigfoot. So close

Nelson is super fade material in his next fight and Bigfoot needs to hang it up.

Bigfoot dec was definitely the value. There goes all the profit sadly as I bricked my two sides, think i'm stuck a unit and change now

Will need a Barao finish to end in the black, or if he wins by decision i'll end up down very slightly - i'm just assuming Lansberg isn't going to win but obviously if she does that'll help a lot
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