Boring fight that ends in a close five round decision I think.

LFA 48 Risk $1,114.90

Kassius Kayne (-200) vs Calen Born ~$230.40 for ~$115.20
Kassius Kayne (-245) vs Calen Born $122.50 for $50.00
Kassius Kayne (-250) vs Calen Born $250.00 for $100.00
Kassius Kayne (-256) vs Calen Born $512.00 for $200.00

Why is Woodly an underdog vs Till? It's not what I was expecting. I might have to bet on Woodly instead now. Gotta have something on this one in case it's a snoozer.

Montano stripped of title fight is off

I decided to take some Esparza/Suarez goes the distance at -172 to go with my Esparza +380. I think Carla's good enough to survive the fight even if she loses she shouldn't get submitted that often which would be the main threat for the finish and if Carla wins i'll win for the fight regardless but obviously that's more likely to be by decision too.

Considering Woodley as a dog but haven't fired yet

I'd like some solid input on this as well. Till didn't impress me at all vs. Wonderboy.

Put a small bet on Till wins by decision at +300 and added a bit more on Jim Miller since he hit +150, but that's it for me. Smaller card for me as well.

Bets:
Darren Till at +119
Aljamain Sterling - 122
Abdul Razak Al Hassan -150
Jim Miller +137
Darren Till wins by decision +300

Good luck to all.

Sorry about this post, going back in the thread there's plenty of solid analysis. Not sure what i was thinking.

Are people too pessimistic about Woodley and Till?

They're both coming off fights with Wonderboy who makes everyone look bad. I feel like it doesn't go the full 5.

UFC 228 Risk $4369.36

Darren Till (+100) vs Tyron Woodley $200.00 for $200.00
Darren Till/Tyron Woodley starts round 4 (-135) $135.00 for $100.00
Darren Till/Tyron Woodley Over 4½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00
Darren Till wins by 5 round decision (+300) $35.00 for $105.00
Darren Till wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+830) $25.00 for $207.50
Tyron Woodley wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+750) $30.00 for $225.00
Darren Till/Tyron Woodley Draw (+8500) $25.00 for $2,125.00

Jessica Andrade -3½ points (-175) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $131.25 for $75.00

Zabit Magomedsharipov/Brandon Davis Over 1½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
Zabit Magomedsharipov/Brandon Davis Over 1½ (-127) $127.00 for $100.00
Zabit Magomedsharipov wins in round 3 (+650) $25.00 for $162.50
Zabit Magomedsharipov wins by submission (+150) $40.00 for $60.00

John Dodson (+135) vs Jimmie Rivera $100.00 for $135.00
John Dodson scorecards = no action (-150) $150.00 for $100.00
John Dodson wins by 3 round decision (+213) $50.00 for $106.50

Niko Price (+125) vs Abdul Razak Alhassan $200.00 for $250.00
Niko Price wins by TKO/KO (+360) $40.00 for $144.00
Niko Price wins inside distance (+161) $75.00 for $120.75
Abdul Razak Alhassan wins in round 1 (+250) $35.00 for $87.50
Niko Price wins in round 2 (+576) $20.00 for $115.20
Niko Price/Abdul Razak Alhassan Under 1½ (-137) $102.75 for $75.00
Niko Price/Abdul Razak Alhassan fight ends in KO/TKO/DQ (-182) ~$98.80 for ~$54.29

Tatiana Suarez -3½ points (-225) vs Carla Esparza $168.75 for $75.00
Tatiana Suarez wins by TKO/KO (+1165) $30.00 for $349.50

Aljamain Sterling (-130) vs Cody Stamann $260.00 for $200.00

Frank Camacho (+155) vs Geoffrey Neal $200.00 for $310.00
Frank Camacho +3½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00
Frank Camacho wins in round 3 (+1500) $10.00 for $150.00

Charles Byrd (-170) vs Darren Stewart $340.00 for $200.00
Charles Byrd wins by TKO/KO (+450) $30.00 for $135.00
Charles Byrd/Darren Stewart Under 1½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00

Diego Sanchez (+190) vs Craig White $100.00 for $190.00
Diego Sanchez +3½ points (+120) $100.00 for $120.00

Jim Miller (+150) vs Alex White $100.00 for $150.00

Lucie Pudilova (+105) vs Irene Aldana $200.00 for $210.00
Lucie Pudilova +3½ points (-225) $168.75 for $75.00

Roberto Sanchez (+300) vs Jarred Brooks $75.00 for $225.00
Roberto Sanchez wins by submission (+600) $35.00 for $210.00

Niko Price/Abdul Razak Alhassan wins FOTN bonus (+495) ~$18.53 for ~$91.70
Frank Camacho/Geoff Neal wins FOTN bonus (+700) ~$18.53 for ~$129.68

Parlays:
Tatiana Suarez/Carla Esparza Over 2½ (-225) + Jessica Andrade/Karolina Kowalkiewicz Over 2½ (-245) $100.00 for $103.40
Lucie Pudilova/Irene Aldana Over 2½ (-380) + Jim Miller/Alex White Over 2½ (-150) $100.00 for $110.53

Damn. Jim Miller looked good in that one. Good way to start the card

white cost me a lot...wow what the hell this guy is either super dumb or the fight is rigged as he couldn't really hit sanchez more then one time...

right up there with ngannou vs lewis

knewwitttt stewarttttt my mannn

would love to see a fighter like Charles Byrd come out and just blaze it up like tyson with that wide back and upper body, he had some tidy punches up in close

pounded miller, then had white and byrd. down a little bit. lets go camacho.

That Geoff Neal is a quantity of champion right there, real sense of maturity and purpose about his game, superb

wow aljo saved me. won miller and aljo, lost white, byrd, camacho.

biggest bets were miller annd aljo was my biggest bet in a long time. decent win for me tonight, got a few smaller things coming up.

I look up, im just glad i dont have the same pick as jim lolll

Wow some great finishes tonight. Great to see Jim Miller and Diego get big wins... Diego's opponent has the fight IQ of Travis Browne but a nice win for him at this stage in his career. Geoff Neil looked outstanding.

Took a small bet on Carla winning via TKO at +2500 and the same for a sub. Long odds and we've never seen Tatiana in a horrible spot... she might collapse mentally as Rose used to.

Tatiana Suarez is gonna be a huge star. Nobody's gonna stop her and she's f*cking hot too.

i had tatiana ml and udner 2.5. lost a bit but think the under was a great bet at +180 obv.

you deserved that TKO Jimm Gunn.... TAITANNA thanks for always posting hear. I miss your results posts.

no worries for jimm Gunn he's obvisouly cold blooded hehe did you see much bet/the roll he must have ! jim a rock

good card for me. was way off on white and camacho. lost a few that i think were fine bets. the ones i won were no doubt about it.

Pretty gross card for me Carla not lasting the distance cost me a winning card, pity I didn't whack Woodley as a dog, at least all my bets were small. I beat the close everywhere except Karolina just most of my bets lost. At least they were small.

I think I was on the right track with Karolina vs Andrade FOTN +1200, fight just turned out to be more one sided than expected and a womens fight did get it

Added bets as the night went on. Hit on Stewart (+160), Neal (-206) and Alhassan (-106), and missed on Stamann (+150) and Dodson (+120). Also as previously stated had Woodley at -105. +3.8u