Lot of factors in Bendo/Cerrone. Don't think it's a fight to bet on, as it seem pretty accurately priced. Though, I usually like to go for the small dog in those cases, because I think it will be a closely contested fight.

Scary fight to bet but you're likely getting money in good as cerrone just fought 3 rounds and has had 2 weight cuts in 2 weeks. Not a lock though

This is what Im talking about, people trying to make money betting MMA and we all support each other with opinions and we reason out bets and maybe even given the chance bet amounts.


Nick... Cerrone is on a tear and has officially filled out now over the last two years.

Of course Ben is more skilled and natural gifted athletically but he returning right after getting ktfo,

Also if we take a look at Bens history... he is a decision artist, he is not getting in there knocking people out left right and centre, he is going the distance.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benson_Henderson

the last time ben fought Cerrone was back in 2010... Aug over four years ago,
A lot has changed.

Also just whilst it comes to mind, you know I used to watch that gamblers advisory guy https://www.youtube.com/user/dwyer70905
I have since stopped BUT... he would make hedge plays.

I very rarely see people here making hedge plays, what I mean to say is if we KNOW our MMA... we know likely outcomes.

A hedge play is when you know three or I guess more possibility, and are able to eliminate a number of those outcomes, then we bet those other outcomes.

Example with Cerrone, he is BUFF filled out strong and matured in his stand up and also his ground but he is weak in his first round until he warms up.

Benson is never KO;ing Cerrone... if that happens I would be shocked.
With these kinds of tip bits we should be able to make our preferred play and also cover ourselves encase the 2nd most likely outcome happens.


I am not making good sense of my self here but over the course of several up coming fights it should be possible to increase your chance at a win but with a slight reduction in return, then there is the school of thought in saying F it I will straight up bet.


Out of Ben and Cerrone the value is on Cerrone taking the fight deep, Benson is hugely impressive but it will be a dog war, he is good in those but that is Cerrone bread and butter and Cerrone is going for the tittle, he is gong to know all about Ben

You don't need to bet full units on every fight, and also don't make the plays before checking in with your roster of bets and get the feedback here.


Cerrone as underdog is value here, I have him winning 4 to 5 times out of 10 here, maybe 6, Ben better bring his A game and apply hard preasure on Cerrone and completely outclass him and land power shots and wear him down, or obviously take his back for a choke. (We like the Ben by sub in the 3rd 4th 5th?)

I am a fan of Cerrone so I am BIAS, I would mistakenly bet Cerrone regardless.

I agree the fight is about right price wise, that said if Cerrone gets in there and places his foot up bens arse from rd1 to rd5 and is on fire we are all going to feel stupid.


I like Cerrone as a fighter, he is one of the fighters I look out for to watch, he is a lean hardcore dude no mistake. I think Ben is making a mistake getting in there with him, it is not going to be easy for him.

I watched their first fight last night. I believe Cerrone won it, but the judges didn't agree. It was very close. Henderson was in submissions 4 times that you would have thought would have ended the fight. I like the Cerrone side because of the hot streak and the price.

Cerrone is not as hesitant or "light" as he was, he is matured up and is solid, if you are betting Ben do not do it because of the record of their previous encounters,

The only way Ben beats Cerrone is by decision after dominating him with amazingly flamboyant movement over 5 rounds, or he subs Cerrone early.

I see Cerrone kicking Bens arse to be honest, from start to finsh, Ben is good enough to hang on in there with a tuned up and filled out Cerrone.

Ben is hugely impressive in his own right but I feel the wind is on Cerrones back plus fighting regular is his preference and works for him.

Plus Cerrone is the underdog and we get good odds on betting Cerrone.

Man we bet Cerrone here in my opinion and if he loses which I don't think is going to happen, we chalk it down to a solid wise bet with great value that did not come off but it was looking completely possible.


If Ben meets Cerrone head on in the cage Cerrone will mess him up properly and will do it with extream force and conviction, Ben is going to have play it at range for 3 to 4 rounds and by then Cerrone will have warmed up.

Expecting big things out of Jobby here.

@baller

pretty sure cerrone vs benson 3 round fight

That could easily be fotn

Im on bendo because he can hang w cerrone standing at a small disasvantage but is hard to sub and i expect him to land a couple takedowns when he needs to in the fight. In 3 rounds cerrone wins a brawl but bendo wins a tactical measured mma fight.

Up 1u so far on sanchez nearly bet oconnell but didnt pull trigger. Gl soriano hopefully he starts to fulfill his potential here id imagine he gets cut if he loses

Up on Sanchez as well, and also have Soriano. Gl to us!

What a great round!

wtf is soriano doing?

lol soriano lighting him up standing, pulls guard with the fight on the line

That's not a tap...

Also think guard pull was a slip.

nice submission

Soriano is an idiot and deserves to be cut. His corner should be livid at him. He blatantly disregarded their instructions and lost because of it

Could have been a slip in which case it's forgivable but it still cost him the fight and he was content to grapple against a better grappler who he was crushing standing

0.25u case here for a sweat dont really like either side but figure why not since im watching it. Next full unit play is o1.5 in Holohan/Howell

Even on the card so far, won a unit on Sanchez and lost one on Soriano. Got Holohan/Howell o1.5, Bendo and Larkin from here plus this sweat on Case

yeah Soriano and Van Buren wasted easy wins/paths to victory via brain farts.

I hope Soriano gets another shot. Very talented dude. Think he wins that fight 6/10 times.

Perez should get this. Hopefully atleast.

.5U siver +850

i'd love someone forever if they sent me a pm with a usable link to watch tonight's fights.

Looks like case has this.

Have to head into crown for the AM event after this fight hopefully they have the main card on one of the screens somewhere

Case looked great. Very poor showing by Perez. He is a way better fighter than that.

Fun first round holohan v howell

Point...