MMA Thread
01-24-2015
, 06:30 AM
01-24-2015
, 05:03 PM
Quote:
So my cousin and I got really lucky w some real estate stuff, he bets heavily on soccer (like 2-4K a game) and I bet not so heavily on MMA (like $100-$400 a game).
We are starting an MMA bankroll for 2015 and I will be posting picks and results. each unit will represent 1K USD and we will try to stay away from heavy favorites (anything past -450) as much as possible and catch early lines (this event not being the best example lol). Will try to post our reasoning as much as possible.
Hope everyone makes $ this year.
Record: 0-0-0
*Larkin (-145) v Howard: 1.45u to win 1u
I want to start w a big bet as my biggest fear here is not a Howard KO but a hugfest against the cage. I believe at WW Larkin will not get wrestledfacked as much as at 185 , he should dominate in the stand up (more variety and imagination) and just needs to stay away from the clinch & cage.
*Bendo (-130) v Cowboy: 0.65u to win 0.5u
Bendo needs to make a statement or he becomes irrelevant and moves up to his natural weight class. He has the tools to beat Cerrone, has solved the puzzle 2x already and the size/strength to stay away from his submissions. Also he would rather do back-to-back camps than face Khabib.
We are starting an MMA bankroll for 2015 and I will be posting picks and results. each unit will represent 1K USD and we will try to stay away from heavy favorites (anything past -450) as much as possible and catch early lines (this event not being the best example lol). Will try to post our reasoning as much as possible.
Hope everyone makes $ this year.
Record: 0-0-0
*Larkin (-145) v Howard: 1.45u to win 1u
I want to start w a big bet as my biggest fear here is not a Howard KO but a hugfest against the cage. I believe at WW Larkin will not get wrestledfacked as much as at 185 , he should dominate in the stand up (more variety and imagination) and just needs to stay away from the clinch & cage.
*Bendo (-130) v Cowboy: 0.65u to win 0.5u
Bendo needs to make a statement or he becomes irrelevant and moves up to his natural weight class. He has the tools to beat Cerrone, has solved the puzzle 2x already and the size/strength to stay away from his submissions. Also he would rather do back-to-back camps than face Khabib.
So a pretty good debut, I loved Bendo's performance and imo he is 3-0 vs Cerrone. This next event should be good, we kept n eye on these lines properly.
Updated Record: 1-1 +0.35u and onwards
*Dan Henderson (+505 @ 5D) v Mousasi: 0.2u to win 1.1u
Loving this price on Hendo. He lands that H-Bomb at some point and Mousasi is very hittable. An odds play.
*Cristodolou (+800 5D) v Taisumov 0.1u to win 0.8u Another odds play.
*Cris Beal (-180 AVG) v Seery 0.9u to win 0.5u
*Davis (-189 @ Pinny) v Bader 1.89u to win 1u The big play of the night, we believe Davis' athleticism will give Bader fits. On the feet Davis can use his reach to make it a very boring 30-27 decision or a hugfest.
*Gustafsson (-260 AVG) v Rumble 1.3u to win 0.5u
Gus' boxing and conditioning will make the difference on this fight. We believe he finishes Rumble late in the 3rd or early on the 4th after cruising on the scorecards for the first 2 rounds as Rumble tires.
Looking very interesting:
Pettis -300
Weidman -334
Machida +129
Aldo we caught at -140 might put more near fight time as that MacGregor $$ comes in.
01-24-2015
, 05:17 PM
I really meant it !!!
May you run as hot as hell this 2015
in poker and the sportsbetting !!!!
01-24-2015
, 05:59 PM
