MMA Thread - Page 1506 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Well that didn't go as expected at all, although given how bad my main card went I was sort of expecting Lawler to lose

Will be all over Wonderboy to -200 against Woodley I think

2016 is year of the champions curse, all the champs losing (except Cruz and MM will retain forever obv)

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07-31-2016 , 12:20 AM

#37629

pieceofcake

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 795

yeahahhhhhhh woodleey !!!!!!!!!!!

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07-31-2016 , 12:20 AM

#37630

leebert

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 247

Great call on Woodley everyone who had him.

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07-31-2016 , 12:22 AM

#37631

Underrated

adept

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 870

wtf is this ****

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07-31-2016 , 12:23 AM

#37632

27AllIn

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 6,583

damn i wish the line didn't shift down, i was planning to bet woodly at 2.7. I was gonna bet on wonderboy vs robbie, not sure how he fairs against woodly

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07-31-2016 , 12:24 AM

#37633

JimGunn

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,898

Seriously, I'm going to just bet on every challenger from now on.

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07-31-2016 , 12:25 AM

#37634

TomCowley

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 5,649

Robbery Lawler loses to a clean one-punch that started at the waist. Punch so bad it's good?

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07-31-2016 , 12:25 AM

#37635

pieceofcake

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 795

i had 100 straight bet at +170 on woodley

$50 parlay of ellenberger and woodley to win $400

$10 to win $170 on ellenberger, karolina and woodley

and $50 to win $254 on woodley and benoit parlay

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07-31-2016 , 12:27 AM

#37636

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Woodley is going to have zero successful title defenses unless they give him Condit/Maia winner he's live, but he is going down in a heap to Wonderboy

Impressive win though. I must say I did not think he would be champ. I'd take Bisping will defend the title more times probably given his first defense is Hendo

Disaster of a card, haven't totalled it up yet but would have ended up losing 6-7u or so after starting 3-0, lol, at least i've had a decent run on other sports this weekend but not so much today.

Grats on the big parlay pieceofcake

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07-31-2016 , 12:28 AM

#37637

pieceofcake

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 795

how did no one on this thread have woodley? i thought for a couple weeks that Lawler was gonna go down hard

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07-31-2016 , 12:35 AM

#37638

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

**** I got home just in time to see the Lawler line drop to -122 so ended up stuck 1.22 units lol. Could have been worst, had I not been on vacations this entire week and withdrawn most of my funds in my books for said vacation I would have placed bets on Rose, Matt Brown and Lawler at close to -200.

I'm pretty happy to just be down a bit over an unit.

Well at least I'm back. Gonna deposit a bunch in 5d and do some live betting going forward.

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07-31-2016 , 12:37 AM

#37639

connormcgregor

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 108

I had him in round one and two as a hedge which is the only way he wins, lawler has been wobbled in his last 3/4 fights but the price today I saw had no value if he was still +200 I woulda smashed, so sick I just knew it, overall winning night having only bet on two fights, karolina by decision mayn *pats self on the back*. Now onto Nate n Conor n I'm still undecided leaning Nate with a conor points hedge, just do not see Nate being stopped with full camp.

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07-31-2016 , 04:51 AM

#37640

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

And that's what you get with athleticism, interesting to see him go past second round with that ridic speed.

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07-31-2016 , 05:38 AM

#37641

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

lawyer's reflexes must be shot he didn't react to the punch at all. it was a damn fast punch though

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07-31-2016 , 05:47 AM

#37642

SuperMario7

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 630

Quote:

Originally Posted by connormcgregor

If it's 5 rounds, I doubt Conor has it in him to go 5 rounds. No way in my opinion does he get there with a dec. Nate will rock him again and KO him.

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07-31-2016 , 06:33 AM

#37643

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

lol, Woodley calls out Nick Diaz for UFC 202. I mean, i'd watch, but just NO with the contender backlog at WW it's not like they have pre-existing beef like Bisping and Hendo and Diaz is coming off 3 losses (2 and a NC I guess) and a year and a half suspension

Sounds like someone is scared of Wonderboy.

Hell if they want 202 to potentially surpass 200's buys add Woodley vs Wonderboy to that it's not like Woodley or Wonderboy sustained any significant damage in their last fights. Could easily add it to 203, 204 or 205 as well to stack one of those cards. Winner gets the Condit/Maia winner at 206 or 207 after that.

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07-31-2016 , 06:39 AM

#37644

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

I think I'd actually favor Diaz in that fight, no way Woodley can LnP for 5 rounds and his power goes away in r2. But no way Thompson is not getting the next shot, he has fricking Rory, Hendricks in his last 2 fights, that's impressive as ****. Especially considering Woodley was gifted the titleshot.

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07-31-2016 , 06:53 AM

#37645

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Wonderboy -110 one time opener plz

Expecting Wonderboy to open -150. Hoping he doesn't open -250. Will take him up to -200 or so, Woodley at maybe +275ish

Woodley steams in every fight though so not sure whether to take opener or closer, although it seems like everyone thinks Wonderboy will destroy Woodley so I should probably hit the opener, plus there's the MMAth of Wonderboy>Rory>Woodley although if we want to get a fancy loop we can go on with Woodley>Kim>Brown>Wonderboy and the circle of life is complete

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07-31-2016 , 07:12 AM

#37646

CheckN0rris

grinder

Join Date: May 2015 Posts: 415

haha Woodley really called out Nick Diaz for 202?? he wants to get paid, cant blame him since it would be a huge payday for him getting a cut from that PPV, but that is in 3 weeks, so not really realistic.

Woodley will have a change against anyone IMO, including Wonderboy, he is just so strong and fast and is relatively young and fresh. Whereas with Bisping I really doubt if he is even top 10 in his division.

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07-31-2016 , 07:52 AM

#37647

connormcgregor

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 108

Quote:

Originally Posted by SuperMario7

If it's 5 rounds, I doubt Conor has it in him to go 5 rounds. No way in my opinion does he get there with a dec. Nate will rock him again and KO him.

I agree that Nate wins but as unlikely as points is for mcgregor having had more time to prepare and adjust to the weight, he does have speed advantage, as well as learning lesson from last fight where he unloaded everything fresh out the gates, the possibility of him cutting angles n sticking n moving is actually a route to victory as slim as it looks. I just see zero way he stops Diaz in the distance his power did not appear to transfer over although he had good speed and Nate is just tough sob.

Which way do u guys expect the line to move? McGregor mania has him backed in? Or money flies on Nate? I'm not sure weather to bet now or wait till fight night.

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07-31-2016 , 08:13 AM

#37648

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

I think common ppl will be Woodley, they see his last KO and chiselled body and think, this guy gona steamroll everyone.

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07-31-2016 , 08:15 AM

#37649

Swiiftx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

McGregor can go 5 rounds I think, he paced himself well vs Holloway and there was no sign of fatigue, so it's all about how he gameplans. Though, nothing like getting clipped to empty your opponents gastank, so if Nate can clip him again, his gastank will prolly diminish quickly. It's easy if it's touch and move, because it simulats sparring closely and u can keep up much longer.

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07-31-2016 , 08:36 AM

#37650

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

speaking of reflexes how do fighters develop such fast reaction times? i watched an episode of fight science years ago and they said if u throw a strike at an average person it will take their mind .15 to realize what is happening. At that point the mind kicks the body into action. A pro fighter will complete the whole process in less then .15 secs.

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