MMA Thread - Page 1324 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

What a terrible round

20-18 Gonzaga I guess although nothing happened in r2 so could be 19-19

If Gonzaga finds a takedown he wins easily but I guess he's 'winning' as is so whatever

Gonzaga dec was like +1100 from memory I remember briefly considering it but figuring that if either guy lands anything its over so didn't

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12-11-2015 , 10:53 PM

#33077

SwoopAE

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Shoulda trusted my gut Gonzaga +131

At least I got +105 for a bit can't imagine Gonzaga losing from top position here

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12-11-2015 , 10:58 PM

#33078

SwoopAE

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Small Octagon. Gabriel Gonzaga. Somehow fight goes to uneventful decision

lol at commentators calling ref incompetence out when ref yelled 'work to improve' right as Gonzaga passed to mount, literally one of the only significant things that happened in the whole fight

30-27 and 29-28 Gonzaga both fine, looks like another win and onto the next one

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12-11-2015 , 10:59 PM

#33079

SwoopAE

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Ooh, a 30-28 score. I like that judge for I assume giving a 10-10 in r2

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12-11-2015 , 10:59 PM

#33080

SSpecial_K

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Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 41

What a terrible fight.

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12-11-2015 , 11:02 PM

#33081

theporkchop

adept

Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 725

i regret all my bets from tonight idk what's going on in my head tonight i faded gonzaga who im a lifelong mark for im betting mendes even though i expect edgar to destroy him idk wttf im doing maybe its just tilt from last night

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12-11-2015 , 11:09 PM

#33082

SwoopAE

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still got time to fire a larger edgar bet if you want to switch sides or whatever just let me know

steam said gonzaga was going to lose but my gut said +131 was amazing and I guess I did take +105 before the major steam skillset wise hes just better than a ****ty russian brawler but if erokhin had connected he would have gone down

i think our pierce bet was good with how fight went, even though laflare landed the volume you could tell he wasn't hurting pierce and pierce had him in a little bit of trouble

aldo small fav now, if steam continues will get on conor ml as a dog as well as my conor decision no bet i have

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12-11-2015 , 11:10 PM

#33083

theporkchop

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Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 725

steam means nothing to me i knew erokhin wasnt good

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12-11-2015 , 11:21 PM

#33084

SwoopAE

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Yeah but it can be a general indicator of which side the most money is being bet on and some of it has to be sharp money obviously (and most of it in the case of non name fighter fights or when the lesser name fighter is the one being bet)

But yeah it's MMA anything can happen etc

Added 0.15u on Hall/Lobov u1.5 at +119 for sweats

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12-11-2015 , 11:27 PM

#33085

SwoopAE

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Was going to add 0.1u Erosa at +500 but missed it by a second because I think 19-19 going into third more often than 20-18 Wroczek

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12-11-2015 , 11:27 PM

#33086

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

added 1.25u to win 1u on Edgar and

1.65u to win 1u Lobov

gluck all

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12-11-2015 , 11:33 PM

#33087

SwoopAE

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I have it 29-28 Erosa annoyed I missed the after r2 livebet not much experience livebetting.

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12-11-2015 , 11:35 PM

#33088

SwoopAE

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idk why i didnt smash the after r2 line for a full unit instantly waited a few secs and ran out of time trying to go small

oh well, gonna be ready to smash edgar after r1 vs mendes if he loses the round but the fight is close if hes a decent dog

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12-11-2015 , 11:39 PM

#33089

theporkchop

adept

Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 725

welp time to cut into my losses a tad with crusher

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12-11-2015 , 11:40 PM

#33090

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Crazy live line after round 2 hit with that split decision! Live In-Play Fighting Julian Erosa (+460) vs Marcin Wrzosek $50.00 for $230.00

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12-11-2015 , 11:44 PM

#33091

SwoopAE

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Rockhold did not sound like a man that's confident he's going to win tomorrow with his body language in that interview and at the staredown - maybe he just doesn't like public speaking. More confident in Weidman after seeing that.

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12-11-2015 , 11:44 PM

#33092

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by JimGunn

Crazy live line after round 2 hit with that split decision! Live In-Play Fighting Julian Erosa (+460) vs Marcin Wrzosek $50.00 for $230.00

I nearly hit that myself but just missed it - it was actually +500 when I click submit but round started just before it processed

Nice hit and yeah great spot for a fight likely to be 19-19

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12-11-2015 , 11:56 PM

#33093

SwoopAE

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Knight seems like a much worse Paul Sass

Pretty sure pulling guard is not the right strat vs Kawajiri

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12-12-2015 , 12:02 AM

#33094

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Live bet after round 2: Pick the Winner Outcome: Tatsuya Kawajiri (−526) Risking $526.00 to win $100.00

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12-12-2015 , 12:13 AM

#33095

theporkchop

adept

Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 725

knight could be a good fighter if he wasnt terrible his striking wasnt abysmal he's just an idiot

thanks for soothing some of the wounds crusher

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12-12-2015 , 12:24 AM

#33096

RikaKazak

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WOW Aldo looked GOOD! (both at the press conference and weigh ins)

I would of bet on him at even on Bovada if it's wasn't for the fact I want Conor to win and I never bet against someone I want to win (makes watching the fight less fun imo)

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12-12-2015 , 12:32 AM

#33097

SwoopAE

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Livebetting price change suggests Dunham 20-18, I thought r2 was closer but I guess he's up two

Good for me as I have -3.5 pts for part of my bet and ML for part on Dunham

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12-12-2015 , 12:36 AM

#33098

SwoopAE

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So unlucky for Chiesa to lose to Lauzon via cut, Lauzon has so much heart but he's past his prime now and I think fade material vs most UFC caliber guys

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12-12-2015 , 12:39 AM

#33099

SwoopAE

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Glad I went small on decision unders, need 3/3 finishes from here to hit that

Card going well though, should be a 30-27 Dunham here to get me another unit or so as long as he covers the -3.5 pts

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12-12-2015 , 12:41 AM

#33100

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Glad I went small on decision unders, need 3/3 finishes from here to hit that

Card going well though, should be a 30-27 Dunham here to get me another unit or so as long as he covers the -3.5 pts

Yeah, seems like the overs in decisions were the play tonight, even with the small cage.

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