Love weidman rockhold, great fight, both seem to be in their prime and both coming of great victories.

2.5u weidman -140 locking it in early as i think he closes -180ish and if he doesnt ill probably add more late. Rockholds amazing and improving every fight but so is weidman and i think weidman is top 3 p4p right now. Rockhold shouldnt beat him standing and weidman has great wrestling i think hes basically just slightly better everywhere. If anderson machida and vitor cant drop him standing how will rockhold? Weidman has great defennse and a good chin and if he can take luke down itll be over and if not he should just outstrike him right?

Rockhold has the cardio advantage though, I think it he can keep a higher pace for 5 rounds, but still, not sure it's enough. Weidman, despite cardio being one of his only weaknesses (he still does fine, but like if you try to find something weakness), is pretty high level on all fields.

Seeing what he's done on the BJJ circuit with his short time is pretty awesome, he's really talented and everytime I watch his fight with AS, I get more convinced of his greatness. As Jack Slack says, he's the p4p best pressure fighter we have today, how many fighters can cut-off Machida succesfully?

1u gustafsson +220 as well i think he matches up well w cormier esp if he can replicate the tdd he showed vs jones will probably go 2.5u here too but less certain which way the line moves; im confident weidman closes longer than -140 and i think gus closes +150 to +180 but im more confident the money comes on weidman than gus if gus moves to +200 ill lock that but if im wrong and he goes to +300 even better

does any one have any idea why Robbie Lawler is the underdog +180 vs Rory Macdonald?

he just came off.
beating Rory Macdonald by D over 3rds
a close loss to Hendricks 5 rd d.
he TKO Jake Ellenberger, decisioned matt brown, and beat Hendricks over 5 ending aggressive like a super hero.

Are we saying that Rory MacDonald is so technically advanced to Robbie ?

I have Lawler has a huge fav in my mind.
+180 wtf?

I hate that clown ronald mcdonald but i see him winning this fight at least 2 outa 3 times with his improvements and big technical advantage

lol

Friday night degen action:

WSOF 21 Risk $547.00

Lance Palmer wins inside distance (-170) $68.00 for $40.00
Blagoi Ivanov (-125) vs Smealinho Rama $125.00 for $100.00
Blagoi Ivanov/Smealinho Rama Over 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Blagoi Ivanov wins by 5 round decision (+525) $10.00 for $52.50
Mark Drummond/Michael Hill Over 2½ (-210) $84.00 for $40.00

Parlay:
Hakeem Dawodu (-530) + Lance Palmer (-750) $150.00 for $52.08


RFA 26 Risk $56.00

Gilbert Smith (-140) vs Benjamin Smith $56.00 fpor $40.00

Won almost every bet for a nice profit for tonight's cards.:

WSOF 21 Risk $547.00

Lance Palmer wins inside distance (-170) $68.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Blagoi Ivanov (-125) vs Smealinho Rama $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Blagoi Ivanov/Smealinho Rama Over 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Blagoi Ivanov wins by 5 round decision (+525) $10.00 for $52.50= -$10.00
Mark Drummond/Michael Hill Over 2½ (-210) $84.00 for $40.00= $40.00

Parlay:
Hakeem Dawodu (-530) + Lance Palmer (-750) $150.00 for $52.08= $52.08


RFA 26 Risk $56.00

Gilbert Smith (-140) vs Benjamin Smith $56.00 for $40.00= $40.00
-----
Total Profit= $362.08

I liked yancy and he's 4lb over not sure what to do now as either he's injured or
massive

BIG EZ

Akhmedov 2.4u
Jordan 2.2u
Medeiros 1.8u
Tavares 1.8u
Rivera 1.6u

Going to bet Medeiros anyway.

0.5u Jordan -105
0.1u Ebersole +120
0.1u Mitrione -175
0.1u Rivera/Mitrione/Ebersole/Tavares/Poirier/Soto/Jordan parlay +4276

Also have

0.75u Rivera +100
0.25u Mitrione DEC +420
0.1u Poirier SUB +504

and pending 2.5u Weidman -140 and 1u Gustafsson +220

jordan is a super trap yes he beat lewis but that was by decision and only lewis's 2nd pro fight lewis has better wins and has losses to much better talent than what jordan is

Poirier -180 jordan -105 rivera -115 at rio all crushing online lines so ill parlay them for 0.2u would fire a unit each but dont have the cash on me and atm fees and chrrency conversion eat all the value

Meh line too long nevermind i guess. Might miss today if im still in milmaker which is hopefully the case

Pretty lost on Jordan/Lewis. Anyone have a strong opinion on either side, with a decent reason why? Feel one of them may be the bet of the card, just not sure which one.

Jordan is probably the better fighter but I could easily see this being a lot like Jordan/Gonzaga

UFN 68 Risk $1866.50

Boetsch/Henderson won't start round 4 (-205) $205.00 for $100.00
Tim Boetsch wins by KO/TKO (+145) $35.00 for $50.75
Matt Mitrione (-185) vs Ben Rothwell $185.00 for $100.00
Dustin Poirier (-180) vs Yancy Medeiros $180.00 for $100.00
Brian Ortega (+150) vs Thiago Tavares $50.00 for $75.00
Joe Soto/Anthony Birchak Over 2½ (-145) $72.50 for $50.00
Francisco Rivera (-135) vs Alex Caceres $135.00 for $100.00
Francisco Rivera/Alex Caceres won't go distance (-160) $80.00 for $50.00

Shawn Jordan (-110) vs Derrick Lewis $100.00 for $100.00
Shawn Jordan wins by submission (+1595) $20.00 for $319.00
Brian Ebersole/Omari Akhmedov Over 2½ (-195) $195.00 for $100.00
Chris Wade (-170) vs Christos Giagos $170.00 for $100.00
Joe Proctor (-210) vs Justin Edwards $84.00 for $40.00
Joe Proctor wins by 3 round decision (+140) $25.00 for $25.00

Ricardo Abreu/Jake Collier Under 1½ (+105) $30.00 for $31.50
Jose Quinonez (+150) vs Leonardo Morales $40.00 for $60.00

Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+100) $25.00 for $25.00
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+311) $20.00 for $62.20
Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+904) $10.00 for $90.40
Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+2850) $3.00 for $85.50
Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+12200) $2.00 for $244.00

Francisco Rivera/Alex Caceres wins FOTN (+500) $10.00 for $50.00

Parlays:
Chris Wade (-170) + Ebersole/Akhmedov Over 2½ (-197) + Shawn Jordan (-115) + Soto/Birchak Over 2½ (-145) + Dustin Poirier (250) + Matt Mitrione (-185) $50.00 for $765.67
Ebersole/Akhmedov Over 2½ (-197) + Soto/Birchak Over 2½ (-145) $50.00 for $77.37
Chris Wade (-170) + Dustin Poirier (-250) $50.00 for $61.18
Proctor/Edwards Over 2½ (-160) + Wade/Giagos Over 1½ (-195) $40.00 for $58.33

JimGunn is the foundation and pillar of this thread, awesome to be able to get to see your picks like this. gl man, plenty of big green numbered lines please for jim.



going to go against my gut which is telling me there is trouble in store betting Matt Mitrione vs Ben Rothwell

Matt Mitrione £45 @ -187

Just have to bet Matt.

that Boetsch/Henderson won't start round 4 (-205) $205.00 for $100.00

that is a soild bet.. very good bet indeed, I can only see will not go over 4.5 @ -450. That will pay out that bet.

points two posts up

wow...


hope that guy is ok man, that could have broken his neck.


Edit:
Chris Wade vs Christos Giagos

Bet this is a great fight, these two young guys are ripped.

At least Kalib Starnes spent energy running.. wtf is Ebersole doing here. Lowest effort I think I've ever seen in a round 1.

Well, that would explain it.

oh my

dat shawn jordan kick, pretty awesome for HW

Thanks for the kind words, Balla! Brian Ebersole's knee injury cost me big time, but Shawn Jordan and Francisco Rivera got me back in the green. Even managed to hit Shawn Jordan live right before that hook kick to win another hundy.

A star is born!