Fired my first few bets for 187

I have

0.5u Sidebet Cormier -150 vs yoyobo

0.75u Cormier -124 (think he's closer to -150)
0.65u Arlovski +360 (think he's closer to a +250 dog)
0.65u Natal +295 (think it's closer to +250 as well)
0.5u Kim -240 (probably close to true line, but fun sweat)

Also probably going to have half units on a few of the favourites booking Sect7G's action for sweats since I think lines are pretty sharp overall this card.

Will probably be on Weidman, Dodson and Covington when it's all said and done too

Don't see Rousey skipping on an armbar if there is an opportunity, or hell, she'll make one. I just don't give prefight talk any credit what so ever, it's like Conor talking about taking his time after he said he would finish Siver in the first round and then saying, I just wanted to take my time and suck it all in...

In theory, perhaps, in reality, no. Using ones reach is quite difficult, and besides, MMA is filled with stocky wrestlers who take advantage of tall fighters inability to defend takedowns.

So how does Rousey-Mayweather at 145ish NOT happen unless Floyd just doesn't want another 9 figures? Given the obvious storylines and their ****-talking skills, and assuming they both keep rolling, doing that fight around the end of 2016 would have to blow May-Pac numbers out of the water.

That would never happen. Floyd wouldn't do it for anything less than a billion. Even then, I doubt he'd take that fight.

Another couple hundred million doesn't change his life.

Would take an insane amount for him to risk everything in a no-win situation.

If he gets busto in the next few years, there might be 1% chance he'll agree to fight Rousey and get smashed. Pretty sure deep inside he knows he's drawing thin vs her. Will never admit that obviously.

why is the cormier line so low allinnnnnnnnnnn

Well partly because he's off a loss in a fight in which he looked broken and his opponent is coming off a fight in which he dominated, but yea I agree DC is the right side.

0.5u on not Belfort KO/TKO -750 booking a friends action

I do think it's the most likely way he wins, but Weidman is -470 at the ML and I think -700 is closer to the true ML odds so why not; decent chance i'll play Weidman straight up too

Everyone doubted Mayweather when he faced the Big Show and look what happened there.

PS. Respect for being a Mayweather expert and predicting that he wont fight for
less than a billion cuz a couple hundred million dont mean nothing unless of couse he goes busto, then there is a 1% chance hell fight.

Can I hire you as my stats man?

Adding a half unit on Namajunas/Ansaroff u2.5 rounds +105

If Rose wins I think she'll finish a pretty high % and she's the fav, and if not there's a chance she may break meantally like she did against Esparza and get finished - Rose seems super aggro win or lose, so basically betting this one won't go the distance (seems rare that it'd go past 12.5 mins and end in a finish; possible I guess, the ITD line is -115 vs +105 for u2.5; mostly taking the u2.5 out of convenience since most of my sportsbetting roll is at Pinny)

You actually think maywether versus big show was a real fight?

It was, until Floyds managers interfered in the fight and cheated by pulling him out of the ring when Big Show was about to drop a leg bomb. Had that landed I don't see how Floyd would have recovered. The Rock might have been able to kick out and the Undertaker def. would have been able to, given his great stamina, but I really doubt Floyd would have been able to. Def. would have been interesting to see.

Dang skippy that was real ,, he got hit/slapped/chopped/stomped harder by the Big Show than any other boxer he has faced.

what he said

I'm on Cormier too, my main concerns are mindset and avoiding the big punch in the first minute. The moment DC gets a takedown and more than a minute of topcontrol though the whole fight is over imo, he'll break Rumble on the ground if he can get him down, Rumble's best and only shot really is to land something big in r1 and rock Cormier

Is there anyone who thinks Belfort is better than 20% for the upset? I'm curious and trying to decide whether to fire Weidman; if Anderson and Machida couldn't crack that chin over 3 fights I just don't see how TRT-less Belfort does more than 20% of the time and obviously that's the only way Belfort can win

I cannot see how weidman, browne or cormier can lose besides what mentioned above w the first minute. Vitor on the juice is drawing slim IMO, so i like his odds and plz tell me how the **** arvlosky is going to touch browne?
#firing

Sick, Cormier down to pretty much evens.

i always get punished when this happens... wtf

Yeah steam is heavily Rumble which sucks, I got Cormier -124 which I think is +EV but guess I won't fade steam any further, at least MMA steam hasn't been that accurate lately

JimGunn and/or anyone else which book is it that you bet the over/under number of fights to go the distance prop at? I can't remember offhand, can't see it at unibet or 5d but feel like it was one or the other, considering firing on that prop at 187

I have a feeling Rumble is going to win. Based off of nothing of course. Just this weird feeling.

guys I only see 2 ways for rumble to win. First by just ktfoing DC, or knocking him loopy early so that DC never really recovers. Kinda like he did Gus. The other is that DC really was broken by jones and comes out flat. Because honestly if the first scenario doesn't happen and DC fights at the same level he's always fought at how does Rumble win this fight? Also and yes I know it's been built into the line so no need for poogs to chastise me but DC can also throw bombs. So it's not like He's the only one at risk of being put to sleep. Although I personally feel trading with rumble would be a mistake. Dc would be giving rumble his best chance to win. Now obviously if it gets to the ground it's not even a fair fight anymore. Sure DC is well past his prime but he's still light years ahead of rumble when it comes to the ground game.

rumble inside +200 ainec biatches.

can hedge with cormier -110 if ya like, but i once heard that no gamble no future.

No gamble, no future. Know gamble. Know future.

I have this same feeling, although with my brain logically analysing the skillsets/matchup I come to the conclusion that Cormier is the favourite which is what I bet