Quote:
Originally Posted by Malachii
I think Gaethje is gonna murder him. Everything about him is perfect for a fight against Khabib from his build to his power to his kicks to his wrestling background to his aggressive mindset. I’m personally gonna bet him big.
Gaethje has great skill and that is beneficial to him. However, I don't see him as tailor made to beat Khabib. For instance, having power is great but Khabib rarely gets hit clean. Having leg kicks is nice, but much of Khabib's fights are fought in the clinch and on the ground. Having a wrestling background is nice but that doesn't mean his wrestling is anywhere close to Khabib's level or that he will be able to prevent the takedowns.
I've shifted and think the line should be between -200 and -250 Khabib (again just a wild guess). Odds makers have sit around -320 but I did see -240 yesterday.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Oh I don't think Cruz was gonna win the fight but he was literally standing up when the ref stopped it
I do agree an EARLIER stoppage would have been fine when Cruz's head was on the mat, that would have been a fine stoppage but after the ref let it go on, Cruz was clearly trying to stand up and not out of it - initially he was out of it but obv his head had cleared
I hate to beat a dead horse but if you look at the replay closely you will see that Cruz's head is lying on the mat right before the ref steps in. While I don't think Dominick Cruz was intelligently defending himself before that, his head was not actually laying on the mat until right before the ref stepped in.
Earlier Cruz's head bounced up and down off the canvas multiple times which is proof that he did not have his wits about him and was not intelligently defending himself. However, there is no evidence he was completely out at that point. It wasn't until the 3rd to last shot that Cejudo threw that Cruz appeared to go unconscious with his head laying on the floor. A third of a second later Cejudo struck him with another punch that appeared to wake Cruz up. Upon waking up, Cruz immediately started going to his feet and the ref stepped in just two thirds of a second after it appeared that Cruz was unconscious (a second after Cejudo landed the shot that put Cruz out).