MMA Thread
01-28-2015
, 08:39 PM
01-28-2015
, 09:51 PM
01-29-2015
, 12:38 AM
Quote:
Liking Woodley at +110 against Gastelum and +400 Woodley by KO (Woodley was +110 against Rory in June last year!).
I think Kelvin is a good fighter but it’s a big step up in competition for him and he hasn't ever fought someone with the power of Woodley (maybe Uriah but he wasn't the same fighter he is now).
In terms of where I think Kelvin could win, it could be the wrestling which was to me the most impressive part of his performance in the Ellenberger fight and you can see the way that Shields used the clinch on the fence to tire/frustrate Woodley to secure a split decision win over him. But in saying that Woodley is also an elite wrestler and he may be able to neutralise Gastelum’s wrestling.
Woodley did sort of lock up in the MacDonald fight and didn’t try to come out to win in the third but I think that was due to Rory’s style of technical striking and utilising his jab to maintain range which stopped Woodley getting in on him which Gastelum doesn’t posses. The Shields fight is a good example of where he came out in the 3rd guns blazing looking for a KO so I think he has the will to win, it just wasn’t shown off in the MacDonald fight.
If the wrestling doesn’t become a major part of the fight then I think Woodley has a huge shot of winning the fight by KO given his power and he gets it done a lot more than one in four times.
I’ve already got 2u on Woodley by KO +400 and was considering going bigger on him but was wondering if people see this fight differently? Am I underestimating Gastelum?
My last card Result:
Also had a last minute parlay for .5u Pesta by Dec/Johnson by Decision +4840 which lost.
= 9.3u profit
I think Kelvin is a good fighter but it’s a big step up in competition for him and he hasn't ever fought someone with the power of Woodley (maybe Uriah but he wasn't the same fighter he is now).
In terms of where I think Kelvin could win, it could be the wrestling which was to me the most impressive part of his performance in the Ellenberger fight and you can see the way that Shields used the clinch on the fence to tire/frustrate Woodley to secure a split decision win over him. But in saying that Woodley is also an elite wrestler and he may be able to neutralise Gastelum’s wrestling.
Woodley did sort of lock up in the MacDonald fight and didn’t try to come out to win in the third but I think that was due to Rory’s style of technical striking and utilising his jab to maintain range which stopped Woodley getting in on him which Gastelum doesn’t posses. The Shields fight is a good example of where he came out in the 3rd guns blazing looking for a KO so I think he has the will to win, it just wasn’t shown off in the MacDonald fight.
If the wrestling doesn’t become a major part of the fight then I think Woodley has a huge shot of winning the fight by KO given his power and he gets it done a lot more than one in four times.
I’ve already got 2u on Woodley by KO +400 and was considering going bigger on him but was wondering if people see this fight differently? Am I underestimating Gastelum?
My last card Result:
Also had a last minute parlay for .5u Pesta by Dec/Johnson by Decision +4840 which lost.
= 9.3u profit
I think Woodley is a step up for kelvin, he will have the definite speed advantage and i think he is far more likely to win via stoppage.. I think for Kelvin, his best chance is to win a decision by keeping good movement and winning later rounds when woodley sometime slows down/locks up.. Kelvin also leaves him self open when he charges in which can be very dangerous against a guy like woodley, obviously.
What do you guys think of mein/alves? I am leaning mein, i think he will do a good job of staying out of pit bulls range and i didn't think thiago looked great against Baczynsky. I dont think you can take much out of his earlier fights, since they were at least three years ago..
Anyone betting natal vs watson? I know watson isnt great but i dont really know if natal deserves to be -170.. I thought he lost his last fight to camozzi, and he definitely gasses and gets sloppy in the later rounds..