nvm

I dont think even NSAC judges will score it 10-9 for the guy on his back for 4min 30secs of the round.

Ok I don't even care that I bet on Evans...I have to root for Davis now lol he weighed in with his Penn St. singlet on.

netflix instantly added the jens pulver documentary for anyone that is interested; i thought it was well done and worth a watch

Mid size bet on Beltran @ -186, huge on Rashad @ -155, small bet on Rashad by TKO @+210, and trying to get a mid sized bet on Jon Olav (if anyone wants to book this for my 250 at the pinny vfl, lmk)

Im tempted to bet Einemo too, then I change my mind and want Russow... and back... I keep going back and forth on it... I feel like Einemo is better but Russow's head is probably in a better place...

So far I have

250 on Rashad to win 164.52
30 on Dunham to win 9.55
22.26 on Roop to win 27.38

Still undecided if i'm going to bet the Russow/Einemo and Maia/Weidman fights or put a very small odds play on Bisping

Wish I had put a full unit on Roop at +123 he's down to +107 now. Same with Rashad, wish it was 5 units instead of 2.5. Oh well.

24.04 to win 31.97 on Einemo plus

Michael Bisping
Risking 5.00 to Win 18.20 AUD

Demian Maia/Chris Weidman
Total Rounds Under 2.5 for Match 2.660
Risking 20.00 to Win 33.20 AUD

Jon Olav Einemo/Mike Russow
Total Rounds Under 2.5 for Match 1.541
Risking 25.00 to Win 13.51 AUD

Eric Wisely/Charles Oliveira
Total Rounds Under 2.5 for Match
Risking 25.00 to Win 13.89 AUD

Lavar Johnson/Joey Beltran
Total Rounds Under 2.5
Risking 25.00 to Win 10.20 AUD

No decisions plz. I think I usually get 3/4 and quite often 4/4 for finishes in these four fights though. Bisping should lose but slightly +EV at odds imo and it's $5 so whatever... and i've decided Einemo will keep it together enough to beat Russow. I hope... and if Russow finishes him I close to break even on the fight anyway.

Maia vs Weidman will go to decision prolly. Agree to disagree on Bisping vs Sonnen. Russow vs Einemo will not go to decision most likely, and I think Russow takes it.

some people in the EDF thread felt Sonnen looked drained. Anyone agree? I think he always looks like this. Hes just got very weird cheekbones that make him look really slim in the face.

If Maia wins it'll be by sub a lot. Weidman can finish Maia too. I wouldn't have bet it as a favourite, but at +162 or whatever it was I liked it more than the Weidman or Maia lines individually and it gives me something to sweat for the fight

I probably like Russow/Einemo best of the four not-to-go-distance bets too. Russow by TKO or Einemo by sub.

My Evans/Davis bet will decide whether I make profit for the card or not though.

He looked good imo, he has always had that type of face, distinct cheekbones.

3-1 ytd + 2 units
davis+138
sonnen-440

I really dont like those unders bets xept for the Oliveira one which i have no thoughts on.

Think the Lavar fight goes 3 a LOT unless Beltran gets a late 2nd round TKO
and just not liking the odds on the rest of em, gl though i hope they go through.

Unforutnately I ****ed up on my beltran bet, the odds are getting much worse I wish he hadnt cut down so much for the fight but Lavar cant handle his pace, at ALL. Hes gonna be dying by the middle of R2 and just get teed off on.

Every time I hear or see the name Sonnen all I can think of is when he grabbed the mic after that fight and went "ANDERSON SILVAAAAA..."

Also, Main Card on Fox, Prelims on Fuel, where's the Carmozzi/Jacoby fight gonna get shown?

Gah always disappointing when your parlay's done after 1 fight -_- I already wrote that little parlay off after the first punch of that fight.

Although his odds have been blowing up, Dunham has to be around 7 or 8 to 1 to win?

who would you guys say has the better striking between maia and weidman?

Technically wise, Maia.

Probably Maia but Weidman has good power. It's hard to say for sure though since Weidman is improving fast.

Shane Roller looks terrible. He's a pretty disappointing prospect I have to say...for such a good athlete he just hasn't picked up MMA very well.

Tanks helped me make my mind up as to who i want to bet.

Alright I gotta get a rant off real quick. I didn't have money on Roller but I feel bad for him after that fight. I'm sick of this back of the head bull****. If they're gonna call these fouls when people are raining down unanswered strikes to someone then CALL THE FKN FIGHT IMMEDIATELY when some puke buries his head face in the mat. I'm sick of watching fighters being punished for making people smash their own faces into the canvas.

/rant.

3-1 ytd + 2 units
davis+138
sonnen-440
mia+138

2-0 so far on distance bets

Just added 75 on Dunham

I could arb off EVERY single to win bet i've made right now for a profit (except the dunham from 2 mins ago). So sick. Not going to though

Roop is quickly becoming one of my favourite FWs

Headkick gogo one time

10-9 Swanson I guess, Roop threw more but Swanson landed more?