Anyone have picks for tonight's fights? Thinking of laying down 500.00 of Ferguson.

Only made a little last night on Sage but lost on Paige. Really disappointed in her performance and complete lack of TDD.

Jim,

These lines were amazing. I hit the 3.5 but was not ballsy enough to bet the 2.5. +1349 is probably the longest odds I have every won a bet on. Good call on these lines!

455 return on a 10 dollar bet aint bad!

He rarely uses his bjj offensively though it's almost always on defense and the way he fights play right into the edson barboza kick you 300 times win a decision strategy

For the TUF Fights I like Artem Lobov over Ryan Hall; Julian Erosa over Marcin Wrzosek and I like Abner Lloveras as a dog at +170 over Chris Gruetzmacher.

Also keep in mind we are in the small cage tonight so finishes more likely and fighters who rely on movement "Edgar" slight disadvantage compared to normal cage.

This sounds sketchy as ****. Just sayin'

Just open an account at a few books then you can bet whenever you want.

Looks like Aldo is gonna close as favourite, expected the hype money to come in on Conor these last few days.

TUF 22 Finale Risk $2753.40

Frankie Edgar (-125) vs Chad Mendes $250.00 for $200.00
Frankie Edgar/Chad Mendes Over 4½ (-168) $168.00 for $100.00
Frankie Edgar wins in round 4 (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00
Frankie Edgar wins in round 5 (+2300) $10.00 for $230.00
Frankie Edgar wins by 5 round decision (+115) $50.00 for $57.50
Frankie Edgar wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+205) $50.00 for $102.50
Chad Mendes +5½ points (-265) $265.00 for $100.00
Chad Mendes wins by 5 round split/maj dec (+1020) $25.00 for $255.00

Artem Lobov (-230) vs Ryan Hall $230.00 for $100.00
Artem Lobov wins by 3 round decision (+464) $25.00 for $116.00

Tony Ferguson (-130) vs Edson Barboza $260.00 for $200.00
Tony Ferguson/Edson Barboza starts round 2 (-287) $287.00 for $100.00
Tony Ferguson wins by 3 round decision (+285) $40.00 for $114.00

Evan Dunham/Joe Lauzon Over 2½ (-172) $68.80 for $40.00

Tatsuya Kawajiri -3½ points (-140) vs Jason Knight $140.00 for $100.00
Tatsuya Kawajiri wins inside distance (+344) $50.00 for $172.00

Julian Erosa (-135) vs Marcin Wrzosek $135.00 for $100.00

Gabriel Gonzaga (+100) vs Konstantin Erokhin $100.00 for $100.00
Gabriel Gonzaga wins by submission (+345) $35.00 for $120.75

Ryan LaFlare (-165) vs Mike Pierce $165.00 for $100.00
Ryan LaFlare wins inside distance (+348) $30.00 for $104.40
Ryan LaFlare wins by submission (+1275) $10.00 for $127.50

Geane Carlos Herrera (-105) vs Joby Sanchez $105.00 for $100.00

Abner Lloveras (+170) vs Chris Gruetzemacher $100.00 for $170.00
Abner Lloveras/Chris Gruetzmacher goes 3 round distance (+155) $40.00 for $62.00

Fights to go distance under 5½ (-104) $41.60 for $40.00
Fights to go distance under 4½ (+268) $25.00 for $67.00
Fights to go distance under 3½ (+739) $10.00 for $73.90
Fights to go distance under 2½ (+2575) $5.00 for $128.75
Fights to go distance under 1½ (+12700) $3.00 for $381.00

Evan Dunham/Joe Lauzon FOTN award winner (+500) $20.00 for $100.00

Added 0.55u Kawajiri -3.5 -160

Just tuning in now gonna catch up on results etc in a sec

good picks here.

Added a few more

0.25u Erosa -105 (just tailing JimGunn here didn't watch most of this TUF season)
0.25u Herrera -119 (tailing Jim again for sweat)
Another 0.55u Edgar -125 (cant resist at this price and kinda want to get a closer to similar amount on Edgar/Weidman so as long as one of them win I do fine for the weekend as a whole)
0.55u Gonzaga +105 (couldnt bet him as a fav even though skillset wise he should win his heart may not be in it anymore but now that hes a dog i'll take him)
0.4u u5.5 fights go distance (so we need 5/10 finishes to hit) again partially tailing Jim and partially because smaller octagon and I think some 'lock' to go distance fights may not go the distance today

going against my gut and betting some mendes props


official sweats $10 a piece
mendes itd rd 4 rd 5 and sub
Pierce to win
kawajiri to win
barboza by dec

Jesus ref have you ever stopped a fight before?

Great adjustments by Herrera in r2, off to a good start today and lets keep the wins coming

confirming these all booked for porkchop

im on same side on kawajiri and pierce and other side of everything else - dont mind the original barboza dec line but current line id prefer to be on ferguson ml which is where I ended up

Lets go Pierce - he steamed a bit last min so liking my +205 hopefully we see the Pierce who took Hendricks to a split decision

Pierce +330 livebetting, close r1 even tho he prob didnt win it and Laflare has something in his eye bothering him woulda added a little if I wasnt all in at 5d alrdy over next cpl cards

looking like depending on judging it's gonna come down to who wins rd3 either could be up 2 rounds or even

Pierce +500 after two rounds, Laflare is landing more volume but Pierce is landing the best shots I don't hate it, should be 19-19 or 20-18 Laflare

Hope Pirece KOs him in r3 I think its possible

I think Laflare wins a SD if I had to pick an outcome but nice rally by Pierce at the end

With what we saw over the fight happy with the +205 I got if Pierce forced a brawl more often good chance he would have got the KO

He's a solid dog to get the decision but I wouldn't call it a robbery if he did as he landed the best sig strike of each round and the only one to hurt his opponent really

Anything from 29-28 Pierce to 30-27 Laflare would be an acceptable score imo

hoo-boy going to be close getting flashbacks the bang vs kuntz

damn 0-1 why didn't i just bet last night

wow, Gonzaga out to +131, I really like that line but scared to fade that much steam

Skillset wise Gonzaga wrecks him but his heart and chin are so questionable these days

I hate this song so much, knock him out please Gonzaga his entrance music annoys me (used to work at a place where an ACDC CD played on loop for 8 hrs)

I'm going to feel stupid not taking Gonzaga for more at +131 if he wrecks him in under 90 seconds but I guess he could just eat punches and get KO'd because he forgets he's primarily a grappler even though he can punch his chin cant take it

Ugh worst timing to end the round 30 more seconds from mount and Gonzaga wins

10-9 Gonzaga

Would love to be on Gonzaga more as a dog having seen his gameplan he may get starched but think he wins over half the time w this plan