MMA Thread - Page 1559 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Seems about as likely as Ray getting the stand up he was asking for, huh...

That was the biggest disappointment in Ray for me, seemed his whole plan for getting off his back was begging the ref for a stand up. Looks to me like his submission and grappling game is the kind that just doesn't work at the UFC level.

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09-24-2016 , 08:12 PM

#38954

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Wow, what a ridiculous error by Chagas, nearly a nice suckout for Silva in r1. Fortunately my ITD is live. I think 30 more seconds and Silva usually finishes

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09-24-2016 , 08:12 PM

#38955

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

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Chagas +170 live is tempting. I'll take him after the second if he wins r2.

10-9 Silva despite Chagas dropping him early

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09-24-2016 , 08:15 PM

#38956

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Chagas might have worse fight IQ than Silva

Come on Silva get the finish

edit: lol maybe I stand corrected

These guys have lets say questionable defense

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09-24-2016 , 08:18 PM

#38957

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Oh wow 5 more seconds and Silva had him

How do you score that round, Chagas with a knockdown and almost a finish, but Silva dominated the early part of the round and Chagas was saved by the bell

Silva -195 live, was considering taking him as a smaller fav since it could be 20-18, depending how the judges saw r2

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09-24-2016 , 08:19 PM

#38958

OzExorcist

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 628

I have NFI how to score this, it's like they're just taking turns doing exactly the same things to each other :P

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09-24-2016 , 08:20 PM

#38959

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

After round 2: Live In-Play Luan Chagas (+170) vs Erick Silva $100.00 for $170.00

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09-24-2016 , 08:21 PM

#38960

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Chagas is the more gassed of the two somehow. Entertaining fight, but not promising for either guy's future. Silva's looked good on the ground but his chin seems pretty bad.

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09-24-2016 , 08:22 PM

#38961

OzExorcist

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 628

LOL are we gonna see a jab KO?!? :P

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09-24-2016 , 08:24 PM

#38962

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

lol Chagas was more gassed than any WW in quite some time. Erick Silva ITD hits which is a nice bink for me, and as I said pre-card i'm annoyed my full bet wasn't on it.

Erick Silva would still have potential with his more cautious style if he had a chin and cardio, but he doesn't. Chagas is just an equally dumb fighter and Silva is a WAY better grappler. Silva needs to work on his offensive wrestling I think, he's still fast and explosive on the ground

I think i'm up about 2u for the card now, won 1.3-1.4 or so there on that fight and 3-1 overall

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09-24-2016 , 08:24 PM

#38963

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

Gillispie/Silva. Shipped a Dodge Ram. Not a bad day to pick up a unit.

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09-24-2016 , 08:25 PM

#38964

OzExorcist

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 628

Silva still fade material IMO if it takes him that long to finish a guy who spends the entire third round staggering and seems to have the fight IQ of a potato...

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09-24-2016 , 08:38 PM

#38965

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Silva submission prop cashes big for me at +645. Next- Big on Formiga, the over 2½ rounds, Formiga by decision in parlays hedged with Ortiz +3½ points and Ortiz by 3 round decision.

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09-24-2016 , 09:03 PM

#38966

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Nice start, gogo

I'm up a bit under 2u now, let's see if Rani Yahya can grind out the win here hopefully. It really feels like he should be a bigger fav

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09-24-2016 , 09:09 PM

#38967

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Won on Jussier ML and the over 2½ but that stupid Ortiz +3½ points cost me much of my profit there.

Next, big on Yahya, Yahya 3 round decision hedged with Yahya by submission plus Tanaka +3½ points & Tanaka round 3.

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09-24-2016 , 09:10 PM

#38968

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

GG Team Alpha Fail. No way out of this choke. Kinda wish I had more on Yahya

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09-24-2016 , 09:12 PM

#38969

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Oh wow, he gets out. Still, looking like a ground domination most likely.

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09-24-2016 , 09:14 PM

#38970

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Worried about ******ed judging, it's a clear 10-9 Yahya but Tanaka ended up on top so you never know.

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09-24-2016 , 09:15 PM

#38971

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Hmm, Tanaka +200 somewhat tempting but idk I figure i'll be able to get off after r2 if it goes badly somehow but if Yahya gets him down again it should be over

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09-24-2016 , 09:20 PM

#38972

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

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I mean I capped this at -200ish and originally bet it at -143 before cashing out at -135 due to bet365's lolness and then getting -105... but I feel dumb to only have 1.3u on.

20-18 Yahya, he has it now barring robbery don't see how he gets finished other than punchers chance

-675 livebetting seems about right, punchers chance plus the slight chance Tanaka wins r3 and gets a terrible split decision or whatever

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09-24-2016 , 09:26 PM

#38973

OzExorcist

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 628

LOLbad stand up there...

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09-24-2016 , 09:27 PM

#38974

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Seems like a pretty clear 29-28 Yahya. Hopefully no ******ed judges tonight. Pretty bad fight IQ by Tanaka, he fought Yahya's fight. Which i'm perfectly ok with.

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09-24-2016 , 09:28 PM

#38975

connormcgregor

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 108

Didn't make in time to get on luque I was on Silva then have parlay for santos outright, barao outright, cyborg itd at 1.54 for £350, £25 on lansberg by tko @ 16/1, couldn't resist the price for a 2x Muay Thai world champion at 145, knowing that anyone can get got.

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