Lets go Maia! Need her to win to cash in all my 4 parlays, considering hedging it with bet on Modaferri, nah lets just go for it

jimmgunn wants the cherry on top

Maia big round 4. This last round might determine the fight.

Damn Modaferri is hard to look at, they way she moves, fights, looks.
I think we got this in the pocket, Hope Maia keeps it standing and doesnt follow her to the ground.

her weigh in costume was the worse......

think Maia got the last 2 rounds fairly easily

congrats JimmGunn

cant believe split

Jimmy ****ing Gunn

Ashamed of myself for not betting on Kaylyn Schwartz a/k/a Kal Holliday against awesome kickboxer but no-ground-game-having Tiffany Van Soest. But a clean sweep and 5.17 units profit will have to suffice.

Invicta FC 19 Results

Jennifer Maia (-195) vs Roxanne Modafferi $97.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Irene Aldana (-270) vs Faith Van Duin $270.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kaline Medeiros (-265) vs Manjit Kolekar $397.50 for $150.00= $150.00

Parlays:
Ayaka Hamasaki (-185) vs Jinh Yu Frey + Jennifer Maia (-245) vs Roxanne Modafferi $100.00 for $116.93= $116.93
Kaline Medeiros (-400) vs Manjit Kolekar + Irene Aldana (-325) vs Faith Van Duin $158.00 for $100.27= $100.27
-----
Total Profit= $517.20

perfect card is perfect

I will be in Vegas first weekend of November ready to go big on Furgeson hopefuly as a slight dog.

Grats on a solid card. I didn't have any plays on this one but good to see the thread winning.

Nice!

Looks like the Burns line move broke in my favour and Pepey and Yahya against.

Added 0.5u Erick Silva wins in r1 +375 because i'm an idiot. I told myself i'm not betting on him but it's so tempting since if he wins it'll be in r1. I should have loaded on Chagas when he was a dog and hedged with Silva wins in r1, but here we are.

Not as excited as I initially was about my plays this card. I'd be satisfied with breaking even to be honest. Obviously I will now scoop the lot

edit: wow it's steamed against Yahya in 13 of his last 14 matchups. I should have done my homework and waited. Also it steamed against Pepey against both Fili and Dashon Johnson. A bit less concerned by the money against me now but annoyed I didn't get the best prices.

Ray 4 units @ $1.62
Tanaka 4 units @ $2.10
De La Torre 3 unit @ $2.20
Trinaldo 3 units @$1.89
Chagas 3 units @ $1.67
Multi - Santos/Cyborg/Barao/Nelson 6 units @ 1.93

Nelson/Silva Under 1.5 rounds 5 units @ 1.47
Ortiz/Formiga Over 2.5 rounds 5 units @ 1.40
Barao/Nover INSIDE the distance 4 units @ 1.90
Trinaldo/Felder Fight to go the distance 5 units @ 1.71

T.J just sent a call out to Cruz and offered to bet 100k.

I appreciate that.

lol so I have no idea what bet365 are thinking but they just let me cash out my Yahya -143 and Pepey -143 at the equivalent of -135 each when the current line is a pickem.

That seems exploitable, but I assume they'll ban if I do it specifically to beat closing lines.

In any case, I cashed those bets out and re-fired them on 5d at -105 for both because I can. So why not.

Down something like 0.2u for the card to start now, but now i'm in good on everything and have a better price on Pepey and Yahya so i'm ok with it.

Also added 0.75u on Erick Silva ITD to go with my Silva wins in r1 prop because i'm getting +250 and thats insanely awesome compared to everywhere else. Wish i'd just taken that rather than r1 at +375 for some of it, although r1 is still his most likely path.

Also adding another 0.2u on Bigfoot DEC +1200 because it's ending either that way or Nelson r1 KO and i'm covered for both. I hope anyway.

Also adding 0.07u Lansberg DEC incase Cyborg gasses after two rounds and because it's +2700

0.2u Ortiz +168 for a sweat and because I think it's a very close fight and would be a pick'em outside Brazil.

Now I just need to figure out my plays for the three early prelims. Anyone like any spots in the first 3 fights with decent reasoning? I have no idea.

I got 2 parlays live that close with UFC legs:

1) Rice + Baylor + J. Formiga + Nelson + Cyborg fight U1.5 1.2u to win 4.9u

2) Zacatepec + Defensor Sporting + Nelson fight U1.5 + Cyborg Fight U1.5 1u to win 5.3u


Good card everyone !!

those are some stange parlays

I ended up going really big on this card.

UFN 95 Risk $8492.49

Cristiane Justino/Lina Lansberg Under 1½ (-350) $262.50 for $75.00

Renan Barao wins by decision (+140) vs Phillipe Nover $71.43 for $100.00

Roy Nelson/Antonio Silva won’t start round 2 (-170) $85.00 for $50.00
Roy Nelson/Antonio Silva Under 1½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
Roy Nelson/Antonio Silva Under 1½ (-200) $800.00 for $400.00

Francisco Trinaldo (-138) vs Paul Felder $690.00 for $500.00
Franciso Trinaldo wins by 3 round decision (+175) $75.00 for $131.25

Thiago Santos/Eric Spicely Under 1½ (-195) $195.00 for $100.00
Thiago Santos wins in round 1 (-140) $70.00 for $50.00
Thiago Santos By KO/TKO/DQ (-300) $75.00 for $25.00
Thiago Santos wins by submission (+1400) $20.00 for $280.00

Godofredo Pepey (-140) vs Mike de la Torre $280.00 for $200.00
Godofredo Pepey wins by submission (+225) $40.00 for $90.00

Gilbert Burns (-173) vs Michel Prazeres $173.00 for $100.00
Gilbert Burns wins in round 3 (+800) $10.00 for $80.00

Rani Yahya (-140) vs Michinori Tanaka $700.00 for $500.00
Rani Yahya wins by submission (+335) $30.00 for $100.50
Michinori Tanaka +3½ points (-175) $175.00 for $100.00
Michinori Tanaka wins in round 3 (+2175) $20.00 for $435.00

Jussier Formiga (-195) vs Dustin Ortiz $536.25 for $275.00
Jussier Formiga/Dustin Ortiz Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
Dustin Ortiz +3½ points (-180) $180.00 for $100.00
Dustin Ortiz wins by 3 round decision (+245) $75.00 for $183.75

Erick Silva (+140) vs Luan Chagas $100.00 for $140.00
Erick Silva wins in round 1 (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Erick Silva wins by submission (+645) $50.00 for $322.50

Alan Patrick/Stevie Ray Under 2½ (+114) $50.00 for $57.00
Alan Patrick wins by submission (+875) $20.00 for $175.00
Stevie Ray By KO/TKO/DQ (+290) $25.00 for $72.50

Vicente Luque wins by submission (+180) vs Hector Urbina $40.00 for $72.00
Vicente Luque wins in round 3 (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00

Glaico Franca scorecards = no action (-165) vs Gregor Gillespie $165.00 for $100.00
Glaico Franca wins in round 3 (+900) $10.00 for $90.00
Glaico Franca wins by submission (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+202) $40.00 for $80.80
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 6½ (+555) $25.00 for $138.75
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 7½ (+1665) $15.00 for $249.75
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+6675) $10.00 for $667.50
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 9½ (+40600) $5.00 for $2,030.00

Francisco Trinaldo/Paul Felder FOTN award winner (+550) $15.00 for $82.50


Parlays:
Thiago Santos (-450) vs Eric Spicely + Renan Barao (-385) vs Phillipe Nover + Cristiane Justino (-1250) vs Lina Lansberg $754.31 for $500.00

Vicente Luque (-445) vs Hector Urbina + Thiago Santos (-602) vs Eric Spicely $400.00 for $171.26

Alan Patrick wins by 3 round decision (+275) + Jussier Formiga wins by 3 round decision (+145) + Rani Yahya wins by 3 round decision (+202) $50.00 for $1,337.31

Jussier Formiga/Dustin Ortiz Over 2½ (-255) + Thiago Santos/Eric Spicely Under 1½ (-175) + Francisco Trinaldo/Paul Felder Over 2½ (-190) + Nelson/Silva won’t start round 2 (-170) + Barao/Nover starts round 2 (-320) + Justino/Lansberg won’t start round 2 (-273) $50.00 for $425.51


Round Robins:
Thirty-five 3-team parlays of $5.00 each: Luque wins by submission (+180) + Formiga wins by 3 round decision (+143) + Santos wins in round 1 (-140) + Trinaldo wins by 3 round decision (+145) + Nelson wins in round 1 (-185) + Barao wins by 3 round decision (+160) + Justino wins in round 1 (-255) $175.00 for $1470.11

Twenty-eight 2-team parlays of $5.00 each: Franca wins in round 3 (+1000) + Luque wins in round 3 (+1000) + Patrick wins in round 3 (+1675) + Chagas wins in round 3 (+850) + Formiga wins in round 3 (+1200) + Yahya wins in round 3 (+1125) + Burns wins in round 3 (+1050) + De la Torre wins in round 3 (+1000) $140.00 for $20,333.41

All base units

0.07u Lansberg DEC +2700
0.2u (random free bet so risk zero) Lansberg +800

2u Fight doesn't start r2 (Nelson vs Bigfoot) -192
0.9u Nelson wins in r1 -160
0.25u Nelson wins in r2 +625
0.85u Bigfoot DEC +1100ish average

0.2u Ortiz +168

1.3u Pepey -105 (I really should have waited til fight time steam's clearly on the other side but whatever)

1.3u Yahya -105 (same as Pepey)

0.5u Erick Silva wins in r1 +375
0.75u Erick Silva ITD +250 (because i'm an idiot and I said i'm never betting on Erick Silva again obviously)

1u Felder +120

1u Barao ITD +115
0.5u Barao -400

1u Burns -175

0.25u Fight goes under 1.5 rounds (Santos vs Spicely) -200

0.2u Fight goes distance (Franca vs Gillespie) +120
0.2u Franca scorecards no action -180

0.5u Luque ITD -120

0.33u Ray -160

and we're down a shade under 0.2u to start the card due to cashing out some bets where the lines moved against us to hit elsewhere at a better price.

Glad to see Jim's on the same side of all my 1u+ bets with the exception of Felder

Dude what did you do ?

I shouldn't have taken Silva wins in r1, but the Silva ITD price I got is a massive scalp against the 5dimes price so it can't be that bad - I mean he does win ITD almost always when he wins due to ****ty gas tank/USADA, but he'll still be explosive and powerful early. Was going to take Chagas when he was a dog, then I waited, then Chagas steamed, and I faded steam. Basically, i'm an idiot. Hopefully Erick Silva wins in 22 seconds via ridiculous flashy stuff before he runs out of gas.

Or he'll throw a spinning heel kick, miss and get blasted via random forehead punch knockout in under a minute who knows?

At least it's only about my equal fifth biggest play give or take, so it won't make or break my card.

2 for 2 start. Should have made it a full unit on Luque probably, Urbina is not good and Luque is probably mid level in the UFC, he seems to have potential

Dominick Cruz and Dan Hardy would be a great commentary team - I guess they're both colour and they need a play by play guy. Not Anik though Anik is a black hole of charisma and so is Kenny Florian for that matter. Goldberg can at least pump up a crowd even if he's prone to making ridiculous errors.

The UFC had better have a full time commentator/analyst gig for Cruz the day he decides to hang it up - hopefully not for a while, i'd love to see him clean out 135 and take fights against guys like Aldo and Edgar

You can tell if they fight to a finish Ray wins but man what terrible TDD and fight IQ.