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03-23-2019 , 03:06 AM
5d also have a ton of MMA props and low vig, they're not trustworthy with your details so i'd only use BTC there as well and not give them your credit card info, but they do pay out. Nitrogen is basically Pinny but with Bitcoin so light on props but good for moneylines.

I'm still thinking I probably just take Wonderboy + Blaydes but the price seems to be improving slightly so holding off for now haven't had time to watch the weighin yet. Heard Pena missed weight trying to cut to 145 which makes sense given he's 6'3. Hope he's okay and goes back to 155 asap, weight cutting needs to end.
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03-23-2019 , 10:56 AM
Just parlaying Blaydes+Wonderboy at -126 for this card I just don't think either of them are going to lose. It's possible in both cases, but I just think they're both better than their opponents everywhere (except BJJ in the case of Wonderboy vs Pettis but Pettis has no way to get it there)

Blaydes is either going to take Willis down at will or Usman vs Woodley him against the cage and Thompson's just going to win a kickboxing match against Pettis.

Nothing else stands out as a must bet.
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03-23-2019 , 12:56 PM
Don't think you will get closer to lock bet with Wonderboy. That said I still wouldn't bet the house because mma etc but man if I had unlimited bankroll I'd be betting him heavy for sure.

I'm less convinced with Blaydes winning but still think he'll win, just not as sure as my WB pick.

Angela Hill is another lock bet, I think she's a lot closer to WB than Blaydes, in regards to winning.
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03-23-2019 , 01:45 PM
Angela Hill's stronger than Markos and does have better striking from memory or more power anyway but she's clueless on the ground she's not a lock against anyone let alone someone who beat Tecia Torres on TUF and won a close fight with Carla Esparza. Markos has been really up and down throughout her UFC career including on that TUF season.

I quite liked Bryce Mitchell on his TUF season but I know zero about his opponent and no time to watch the tape on him.
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03-23-2019 , 02:14 PM
Don't actually think that Wonderboy is such a bad match up for Pettis, sure WB is bigger and might be the better striker, but at least Pettis can fight his fight and I don't think he will get totally dominated. He would do far worse vs a big pressure wrestler like Usman, Colby or Woodley. We already saw him got dominated by RDA, so WB might actually be the most favorable match up in the top 5 off the WW division.

Also size and strength plays a far bigger factor when it comes to grappling and wrestling, much less when it comes to striking. Masvidal vs Till was a good example of that. I actually could see it going the distance being a fairy close fight.

But I do completely understand people saying Pettis is a great match up for Wonderboy, so that's somewhat contradicting, but its that type of match up where both fighter have reason to be confident and display their specific strengths.
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03-23-2019 , 02:57 PM
KSW 47 Risk $441.00

Phil De Fries (+165) vs Tomasz Narkun $100.00 for $165.00
Phil De Fries/Tomasz Narkun Under 2½ (-137) ~$156.00 for ~$113.87

Mariusz Pudzianowski (-180) vs Szymon Kolecki $90.00 for $50.00
Mariusz Pudzianowski (-190) vs Szymon Kolecki $95.00 for $50.00
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03-23-2019 , 03:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckN0rris
Don't actually think that Wonderboy is such a bad match up for Pettis, sure WB is bigger and might be the better striker, but at least Pettis can fight his fight and I don't think he will get totally dominated. He would do far worse vs a big pressure wrestler like Usman, Colby or Woodley. We already saw him got dominated by RDA, so WB might actually be the most favorable match up in the top 5 off the WW division.

Also size and strength plays a far bigger factor when it comes to grappling and wrestling, much less when it comes to striking. Masvidal vs Till was a good example of that. I actually could see it going the distance being a fairy close fight.

But I do completely understand people saying Pettis is a great match up for Wonderboy, so that's somewhat contradicting, but its that type of match up where both fighter have reason to be confident and display their specific strengths.
Go the distance, I agree. Close fight, nah not really, he will get severely out-pointed imo.
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03-23-2019 , 03:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Angela Hill's stronger than Markos and does have better striking from memory or more power anyway but she's clueless on the ground she's not a lock against anyone let alone someone who beat Tecia Torres on TUF and won a close fight with Carla Esparza. Markos has been really up and down throughout her UFC career including on that TUF season.

I quite liked Bryce Mitchell on his TUF season but I know zero about his opponent and no time to watch the tape on him.
She has way better striking, i haven't watched all of Markos fights, perhaps I missed some fights that she did good. She's looked horrible in some fights though, right.
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03-23-2019 , 04:56 PM
UFN 148 on ESPN+ 6 Risk $7,974.44

Stephen Thompson (-375) vs Anthony Pettis $375.00 for $100.00
Stephen Thompson -5½ points (-180) $180.00 for $100.00
Stephen Thompson/Anthony Pettis Under 4½ (-103) $103.09 for $100.00

Curtis Blaydes (-270) vs Justin Willis $1,081.08 for $400.00
Curtis Blaydes wins by TKO/KO (+225) $50.00 for $112.50
Curtis Blaydes wins in round 2 (+525) $15.00 for $78.75
Curtis Blaydes wins in round 3 (+1100) $20.00 for $220.00

John Makdessi (-260) vs Jesus Pinedo $260.00 for $260.00
John Makdessi (-278) vs Jesus Pinedo $1,111.11 for $400.00
John Makdessi -3½ points (-175) $218.75 for $125.00
John Makdessi wins by TKO/KO (+215) $50.00 for $107.50
John Makdessi/Jesus Pinedo Under 2½ (+155) $100.00 for $155.00

Deiveson Figueiredo (-145) vs Jussier Formiga $362.50 for $250.00
Deiveson Figueiredo (-145) vs Jussier Formiga $507.50 for $350.00
Jussier Formiga (+125) vs Deiveson Figueiredo $200.00 for $250.00

Steven Peterson (+240) vs Luis Pena $100.00 for $240.00
Steven Peterson +3½ points (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Steven Peterson +3½ points (-140) $175.00 for $125.00
Steven Peterson wins in round 3 (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00
Steven Peterson wins in round 3 (+1600) $15.00 for $240.00

Maycee Barber/JJ Aldrich starts round 2 (-365) $182.50 for $50.00

Bobby Moffett (-170) vs Bryce Mitchell $340.00 for $200.00
Bobby Moffett (-171) vs Bryce Mitchell $342.00 for $200.00
Bobby Moffett wins by submission (+215) $30.00 for $64.50
Bobby Moffett/Bryce Mitchell won’t go 3 round distance (-105) $105.00 for $100.00

Frankie Saenz (+130) vs Marlon Vera $200.00 for $260.00
Marlon Vera wins in round 3 (+1000) $20.00 for $200.00
Frankie Saenz wins by decision/technical decision (+200) $50.00 for $100.00

Alexis Davis (-130) vs Jennifer Maia $325.00 for $250.00
Alexis Davis (-133) vs Jennifer Maia $133.00 for $100.00
Alexis Davis (-135) vs Jennifer Maia $202.50 for $150.00
Jennifer Maia (+145) vs Alexis Davis $200.00 for $290.00

Angela Hill (-141) vs Randa Markos $282.00 for $200.00
Angela Hill wins by 3 round decision (-115) $57.50 for $50.00
Angela Hill wins by decision/technical decision (-110) $55.00 for $50.00

Chris Gutierrez (-169) vs Ryan Macdonald $338.00 for $200.00
Chris Gutierrez (-175) vs Ryan Macdonald $350.00 for $200.00
Chris Gutierrez/Ryan Macdonald Under 2½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Chris Gutierrez/Ryan Macdonald Under 2½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00

Eric Shelton (-135) vs Jordan Espinosa $135.00 for $100.00

Deiveson Figueiredo/Jussier Formiga wins FOTN bonus (+550) ~$16.00 for ~$88.00
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03-23-2019 , 07:13 PM
big times robbery on davis..she clearly won last 2 rounds!
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03-23-2019 , 08:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Just parlaying Blaydes+Wonderboy at -126 for this card I just don't think either of them are going to lose. It's possible in both cases, but I just think they're both better than their opponents everywhere (except BJJ in the case of Wonderboy vs Pettis but Pettis has no way to get it there)

Blaydes is either going to take Willis down at will or Usman vs Woodley him against the cage and Thompson's just going to win a kickboxing match against Pettis.

Nothing else stands out as a must bet.
I'm on it. Also on WB ITD at PK

This is a huge step down in competition for him and given how lackluster his recent fights have been, he should want to press a finish.

Last edited by Onlydo2days; 03-23-2019 at 08:45 PM.
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03-23-2019 , 10:18 PM
Well Blaydes/Willis looks exactly the way I expected.

Ridiculous the ref didn't start the fight on the ground after Willis's blatant fence grab, but he was taken down 3 seconds later anyway

Hopefully WB/Pettis also goes exactly as expected
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03-23-2019 , 10:28 PM
easy win for Blaydes

In addition to Pettis being a step down in comp for WB, Pettis fights never really go the distance. I think he gets him out of there.

Last edited by Onlydo2days; 03-23-2019 at 10:38 PM.
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03-23-2019 , 10:46 PM
Tough to call whether Wonderboy will take risks to finish. At his age this is his last chance for a run to the belt probably, and he'll have to win two regardless probably since Covington's next in line... but a highlight reel finish over Pettis would go a long way towards getting the shot after Colby if he wins impressively then wins impressively on the South Carolina card too

Let's go WB!
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03-23-2019 , 10:49 PM
Pettis looks tiny for WW his body frame is just too small can you imagine him trying to stop Askren's TD lol
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03-23-2019 , 10:54 PM
Wonderboy is going to put Pettis out cold in the middle rounds with a head kick, i'll go with late r3.

Fight is slightly more competitive than I expected but looks fairly similar; Wonderboy is just a bigger, rangier and better kickboxer

10-9 WB although Pettis did land a bit, but WB obviously landed the far better shots

Please give us WB/Lawler if he wins even though Lawler's coming off a loss.

I guess if Usman stays active and keeps winning there's time for him to fight all of Colby/Askren/WB by mid 2020.
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03-23-2019 , 11:00 PM
My god holy **** what a ridiculous upset given how that was going

Disappointing obv, and that's officially the end of Wonderboy's prime
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03-23-2019 , 11:02 PM
Just came here to see who else got burned by this Thought I was in it excellently at -350
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03-23-2019 , 11:03 PM
All good...Just glad I probably never have to see WB in the main event again.

Pettis bit of a lucky win, if he gets any respect in future WW fights then he is a fade.
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03-23-2019 , 11:19 PM
did Pettis really just do that?
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03-24-2019 , 07:02 AM
So happy I didn't bet WB and Hill, what a bunch of morons!
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03-24-2019 , 09:38 AM
Smaller fighters have won a lot this year - Pettis, Masvidal, Nunes, Cejudo, etc.
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03-24-2019 , 12:10 PM
basically a throwaway card for me--- essentially breakeven.
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03-24-2019 , 12:53 PM
Sort of like Gaethje as a dog to Barboza. If he can relentlessly pressure and not get wheel kicked he can find Barboza's chin imo

Branch as a dog seems tempting too.

No bets yet but at first glance I feel like Gaethje is a pickem and Branch is a small fav and both are dogs, so seems reasonable
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03-24-2019 , 01:19 PM
Did okay, lost big on Devison but oh well.

In Vegas for next card, so glgl
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