I've never been on so many favorites, nor against so many Brazilian fighters in Brazil, nor made so many parlays. Hope it mostly goes as expected.

UFC 198 Risk $3994.46

Fabricio Werdum (-145) vs Stipe Miocic $435.00 for $300.00
Fabricio Werdum/Stipe Miocic starts round 3 (-131) $131.00 for $100.00
Fabricio Werdum wins by TKO/KO (+375) $30.00 for $112.50
Fabricio Werdum wins in round 4 (+1475) $10.00 for $147.50
Fabricio Werdum wins in round 5 (+2275) $10.00 for $227.50
Fabricio Werdum wins by 5 round decision (+550) $20.00 for $110.00

Ronaldo Souza (-295) vs Vitor Belfort $590.00 for $200.00
Vitor Belfort wins in round 1 (+550) $50.00 for $275.00

Cris Justino wins in round 1 (-160) vs Leslie Smith $160.00 for $100.00

Corey Anderson -(150) vs Mauricio Rua $150.00 for $100.00
Corey Anderson -3½ points (+135) vs Mauricio Rua $74.07 for $100.00
Corey Anderson wins by TKO/KO (+550) $40.00 for $220.00
Corey Anderson wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00
Corey Anderson/Mauricio Rua won’t go 3 round distance (+135) $75.00 for $101.25

Warlley Alves wins inside distance (-176) vs Bryan Barberena $88.00 for $50.00
Warlley Alves/Bryan Barberena Under 1½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00

Demian Maia (-315) vs Matt Brown $157.50 for $50.00
Demian Maia wins in round 2 (+500) $20.00 for $100.00
Demian Maia wins by submission (+150) vs Matt Brown $100.00 for $150.00
Thiago Santos/Nate Marquardt Under 1½ (-145) $72.50 for $50.00
Francisco Trinaldo wins by TKO/KO (+350) vs Yancy Medeiros $30.00 for $105.00
Francisco Trinaldo wins by 3 round decision (+180) $111.12 for $200.00
John Lineker (-165) vs Rob Font $330.00 for $200.00
John Lineker/Rob Font Over 1½ (130) $97.50 for $75.00
John Lineker wins by submission (+1130) $10.00 for $113.00
John Lineker wins by 3 round decision (+430) $50.00 for $215.00
Rob Font +3½ points (-130) vs John Lineker $52.00 for $40.00

Patrick Cummins -3½ points (+105) vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira $75.00 for $78.75
Patrick Cummins wins in round 3 (+1200) $10.00 for $120.00
Sergio Moraes/Luan Chagas Over 1½ (+110) $100.00 for $110.00
Renato Moicano Carneiro (+130) vs Zubaira Tukhugov $100.00 for $130.00

Fights to go distance over 4½ (+126) $50.00 for $63.00
Fights to go distance over 5½ (+341) $30.00 for $102.30
Fights to go distance over 6½ (+971) $20.00 for $675.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+2950) $10.00 for $295.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+13500) $5.00 for $675.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 8½ (+9625) $5.00 for $481.25

Fabricio Werdum/Stipe Miocic FOTN award winner (+375) $15.00 for $56.25
John Lineker/Rob Font FOTN award winner (+550) $15.00 for $82.50
Cris Justino wins Fastest KO (+150) $30.00 for $45.00
Warlley Alves wins Fastest Sub (+525) $10.00 for $52.50

Parlays:

Demian Maia (-300) + Warlley Alves (-550) $174.00 for $100.18

Patrick Cummins (-250) + Demian Maia (-300) + Warlley Alves (-550) $100.00 for $120.61

Patrick Cummins/Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Over 1½ (-275) + Demian Maia (-345) $131.77 for $100.00

Renato Moicano Carneiro wins by 3 round decision (+354) + John Lineker wins by 3 round decision (+417) + Demian Maia wins by submission (+155) $50.00 for $2,942.65

Renato Carneiro/Zubaira Tukhugov Over 2½ (-135) + Sergio Moraes/Luan Chagas Over 1½ (+110) + Patrick Cummins/Antonio Rogerio Nogueira goes 3 round distance (-140) $50.00 for $263.33

Renato Moicano Carneiro wins by 3 round decision (+354) + Patrick Cummins-3½ points (+105) + John Lineker wins by 3 round decision (+417) + Francisco Trinaldo wins by 3 round decision (+165) + Demian Maia wins by submission (+155) + Corey Anderson -3½ points (+135) + Ronaldo Souza wins inside distance (-166) + Fabricio Werdum (-160) $10.00 for $19,886.70

Fingers crossed for the parlay Jim,

Yeah, I don't often do long parlays but I see other guys hitting some medium sized and bigger lottery ticket parlays once in a while, so I figure let me have a little fun mixed in with all my normal action and a few two or three team parlays.

Anyone think Leslie/Cyborg go past 1.5?

Leslie is pretty tough, and outside of having her ear knocked off had never been finished. Plus she has pretty solid striking which has me doubting cyborg will just come and bulldozer her.

Also cyborg has a handful of finishes past the 1.5 mark.

Leslie is a brawler. This isn't going long. I wish I could bet Cyborg under 60 seconds.

Good luck everyone!

So much action tonight! I usually trap myself when I like so much...

Number of Parlays on the below inc the hit n hope all 8
Moraes
Cummins
Maia
Linekar
Werdum
Anderson
Santos
Alves


Maia by KO/TKO/DQ or Sub +110
Cyborg wins in R1 -200 (not happy with that juice but looks the best I can get)

Bellator 154 Risk $472.50

Muhammed Lawal (+180) vs Phil Davis $100.00 for $180.00
Muhammed Lawal (+195) vs Phil Davis $100.00 for $195.00
Muhammed Lawal wins by 3 round decision (+370) $100.00 for $370.00
Saad Awad (-185) vs Evangelista Santos $92.50 for $50.00
Saad Awad wins by 3 round decision (+375) $50.00 for $187.50
Rick Reger (+355) vs Andre Fialho $30.00 for $106.50

why did the lil nog line get cancelled on nitro? did something happen?


weird line is still up but in my parlays they got cancelled

Nice start Jim

Bet .40 unit on Chagas at +350 and feeling good so far.

edit: not liking it so much after r2

urgh what?

wtf how could they have that a draw? 10-8 for Chaves r1? How could another judge have Chaves winning 2 rounds?

Will my bets get pushed? Or do I lose for not betting a draw?

Same boat as you Sect7G, I THINK most books this would go as a push... I'm not 100% sure though..

From PaddyPower - which is the book I used for that fight

To win the fight:
Prices are offered for each fighter to win the fight and in the event of a draw all bets will be void and stakes returned, this includes a fight which ends in a 'majority draw'. Bets will be settled on the official result announced in the ring. Subsequent appeals/amendments do not affect settlement (unless the amendment was made due to human error when announcing the result

Wow. I bet a unit on Cummins but I'm really happy for lil nog. I hope he retires with grace after a wonderful performance at home.

D'oh. That was costly...

Small live bet on the under 2½, Lineker gonna stop him with body shots maybe: Live In-Play John Lineker/Rob Font Under 2½ (+110) $36.36 for $40.00

What does a bookie do if a draw occurs? Most books should void it/mark it a push unless obviously there were odds for a draw which can happen.

nice structure on that lineker fight jimgunn. The decision was a nice hit at +430

OOOF!! Francisco Trinaldo with the 'old man strength' there but also has the stamina of an old man yet does enough to win at least two rounds (1 and 3, for me). He's like a slightly less scary Yoel Romero.

Yancy Medeiros has a hell a lot of heart and a helluva chin.

yancy was out on his feet for half the 3rd.

Yeah, was a nice payday there.

Just tuning in now; looks like I have a +1700 sweat as Lil'Nog got the R1 tko; just need a few people to survive r1

Sub prop not looking good with no subs yet looks like Jim's in good shape with decision props

Let's hope we hit a pile of subs from here guess

That sweat didn't last long. GG Nate.