Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
It's really hard for me to wrap my head around Garbrandt just being some flash in a pan. He really didn't look bad in his losses. Even his chin hasn't looked bad really. He's got really good boxing, good head movement, great speed/athleticism/power.
His main problem is that he leaves himself exposed when throwing combos and at times he has just gone into brawl mode and got caught (ie throw like 9 punches when he should have thrown 2 or 3 and then moved). His footwork needs improvement and his reach sucks. That's probably why he went to Mark Henry who coaches some shorter reach guys like Frankie Edgar and Eddie Alvarez. I have mixed feelings about Henry but he could definitely help in some of the areas Garbrandt is lacking.
I also just think Garbrandt is doing the right things, taking long breaks rather than getting right back in there and going outside of Team Alpha male for help with his boxing. If he keeps his head on straight he should smoke Assuncao in the standup. Garbrandt was susceptible to leg kicks in his last fight. That's a concern but it's unlikely to deliver Assuncao a win. I really don't see how Assuncao could win a decision if this is a standup battle.
Pretty much exactly my thoughts and I think Assuncao at this point is a really good match up for him. He looked kinda of lost on the feet against Sandhagen and just went into grappling mode.
Cody should really have too much on the feet for him and be able stifle his takedowns.
Ended up arbing my Sandhagen bet after more tape watch its a tough fight to call.
On Wineland at 5.3 just think even at this point its too big for what is likely to be mainly a standup fight.
Taken Dunham small at 3.1 and also Kelleher small at 3.25.
Would like to get Nunes inside the distance but nobody is biting on the exchanges and looks don't see much value at current bookmaker lines.