MMA Thread - Page 127 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

He was trying the same stuff against Michael Johnson on TUF, he's a natural at it

I had .5u at evens and followed the steam up to 2u

He'll be in the UFC forever. The young, black, Josh Neer w/ a schtick

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07-11-2012 , 07:58 PM

#3152

SwoopAE

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yeah i see him maintaining a slightly above .500 average in the ufc for a while, ending up being the slightly more entertaining matt brown of the BW division in that he'll lose to the elite of the division (basically, someone with good wrestling and submission defense) but pick up enough wins to stay employed and enough bonuses to stay well paid.

he's got a solid sweat in the locker room coming up fading any subs on the main card now. would be pretty sick to be a low-paid undercard fighter with the only sub or ko of the night locked up, waiting to see if any of the other fights end in a better sub or ko given there's usually 50-70k on the line

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07-11-2012 , 08:09 PM

#3153

SwoopAE

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ok njokuani if you get taken down and choked out/lnp'd i'm never betting on you again. do this!

also RDA: you already burned against tibau, another lackluster performance plz kthx

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07-11-2012 , 08:13 PM

#3154

Jaymun

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 230

The more I think about this, the more I'm regretting putting money on Njokuani. Dos Anjos could tool him on the ground, and he has some elite striking defense.

Bleh.

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07-11-2012 , 08:13 PM

#3155

SwoopAE

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added a half unit on lee/dillashaw to not go the distance at evens

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07-11-2012 , 08:14 PM

#3156

SwoopAE

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its gonna be njo dominant 30-27 or dos anjos by sub prob

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07-11-2012 , 08:20 PM

#3157

SwoopAE

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10-9 RDA

Njokuani's in bad shape here he needs to go in aggressively, attack and throw volume punches at RDA's head and hope one lands, RDA isn't letting him stand outside and pick him apart like he hoped

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07-11-2012 , 08:23 PM

#3158

SwoopAE

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Better at the start from Njokuani but his TDD is just horrible. Dumb of me to bet on him after he's let me down before doing the same thing.

Corner advice needs to be: you have lost this fight on the judges scorecards already. You need to take his head off. Knock him out.

Not 'you need to get this round'.

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07-11-2012 , 08:23 PM

#3159

Jaymun

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 230

Njokuani is just getting outclassed here, I thought it was going to be a lot more competitive.

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07-11-2012 , 08:30 PM

#3160

SwoopAE

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No urgency, no heart, Njokuani's terrible, next. fml for listening to people that said he's a good bet (and not just here, everyone on all the sites I read liked him @ those odds)

If you're down 20-18 and you don't even try to strike aggressively as a striker, what's the point.

After today I don't expect Njokuani to win another fight in the UFC. I sense losing streak incoming then cut. Which is disappointing given his potential.

Back to down half a unit or so for the card I think maybe even

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07-11-2012 , 08:32 PM

#3161

Jaymun

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 230

30-27 RDA.

That was just a brutal fight

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07-11-2012 , 08:34 PM

#3162

SwoopAE

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lol 29-28 which round did he win exactly? ridiculous judging, clear 30-27

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07-11-2012 , 08:42 PM

#3163

ChrisV

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29-28. That guy gets paid to do this, folks.

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07-11-2012 , 08:46 PM

#3164

Jaymun

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 230

Oh **** off. I hoped lee would at least do something.

This is the last time I throw money on fights I haven't researched well just to make an event more interesting lmao.

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07-11-2012 , 08:47 PM

#3165

SwoopAE

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Sigh, Lee was looking good until the kick missed. Oh well, big underdog etc whatever. Would definitely make the play again on Lee. At least the under hit.

Dillashaw's going down hard when he faces a top 10 guy. I hate the team alpha male guys in general. Who names your team that anyway. Faber, Dillashaw and co are such douchebags. I kinda hope Dillashaw finds his way to a title shot eventually so Cruz can humiliate him like he's going to do to Faber if Faber somehow gets his way back to a title shot.

Anyway let's go Carmont.

Down slightly for the card now, assuming Simpson wins i'll be even or so and it'll come down to Munoz vs Weidman

Last edited by SwoopAE; 07-11-2012 at 08:55 PM.

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07-11-2012 , 09:01 PM

#3166

DodgerIrish

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I got Vemola and the under

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07-11-2012 , 09:05 PM

#3167

Jaymun

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Carmont has some big ass feet

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07-11-2012 , 09:10 PM

#3168

DodgerIrish

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What a nub, he had Vemola in full mount and gave it up on the sub

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07-11-2012 , 09:12 PM

#3169

DodgerIrish

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Sick, that works

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07-11-2012 , 09:14 PM

#3170

Jaymun

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 230

Aaron Simpson is another of my biggest plays (not huge on his own, but he's in almost all of my parlays), hopefully he grinds one out

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07-11-2012 , 09:16 PM

#3171

SwoopAE

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Nice work by Carmont

Simpson completes 2 smallish parlays now for just under a unit each and Simpson+Munoz completes a third

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07-11-2012 , 09:24 PM

#3172

DodgerIrish

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Simpson gonna roll IMO

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07-11-2012 , 09:46 PM

#3173

Jaymun

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 230

30-26 simpson, finished off a few parlays.

A weidman win and I'm in profit on this card, despite a bad start

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07-11-2012 , 09:48 PM

#3174

SwoopAE

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30-26 Simpson imo

Nearly a late stoppage, simpson didn't seem to want to RNC him despite 100 chances

Also, wat @ 29-28s there's some weird judging going on tonight, potential robberies if they fights had been closer (Njokuani 28-29 was the most ridic call so far though wtf which round did he win?)

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07-11-2012 , 09:49 PM

#3175

just_mo

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WHAT THE **** JUST HAPPENED?!

Those judges gave Robertson rounds?! Maybe I should just bet every underdog left since every decision is clearly just going to be a flip.

I thought that might have been a 30-26.

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